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rule detail

transfer→buy

rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 50% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 49661 anchor
OOS effect
+30.0%
n=1 out-of-sample
Hit rate
50%
26 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+9.9% → +9.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.018
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+1.6% … +18.2%
Support26
OOS support1
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 4966
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0walleta45bfd91b10408cab412ccfad5692ac829aa00894b90087b9495e4e2fd91066c93%25
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 1452918+30.0%—view →
crew 1912715+30.0%—view →
crew 246816+21.2%—view →
crew 5528+19.9%—view →
crew 2539918+17.8%—view →
crew 3071916+15.0%—view →
crew 11323+14.8%—view →
crew 8845+13.2%—view →
crew 2176+10.7%—view →
crew 518+10.3%—view →
crew 1548+9.8%—view →
crew 4039+9.3%—view →
crew 6872+9.2%—view →
crew 14524+9.2%—view →
crew 4370+8.6%—view →
crew 6165+8.6%—view →
crew 1789389+8.5%—view →
crew 918+8.4%—view →
crew 13584+8.4%—view →
crew 21337+8.1%—view →
all1372921+7.4%—view →
crew 5952+6.6%—view →
crew 9426+5.9%—view →
crew 22617+5.7%—view →
crew 5635+5.4%—view →
crew 37331+5.2%—view →
crew 3126+5.1%—view →
crew 1688+4.8%—view →
crew 17120+4.0%—view →
crew 1258+1.4%—view →
crew 3494+1.1%—view →
crew 34116+0.3%—view →
crew 2025+0.2%—view →
crew 1968365+0.0%—view →
crew 2978171+0.0%—view →
crew 3009618+0.0%—view →
crew 1017-0.8%—view →
crew 4739-0.9%—view →
crew 14050-1.7%—view →
crew 30626-5.1%—view →
crew 1920-7.1%—view →
crew 707715-12.3%—view →
Crew 4966
16 resolved wallets
a45bf…1066c731ba…b123845e3c…2c6dda6d7e…581523a007…d5366a5d85…79bed12f6a…571865dc9f…c732494c8a…b2c3cd0250…405677219c…a6043ce70c…d9b4126d8d…66a204d817…b75ac702b5…55a12f6aea…b62cf
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
282f…4e2f410,512,811+30.0%✓4966 replay
6f2e…8146416,456,468+30.0%✓4966 replay
1c8b…02ef417,420,043+30.0%✓4966 replay
1c61…026f418,055,274+30.0%✓4966 replay
3ba3…8ccf410,074,328+30.0%✓4966 replay
ee88…aa5f417,946,252+30.0%✓4966 replay
3e25…380f417,430,450+30.0%✓4966 replay
3f22…2b8f410,480,392+30.0%✓4966 replay
cf0b…9a26410,552,789+30.0%✓4966 replay
26e8…e27f410,789,294+30.0%✓4966 replay
4647…e54f418,710,354+30.0%✓4966 replay
8741…15af409,884,306+30.0%✓4966 replay
4695…279f410,607,099+30.0%✓4966 replay
46a8…bdbf410,531,278+30.0%✓4966 replay
57f2…e60f418,684,983+30.0%✓4966 replay
896f…3bff417,782,200+30.0%✓4966 replay
fc6d…9fef418,654,547+30.0%✓4966 replay
d7c2…04ff410,999,820+30.0%✓4966 replay
fc61…8d0f418,444,749+30.0%✓4966 replay
85ba…704f418,697,042+30.0%✓4966 replay
24e8…a04f417,492,975+30.0%✓4966 replay
b379…5d0f417,595,152+30.0%✓4966 replay
b358…2aef417,573,484+30.0%✓4966 replay
3c51…04bf417,763,186+30.0%✓4966 replay
40f9…f6ef417,760,465+30.0%✓4966 replay
8c43…c71f410,523,846+30.0%✓4966 replay
feec…0f8f409,871,451+30.0%✓4966 replay
9186…c2ef417,763,652+30.0%✓4966 replay
c52f…3bdf417,545,475+30.0%✓4966 replay
c4cd…61af409,887,663+30.0%✓4966 replay
41df…d6ef409,827,082+30.0%✓4966 replay
4187…c73f410,734,402+30.0%✓4966 replay
ddb4…334f409,766,429+30.0%✓4966 replay
dfcb…da0f417,327,886+30.0%✓4966 replay
d019…509f414,706,318+30.0%✓4966 replay
dfb4…cc2f418,622,841+30.0%✓4966 replay
74d4…aa6f415,289,590+30.0%✓4966 replay
40f6…c7ff410,146,429+30.0%✓4966 replay
b79d…635f417,800,239+30.0%✓4966 replay
4050…a120422,953,388+30.0%✓4966 replay
70d3…ce9f418,021,192+30.0%✓4966 replay
296a…04c2418,628,863+30.0%✓4966 replay
2cb2…4caf417,615,115+30.0%✓4966 replay
26a5…414f416,669,566+30.0%✓4966 replay
cc26…2aff417,693,965+30.0%✓4966 replay
cc2f…b8a0417,372,887+30.0%✓4966 replay
cc72…17cf410,017,006+30.0%✓4966 replay
117c…dfcf417,763,200+30.0%✓4966 replay
3d2b…011f417,832,873+30.0%✓4966 replay
113b…17ef417,764,306+30.0%✓4966 replay
1106…3c0f409,874,070+30.0%✓4966 replay
00d2…86cf417,651,686+30.0%✓4966 replay
00f0…87bf423,709,876+30.0%✓4966 replay
0143…59ef418,653,719+30.0%✓4966 replay
4688…141f418,681,568+30.0%✓4966 replay
b657…576f417,766,612+30.0%✓4966 replay
1075…6b2f417,397,420+30.0%✓4966 replay
b67f…bdef417,594,693+30.0%✓4966 replay
414a…100f417,518,166+30.0%✓4966 replay
415c…a54f417,789,110+30.0%✓4966 replay