Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

wash·2-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 2.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 63% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 25399
OOS effect
+12.2%
n=19 out-of-sample
Hit rate
63%
68 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+17.4% +17.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+13.3% … +21.5%
Support68
OOS support19
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 25399
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153335+29.0%view →
crew 451936+20.2%view →
crew 87838+17.5%view →
crew 644234+13.3%view →
crew 204216+13.1%view →
crew 1651022+11.9%view →
crew 1633+10.4%view →
crew 178933337+10.4%view →
crew 272816+10.0%view →
crew 1372+9.1%view →
all86168+7.9%view →
crew 565917+7.5%view →
crew 1050127+7.2%view →
crew 496644+3.8%view →
crew 5626+3.3%view →
crew 336115+2.7%view →
crew 1509517+0.6%view →
crew 4320+0.0%view →
crew 34136+0.0%view →
crew 2351132+0.0%view →
crew 367752+0.0%view →
crew 408421+0.0%view →
crew 487483+0.0%view →
crew 557827+0.0%view →
crew 632316+0.0%view →
crew 652620+0.0%view →
crew 874327+0.0%view →
crew 1111522+0.0%view →
crew 1268231+0.0%view →
crew 1341215+0.0%view →
crew 1537223+0.0%view →
crew 1835418+0.0%view →
crew 2210231+0.0%view →
crew 2400224+0.0%view →
crew 359318-0.3%view →
crew 1088823-10.0%view →
crew 1643718-13.0%view →
crew 795627-20.0%view →
crew 1583115-20.0%view →
crew 1662828-20.0%view →
Crew 25399
6 resolved wallets
00aa7…7a74c35850…7fe32d73ce…2c27b4fc5d…2c44d33033…8dfbb4c56a…0b7f2
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
3acb…d94f411,408,594+30.0%25399 replay
3b33…a93f417,933,360+30.0%25399 replay
271f…aadf423,147,730+30.0%25399 replay
7f76…5b5f417,046,876+30.0%25399 replay
6f13…9f1f410,381,544+30.0%25399 replay
dd4d…827f416,337,153+30.0%25399 replay
44a3…2cef417,043,284+30.0%25399 replay
cb2d…955f420,646,361+30.0%25399 replay
413d…7dbf421,506,984+30.0%25399 replay
739d…066f416,138,864+30.0%25399 replay
29d0…4fff424,738,535+30.0%25399 replay
c595…dd7f416,501,886+30.0%25399 replay
77a3…eeff422,356,590+30.0%25399 replay
8ed3…ce3f422,939,358+30.0%25399 replay
dfcf…791f419,280,732+30.0%25399 replay
3fbc…8c5f419,589,690+30.0%25399 replay
3feb…bd2f415,476,894+30.0%25399 replay
11eb…faaf420,269,181+30.0%25399 replay
2edc…739f417,137,689+30.0%25399 replay
b81d…e56f424,511,051+30.0%25399 replay
8ecb…7a9f419,071,048+30.0%25399 replay
8f88…51af415,918,767+30.0%25399 replay
7834…e2ff414,738,989+30.0%25399 replay
7515…2aef421,977,805+30.0%25399 replay
e1d5…e2ef419,306,706+30.0%25399 replay
44b5…264f424,104,917+30.0%25399 replay
4577…c30f417,963,849+30.0%25399 replay
4072…2fcf419,255,711+30.0%25399 replay
3127…55ff417,134,888+30.0%25399 replay
41eb…1eef410,812,653+30.0%25399 replay
ba4c…344f419,269,461+30.0%25399 replay
de95…7bdf424,747,745+30.0%25399 replay
45d6…68df414,066,026+30.0%25399 replay
4289…773f420,379,778+30.0%25399 replay
42cb…bb7f417,036,080+30.0%25399 replay
14d8…4c1f411,413,699+30.0%25399 replay
31d8…02af420,180,451+30.0%25399 replay
bb5c…bc9f418,425,779+30.0%25399 replay
9288…c47f424,229,863+30.0%25399 replay
32e1…e33f414,275,546+30.0%25399 replay
447d…ad6f416,335,555+30.0%25399 replay
44dd…64ef421,487,063+30.0%25399 replay
92dc…227f414,987,008+30.0%25399 replay
96bf…ffcf412,577,187+30.0%25399 replay
3327…efef416,558,591+30.0%25399 replay
9436…f23f424,776,367+30.0%25399 replay
c2d6…aadf418,197,616+30.0%25399 replay
08b1…14af418,882,106+30.0%25399 replay
987e…45ff411,023,750+30.0%25399 replay
8c20…f3ff425,157,150+30.0%25399 replay
88a4…756f423,113,110+30.0%25399 replay
eb0e…4baf415,856,616+30.0%25399 replay
7847…536f421,721,676+30.0%25399 replay
6635…1adf422,914,222+30.0%25399 replay
4a13…310f419,537,345+30.0%25399 replay
0b28…70df412,265,540+30.0%25399 replay
c15e…58af415,017,708+30.0%25399 replay
0910…bd9f413,823,910+30.0%25399 replay
99ce…bdaf420,037,418+30.0%25399 replay
856f…219f417,107,930+30.0%25399 replay