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rule detail

wash·2-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 33% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 87432 anchors
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
33%
27 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-2.6% → -0.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.781
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-11.6% … +6.4%
Support27
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 8743
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet88e49aae7a9ad5802df8ff36b13a89f5537df6a6f0c67dbb74404f45642fa98d100%27
w1wallet6767ef806c809d9869e373959b95a7b377fa2425879b3a0ef412e7fc323520b6100%27
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153335+29.0%✓view →
crew 451936+20.2%✓view →
crew 87838+17.5%—view →
crew 644234+13.3%—view →
crew 204216+13.1%—view →
crew 2539968+12.2%—view →
crew 1651022+11.9%—view →
crew 1633+10.4%—view →
crew 178933337+10.4%—view →
crew 272816+10.0%—view →
crew 1372+9.1%—view →
all86168+7.9%—view →
crew 565917+7.5%—view →
crew 1050127+7.2%—view →
crew 496644+3.8%—view →
crew 5626+3.3%—view →
crew 336115+2.7%—view →
crew 1509517+0.6%—view →
crew 4320+0.0%—view →
crew 34136+0.0%—view →
crew 2351132+0.0%—view →
crew 367752+0.0%—view →
crew 408421+0.0%—view →
crew 487483+0.0%—view →
crew 557827+0.0%—view →
crew 632316+0.0%—view →
crew 652620+0.0%—view →
crew 1111522+0.0%—view →
crew 1268231+0.0%—view →
crew 1341215+0.0%—view →
crew 1537223+0.0%—view →
crew 1835418+0.0%—view →
crew 2210231+0.0%—view →
crew 2400224+0.0%—view →
crew 359318-0.3%—view →
crew 1088823-10.0%—view →
crew 1643718-13.0%—view →
crew 795627-20.0%—view →
crew 1583115-20.0%—view →
crew 1662828-20.0%—view →
Crew 8743
17 resolved wallets
88e49…fa98db5189…9c53f6767e…520b6dacb9…e4f960dbc0…7ebe95024f…54e60b4174…afec9a79b1…d534a03085…5522cdd920…fc60c7147d…c86fc8b2a2…401c1933a1…d4ec604901…ca4965e365…8efd7d91bc…abf513f7cf…642e3
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
7e55…340f412,793,727+30.0%✓8743 replay
4127…0b6f412,839,265+30.0%✓8743 replay
3cd7…457f414,059,755+30.0%✓8743 replay
90ac…716f414,288,450+30.0%✓8743 replay
9467…191f414,085,558+30.0%✓8743 replay
2fb0…ee9f412,838,707+30.0%✓8743 replay
4529…0c8f414,172,531+30.0%✓8743 replay
7eae…3faf412,846,402+30.0%✓8743 replay
7e9d…cb2f412,841,556+30.0%✓8743 replay
3580…72ef412,815,989+30.0%✓8743 replay
ff17…b92f412,807,772+30.0%✓8743 replay
c311…a3df412,787,735+30.0%✓8743 replay
c6f1…177f412,809,879+30.0%✓8743 replay
cb29…5d8f412,786,458+30.0%✓8743 replay
a624…d9bf412,843,145+30.0%✓8743 replay
ef51…d98f412,840,611+30.0%✓8743 replay
f41d…3d4f412,838,882+30.0%✓8743 replay
fa91…db0f412,812,020+30.0%✓8743 replay
a8d4…c1ff412,930,920+30.0%✓8743 replay
741a…fbbf412,835,002+30.0%✓8743 replay
74a4…a7bf414,069,613+30.0%✓8743 replay
e4b7…383f414,087,687+30.0%✓8743 replay
c643…85ef412,797,104+30.0%✓8743 replay
e8d7…259f412,783,975+30.0%✓8743 replay
827a…185f414,171,311+30.0%✓8743 replay
727a…8e6f412,930,334+30.0%✓8743 replay
640b…19ff412,951,922+30.0%✓8743 replay
2ff5…b55f414,288,227+30.0%✓8743 replay
76d6…348f414,170,261+30.0%✓8743 replay
882a…820f412,090,063+30.0%✓8743 replay
11af…c75f414,133,130+30.0%✓8743 replay
b243…9c5f414,087,109+30.0%✓8743 replay
93f7…ae6f412,832,409+30.0%✓8743 replay
63d3…614f414,117,550+30.0%✓8743 replay
a9ed…79bf412,845,322+30.0%✓8743 replay
ecaf…7bef414,087,491+30.0%✓8743 replay
8fca…460f412,796,149+30.0%✓8743 replay
df4e…886f414,090,936+30.0%✓8743 replay
087e…344f412,816,111+30.0%✓8743 replay
bf69…258f412,946,272+30.0%✓8743 replay
0b32…539f414,175,660+30.0%✓8743 replay
f917…fbbf414,067,916+30.0%✓8743 replay
5024…aa6f412,822,979+30.0%✓8743 replay
aded…7b4f412,815,011+30.0%✓8743 replay
764e…938f412,788,420+30.0%✓8743 replay
9e2c…0cef414,116,881+30.0%✓8743 replay
ea13…84ef414,286,331+30.0%✓8743 replay
b2b6…894f412,781,657+30.0%✓8743 replay
e366…3e7f414,168,909+30.0%✓8743 replay
05c2…168f414,174,781+30.0%✓8743 replay
ffbd…bd9f415,678,490+30.0%✓8743 replay
015f…e17f412,799,018+30.0%✓8743 replay
253d…3a7f414,174,948+30.0%✓8743 replay
6c97…69bf412,944,527+30.0%✓8743 replay
f348…db1f412,809,080+30.0%✓8743 replay
8078…b64f412,827,438+30.0%✓8743 replay
1d37…2b3f412,823,565+30.0%✓8743 replay
d321…53cf412,845,155+30.0%✓8743 replay
8372…fe2f412,796,681+30.0%✓8743 replay
1f58…e32f412,803,786+30.0%✓8743 replay