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rule detail

transfer→buy

rejected: only 1.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 61% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 145292 anchors
OOS effect
+30.0%
n=5 out-of-sample
Hit rate
61%
18 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+13.0% → +11.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.016
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+2.3% … +23.7%
Support18
OOS support5
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 14529
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallete8c0ee35cbe2867beba1a96a2f366562ac692dbd4a48a1a00b273b51482e4796100%23
w1wallet805a08c0827fafe19ed9c5c799da10baa9d6b8e98c05c96b812a326e3012e7e2100%23
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 496626+30.0%—view →
crew 1912715+30.0%—view →
crew 246816+21.2%—view →
crew 5528+19.9%—view →
crew 2539918+17.8%—view →
crew 3071916+15.0%—view →
crew 11323+14.8%—view →
crew 8845+13.2%—view →
crew 2176+10.7%—view →
crew 518+10.3%—view →
crew 1548+9.8%—view →
crew 4039+9.3%—view →
crew 6872+9.2%—view →
crew 14524+9.2%—view →
crew 4370+8.6%—view →
crew 6165+8.6%—view →
crew 1789389+8.5%—view →
crew 918+8.4%—view →
crew 13584+8.4%—view →
crew 21337+8.1%—view →
all1372921+7.4%—view →
crew 5952+6.6%—view →
crew 9426+5.9%—view →
crew 22617+5.7%—view →
crew 5635+5.4%—view →
crew 37331+5.2%—view →
crew 3126+5.1%—view →
crew 1688+4.8%—view →
crew 17120+4.0%—view →
crew 1258+1.4%—view →
crew 3494+1.1%—view →
crew 34116+0.3%—view →
crew 2025+0.2%—view →
crew 1968365+0.0%—view →
crew 2978171+0.0%—view →
crew 3009618+0.0%—view →
crew 1017-0.8%—view →
crew 4739-0.9%—view →
crew 14050-1.7%—view →
crew 30626-5.1%—view →
crew 1920-7.1%—view →
crew 707715-12.3%—view →
Crew 14529
10 resolved wallets
805a0…2e7e29f4e8…d68fe52aa0…0fdd44b1a6…e29321bd83…132ed59434…3db3999ffb…6ee693c755…7d9b289a2e…051a754f9e…4ce1e
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
b348…a3bf414,085,876+30.0%✓14529 replay
466e…aeaf417,122,050+30.0%✓14529 replay
3f7d…19af409,884,502+30.0%✓14529 replay
1bae…845f409,930,780+30.0%✓14529 replay
3c0f…405f417,657,709+30.0%✓14529 replay
27f9…18ff426,338,470+30.0%✓14529 replay
74f3…825f411,536,359+30.0%✓14529 replay
dff2…b55f410,547,258+30.0%✓14529 replay
dd9a…9e7f414,700,206+30.0%✓14529 replay
c4a2…290f416,687,950+30.0%✓14529 replay
6b6c…ffc0418,942,744+30.0%✓14529 replay
2946…d18f414,733,884+30.0%✓14529 replay
5e18…22cf413,568,480+30.0%✓14529 replay
cc3e…2e4f418,979,336+30.0%✓14529 replay
4284…b7cf412,795,180+30.0%✓14529 replay
1ddd…830f409,894,832+30.0%✓14529 replay
df5b…df4f410,317,574+30.0%✓14529 replay
8ea5…1c8f410,081,814+30.0%✓14529 replay
4302…99ff409,885,517+30.0%✓14529 replay
d1fc…13cf409,732,263+30.0%✓14529 replay
c722…a9ff420,124,933+30.0%✓14529 replay
2be2…c8af409,907,916+30.0%✓14529 replay
cf28…8f4f410,123,652+30.0%✓14529 replay
8ef7…a40f410,142,272+30.0%✓14529 replay
9016…2dff418,805,841+30.0%✓14529 replay
76bf…5bef409,985,053+30.0%✓14529 replay
4168…124f414,031,169+30.0%✓14529 replay
6fc4…728f426,323,132+30.0%✓14529 replay
623c…ee8f426,248,353+30.0%✓14529 replay
8bb2…c6ff418,978,781+30.0%✓14529 replay
8c7c…de9f419,494,521+30.0%✓14529 replay
2ddd…25ef412,952,749+30.0%✓14529 replay
8ec5…c68f418,415,215+30.0%✓14529 replay
7b9d…966f409,993,049+30.0%✓14529 replay
4475…d26f426,916,115+30.0%✓14529 replay
447d…303f418,394,317+30.0%✓14529 replay
73b0…324f425,170,318+30.0%✓14529 replay
31af…912f416,285,998+30.0%✓14529 replay
919d…597f409,883,745+30.0%✓14529 replay
32ac…e96f409,901,311+30.0%✓14529 replay
4a4b…7cef411,013,966+30.0%✓14529 replay
92bc…d12f416,539,620+30.0%✓14529 replay
9633…dc7f410,079,370+30.0%✓14529 replay
7c2e…406f412,981,003+30.0%✓14529 replay
7c7b…f94f413,889,385+30.0%✓14529 replay
638e…6e5f409,877,981+30.0%✓14529 replay
375a…514f425,328,216+30.0%✓14529 replay
c052…c98f410,329,856+30.0%✓14529 replay
9836…792f422,081,933+30.0%✓14529 replay
e565…648f410,170,382+30.0%✓14529 replay
27ea…b17f410,091,972+30.0%✓14529 replay
28b1…1f2f412,812,785+30.0%✓14529 replay
812d…fc2f410,581,058+30.0%✓14529 replay
491c…c51f423,581,175+30.0%✓14529 replay
76a1…69d6419,071,340+30.0%✓14529 replay
884e…d28f418,825,548+30.0%✓14529 replay
99d7…826f413,431,797+30.0%✓14529 replay
e79e…97cf409,899,064+30.0%✓14529 replay
78b2…846f410,758,066+30.0%✓14529 replay
c223…544f419,750,348+30.0%✓14529 replay