Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

transfer→buy

rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 53% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 7077
OOS effect
-12.3%
n=3 out-of-sample
Hit rate
53%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+12.1% +11.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.023
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+1.5% … +22.6%
Support15
OOS support3
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 7077
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 496626+30.0%view →
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crew 1912715+30.0%view →
crew 246816+21.2%view →
crew 5528+19.9%view →
crew 2539918+17.8%view →
crew 3071916+15.0%view →
crew 11323+14.8%view →
crew 8845+13.2%view →
crew 2176+10.7%view →
crew 518+10.3%view →
crew 1548+9.8%view →
crew 4039+9.3%view →
crew 6872+9.2%view →
crew 14524+9.2%view →
crew 4370+8.6%view →
crew 6165+8.6%view →
crew 1789389+8.5%view →
crew 918+8.4%view →
crew 13584+8.4%view →
crew 21337+8.1%view →
all1372921+7.4%view →
crew 5952+6.6%view →
crew 9426+5.9%view →
crew 22617+5.7%view →
crew 5635+5.4%view →
crew 37331+5.2%view →
crew 3126+5.1%view →
crew 1688+4.8%view →
crew 17120+4.0%view →
crew 1258+1.4%view →
crew 3494+1.1%view →
crew 34116+0.3%view →
crew 2025+0.2%view →
crew 1968365+0.0%view →
crew 2978171+0.0%view →
crew 3009618+0.0%view →
crew 1017-0.8%view →
crew 4739-0.9%view →
crew 14050-1.7%view →
crew 30626-5.1%view →
crew 1920-7.1%view →
Crew 7077
6 resolved wallets
9277f…fa87270904…d1cf91a78e…6192954e5c…e6fc30d2b6…301faf3791…be121
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
c92a…7b4f409,768,853+30.0%7077 replay
9059…906f410,491,905+30.0%7077 replay
46a2…610f414,490,434+30.0%7077 replay
d87e…9a1f412,557,160+30.0%7077 replay
fc5b…28cf420,795,673+30.0%7077 replay
fc77…5f7f419,111,208+30.0%7077 replay
db6f…1021418,663,193+30.0%7077 replay
dbca…a53f412,586,736+30.0%7077 replay
8aa9…53ff417,000,188+30.0%7077 replay
741f…a72f410,326,235+30.0%7077 replay
406b…3f4f410,602,045+30.0%7077 replay
2478…5d2f417,320,327+30.0%7077 replay
249b…dddf419,174,321+30.0%7077 replay
708e…bcff416,419,191+30.0%7077 replay
dfec…17bf413,093,276+30.0%7077 replay
c4e2…56ef411,629,353+30.0%7077 replay
d42a…f9cf412,487,270+30.0%7077 replay
738d…7b1f415,377,287+30.0%7077 replay
3cb3…23cf410,491,453+30.0%7077 replay
7ba8…749f414,881,984+30.0%7077 replay
8777…bc8f420,762,612+30.0%7077 replay
87b8…a8df421,750,165+30.0%7077 replay
45e5…291f418,975,502+30.0%7077 replay
941c…ec9f411,273,270+30.0%7077 replay
d1a5…e90f410,582,964+30.0%7077 replay
2966…698f415,674,810+30.0%7077 replay
1d8e…320f417,217,480+30.0%7077 replay
8d5a…3b2f410,138,784+30.0%7077 replay
8d5e…754f409,976,474+30.0%7077 replay
25fc…8d1f419,289,481+30.0%7077 replay
722f…15ff410,136,446+30.0%7077 replay
434a…a81f420,656,532+30.0%7077 replay
6005…2acf423,208,348+30.0%7077 replay
b9a9…339f410,797,332+30.0%7077 replay
2db3…f08f423,407,740+30.0%7077 replay
2e10…7aaf410,564,895+30.0%7077 replay
4719…c68f421,477,354+30.0%7077 replay
94f5…735f410,776,258+30.0%7077 replay
4b7f…d34f422,542,739+30.0%7077 replay
b5b5…c09f413,289,722+30.0%7077 replay
4327…e71f417,994,671+30.0%7077 replay
7774…52af410,190,617+30.0%7077 replay
baef…9f8f419,565,959+30.0%7077 replay
f67a…249f410,091,189+30.0%7077 replay
922e…f2ef416,031,214+30.0%7077 replay
9290…7def417,538,681+30.0%7077 replay
d622…46df410,140,162+30.0%7077 replay
2e08…916f413,851,328+30.0%7077 replay
7b03…71cf411,642,004+30.0%7077 replay
7b85…c0bf416,474,118+30.0%7077 replay
b9e9…6264416,166,194+30.0%7077 replay
e626…f8ff419,127,243+30.0%7077 replay
473c…c86f419,483,148+30.0%7077 replay
79fa…158f411,892,429+30.0%7077 replay
166b…872f416,570,127+30.0%7077 replay
2f85…8fcf411,435,707+30.0%7077 replay
8f0f…ad2f417,332,395+30.0%7077 replay
31ef…61bf411,308,304+30.0%7077 replay
48ba…d61f418,928,219+30.0%7077 replay
30cc…9e4f410,432,050+30.0%7077 replay