Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

transfer→buy

rejected: only 1.1x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 35% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 15
OOS effect
+9.8%
n=22 out-of-sample
Hit rate
35%
48 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+8.8% +8.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.001
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+3.8% … +13.8%
Support48
OOS support22
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 15
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 496626+30.0%view →
crew 1452918+30.0%view →
crew 1912715+30.0%view →
crew 246816+21.2%view →
crew 5528+19.9%view →
crew 2539918+17.8%view →
crew 3071916+15.0%view →
crew 11323+14.8%view →
crew 8845+13.2%view →
crew 2176+10.7%view →
crew 518+10.3%view →
crew 4039+9.3%view →
crew 6872+9.2%view →
crew 14524+9.2%view →
crew 4370+8.6%view →
crew 6165+8.6%view →
crew 1789389+8.5%view →
crew 918+8.4%view →
crew 13584+8.4%view →
crew 21337+8.1%view →
all1372921+7.4%view →
crew 5952+6.6%view →
crew 9426+5.9%view →
crew 22617+5.7%view →
crew 5635+5.4%view →
crew 37331+5.2%view →
crew 3126+5.1%view →
crew 1688+4.8%view →
crew 17120+4.0%view →
crew 1258+1.4%view →
crew 3494+1.1%view →
crew 34116+0.3%view →
crew 2025+0.2%view →
crew 1968365+0.0%view →
crew 2978171+0.0%view →
crew 3009618+0.0%view →
crew 1017-0.8%view →
crew 4739-0.9%view →
crew 14050-1.7%view →
crew 30626-5.1%view →
crew 1920-7.1%view →
crew 707715-12.3%view →
Crew 15
200 resolved wallets
0d584…a2fb092fa6…0df53ad007…c84a7cb3a9…fff3d64b27…d5671c00b2…0b750912ab…031362c1a7…698efdbd4a…dede75129b…15484147ad…f9a05692b8…04d5a021c5…a3698e828e…63cccef344…0e66103d9c…97ca238cab…e3252a3586…ad1cc40788…0d98add49c…4ecd757d5c…9129138e45…4bf71303ef…cee9d7f39b…6002cab50b…54358f60ef…824679b3c3…584684149c…b4adc71380…3b5b2051fb…640c873678…8ce1b6ec63…460e9d4a52…a77626f16f…fc67519344…2b6d6486a2…c161258383…34c99cb4ac…cf051f7690…20576bd1f5…52c3c21cb1…e542c8753f…4a10f71514…177e6d1ab7…639959a860…950101768a…2b5ec64381…0c184713cb…6edc1bcb49…47e3a5f840…93fb5d1c5d…bceefb7a0f…94bff677f0…b8bf9b7f47…19652ffa9a…1e0a1ee5c5…e93b93cebc…83da6c0834…b34d9b3ec7…deedbca259…cac3e7107c…4a81135e64…bbacfe1b21…d6ffefdf23…72fb93ed83…d052862b63…cceb8d7e37…e6356516a3…f148f6c08a…222ac1b237…e26e702f8e…6517500e20…04e9ec1b3b…7ac361a5d1…21b407a920…c30851b0bc…420a5eb534…6648308765…1477241614…5266420aa1…94368+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
2665…37e1415,073,830+30.0%15 replay
2a82…c83f421,709,199+30.0%15 replay
b77f…98ff416,625,664+30.0%15 replay
b765…20cf419,080,577+30.0%15 replay
b72c…99af413,451,527+30.0%15 replay
b692…aa4f416,246,119+30.0%15 replay
b687…e04f424,905,614+30.0%15 replay
b677…b15f419,399,978+30.0%15 replay
b650…aeff421,199,678+30.0%15 replay
8843…e47f420,637,940+30.0%15 replay
285d…74bf421,264,980+30.0%15 replay
27f7…543f423,477,771+30.0%15 replay
2771…c0bf427,309,638+30.0%15 replay
69f9…476f419,111,200+30.0%15 replay
69bb…46af412,509,513+30.0%15 replay
3c43…262f410,311,067+30.0%15 replay
7311…edcf422,670,181+30.0%15 replay
72ef…6d6f426,881,276+30.0%15 replay
d2cb…980f419,124,377+30.0%15 replay
d2b5…f01f415,802,427+30.0%15 replay
4049…06df423,910,341+30.0%15 replay
3f88…ab4f418,374,922+30.0%15 replay
dc6f…c75f416,487,273+30.0%15 replay
db79…f8df420,560,233+30.0%15 replay
dd88…15cf418,327,898+30.0%15 replay
6fdc…9c2f424,962,905+30.0%15 replay
fc13…279c414,834,772+30.0%15 replay
72f8…232f415,160,038+30.0%15 replay
8af1…1f2f424,358,180+30.0%15 replay
232a…bf3f419,457,268+30.0%15 replay
220b…e65f413,524,278+30.0%15 replay
3f64…2c2f409,881,541+30.0%15 replay
3efe…274f420,319,755+30.0%15 replay
b702…536f412,799,949+30.0%15 replay
4748…f18f412,509,476+30.0%15 replay
891b…d2df413,625,397+30.0%15 replay
88bd…decf426,612,617+30.0%15 replay
7ed6…4c1f422,570,848+30.0%15 replay
2671…0f0f412,239,378+30.0%15 replay
d858…f63f415,086,643+30.0%15 replay
ceba…823f421,714,164+30.0%15 replay
8a87…87af412,621,168+30.0%15 replay
9134…4ddf410,086,806+30.0%15 replay
fddb…e50b414,837,794+30.0%15 replay
fde6…610f426,012,434+30.0%15 replay
fe04…b6bf423,863,377+30.0%15 replay
90da…6f1f412,541,361+30.0%15 replay
b3f1…962f427,358,815+30.0%15 replay
9069…950f423,208,993+30.0%15 replay
3e9c…701f427,324,242+30.0%15 replay
3edb…606f418,394,291+30.0%15 replay
ce12…2dcf417,397,913+30.0%15 replay
262b…25bf426,000,111+30.0%15 replay
c8fc…4b2f421,265,714+30.0%15 replay
c9ce…56ef423,223,185+30.0%15 replay
c934…bd8f418,495,767+30.0%15 replay
431b…470f415,719,010+30.0%15 replay
7a13…e0af413,901,820+30.0%15 replay
103a…1b9f416,252,438+30.0%15 replay
c9fd…ccff416,290,831+30.0%15 replay