│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 1.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 46% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-1.7%
n=26 out-of-sample
Hit rate
46%
50 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+7.3% → +7.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.022
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+1.0% … +13.6%
Support50
OOS support26
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 140
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 140
200 resolved wallets
ecb2f…44fd6c04b4…2f9af6ae4d…4c12ae14c7…6685a2d6c2…085c2ce82b…959f5f078f…5214c388a9…40b3a11fd5…24526ea763…e82ddc85d6…66942967f3…b8dde594d6…a85e75bd69…99c535a473…aad23b65f4…a22ac870ea…a9db1dd366…94b5fea845…1e91689146…548b172fbc…64dcba48e3…45eb6378e3…233b2a2889…58822be0ee…781a5924b0…456dfa2515…56b31f11a1…0754f2e990…9e44465444…68194c439e…08f89f7345…a1d7e707fb…3187f8f0f0…ba5f00cfcb…1423ba8b15…eb9e9ca47e…88f2bf2689…6f7edde9d5…18cb900b0b…dc9e0df30f…9cf4a89fc4…15aa974a6a…7ebae55db0…50e80c510c…f0cbd827c1…8f5858404a…48522db195…40b76e4e83…2e71b0b7f5…45936d07b3…44ef33ea07…e308227cd1…12c7b986f0…a67e25d042…ac39cf76d5…bd3c36dfbc…ccc2549e80…ec659e6b6e…0b6d58e737…11c95471bb…79ecd383ac…b373d89214…a9d1c3ed88…c67fcf85ba…f7269d4f04…8733b2d2d9…c8d8f0180a…064bc6ccdd…d3a0312752…e4d2a764de…36597bc350…57b1c2198f…f5d28ab6bd…d6f7ed00a7…30c854409f…07a03d9001…08ae4453d1…6e52b5e7f8…d0b74f2c19…6f34a+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 233a…5f7f | 414,015,634 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 7391…a59f | 416,095,816 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 3fb6…f94f | 414,433,301 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 7406…a7bf | 412,125,449 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 3ef3…ff6f | 420,010,147 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b765…bc0f | 417,457,621 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b75a…af3f | 421,202,690 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 1c2f…33af | 419,191,993 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 6f6c…047f | 418,949,272 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 7032…22cf | 412,578,069 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 4756…bbdf | 422,099,496 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| ddd1…9eff | 414,472,579 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 46c1…5e9f | 424,599,943 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| de6b…d2ff | 422,526,414 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 7323…c4df | 419,677,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| dc87…713f | 423,676,872 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 4069…3c3f | 425,927,418 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 8951…6f6f | 421,102,019 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| d29c…e64f | 422,351,375 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| d390…dbef | 417,949,596 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 72ec…66cf | 425,025,499 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 72f1…ee4f | 419,672,649 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 7331…726f | 419,093,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 7edc…4a4f | 421,891,218 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 7ed0…85ff | 417,784,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 734e…c94f | 421,899,236 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 4761…b83f | 422,093,405 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 46c6…f37f | 420,687,673 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 0ee3…38df | 418,326,875 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 4656…411f | 425,219,592 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 8554…ae1f | 421,931,076 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 0ef0…282f | 425,668,780 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 4332…394f | 419,585,487 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 0f05…027f | 426,982,695 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 69bd…c12f | 420,029,379 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 2770…020f | 417,457,915 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 3f5d…5e7f | 417,400,684 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 3f0c…4eff | 425,833,585 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 2797…079f | 410,240,582 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 2844…d35f | 423,406,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 5cc0…694f | 418,956,783 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 578c…d4cf | 426,352,911 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b334…314f | 418,980,396 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| fead…ed3f | 415,939,724 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 57f4…4f7f | 419,984,249 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 8a72…9ddf | 417,788,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 57fc…a82f | 419,337,543 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| eedc…2e7f | 411,675,756 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 5802…852f | 417,231,142 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 581c…a3af | 418,478,749 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 3b1f…940f | 417,406,569 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 871c…fbaf | 417,472,525 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b78b…59ff | 419,660,105 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 3a08…6a0f | 421,056,690 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| c98a…12ef | 423,041,406 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| c91b…7d2f | 419,189,705 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b72f…174f | 413,060,426 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 8696…e89f | 421,882,382 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| c51c…c54f | 415,073,402 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 4435…0b7f | 421,379,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |