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rule detail

wash·2-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 29% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 56592 anchors
OOS effect
+7.5%
n=4 out-of-sample
Hit rate
29%
17 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+13.4% → +12.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+7.2% … +19.5%
Support17
OOS support4
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 5659
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet90c827a9e1dd02a36f35bb22bacca0c0614fd1dd8de82824dbe83abcb5f5b53d100%21
w1wallet599508fddfb24ad87cf92137528864b630d6b6c230645c79b2859b069b928011100%21
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153335+29.0%✓view →
crew 451936+20.2%✓view →
crew 87838+17.5%—view →
crew 644234+13.3%—view →
crew 204216+13.1%—view →
crew 2539968+12.2%—view →
crew 1651022+11.9%—view →
crew 1633+10.4%—view →
crew 178933337+10.4%—view →
crew 272816+10.0%—view →
crew 1372+9.1%—view →
all86168+7.9%—view →
crew 1050127+7.2%—view →
crew 496644+3.8%—view →
crew 5626+3.3%—view →
crew 336115+2.7%—view →
crew 1509517+0.6%—view →
crew 4320+0.0%—view →
crew 34136+0.0%—view →
crew 2351132+0.0%—view →
crew 367752+0.0%—view →
crew 408421+0.0%—view →
crew 487483+0.0%—view →
crew 557827+0.0%—view →
crew 632316+0.0%—view →
crew 652620+0.0%—view →
crew 874327+0.0%—view →
crew 1111522+0.0%—view →
crew 1268231+0.0%—view →
crew 1341215+0.0%—view →
crew 1537223+0.0%—view →
crew 1835418+0.0%—view →
crew 2210231+0.0%—view →
crew 2400224+0.0%—view →
crew 359318-0.3%—view →
crew 1088823-10.0%—view →
crew 1643718-13.0%—view →
crew 795627-20.0%—view →
crew 1583115-20.0%—view →
crew 1662828-20.0%—view →
Crew 5659
11 resolved wallets
59950…280115447c…30e9690c82…5b53d72d84…4de0c2bcca…fde34a36a3…169cde7e4c…574c9c16da…2f75437397…638f0acd64…0af70553ac…33417
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
9826…b4af413,667,944+30.0%✓5659 replay
34a6…f4cb410,844,476+30.0%✓5659 replay
acaa…462f416,058,131+30.0%✓5659 replay
153d…879f415,215,676+30.0%✓5659 replay
e0bf…c05f423,400,922+30.0%✓5659 replay
5a37…785f410,553,260+30.0%✓5659 replay
b790…0b6f413,611,170+30.0%✓5659 replay
0123…4d71410,196,756+30.0%✓5659 replay
b941…b55f411,234,115+30.0%✓5659 replay
5078…4742410,208,232+30.0%✓5659 replay
67ec…dbaf420,402,447+30.0%✓5659 replay
10e3…f1e6424,754,158+30.0%✓5659 replay
0b69…9c1f409,859,478+30.0%✓5659 replay
553e…6043416,338,397+30.0%✓5659 replay
2f4a…ae89425,998,496+30.0%✓5659 replay
3377…f1e8427,298,548+30.0%✓5659 replay
2d04…df53427,298,130+30.0%✓5659 replay
5149…b23f413,656,017+30.0%✓5659 replay
4b7b…2aaf411,035,928+30.0%✓5659 replay
c016…da00423,251,485+30.0%✓5659 replay
d986…b671416,333,624+30.0%✓5659 replay
3aa7…82af421,523,726+27.6%5659 replay
7d9e…fbdf420,772,102+25.9%5659 replay
264f…339f409,907,530+25.5%5659 replay
9ba2…35df412,728,691+24.4%5659 replay
d0aa…ba7f419,048,404+23.6%5659 replay
f0c8…759f420,402,463+22.5%5659 replay
098c…3ac8417,848,964+22.2%5659 replay
814c…b890409,861,283+21.1%5659 replay
1fb2…a40b417,172,812+20.7%5659 replay
380e…7fef421,512,647+20.5%5659 replay
72f9…653a424,354,238+20.2%5659 replay
e3a8…5b1f411,661,027+20.2%5659 replay
446e…2138417,534,478+18.9%5659 replay
f6f6…19bf421,460,975+17.0%5659 replay
1b8b…5b0f426,000,652+16.9%5659 replay
4d91…de1f412,974,028+16.6%5659 replay
f80f…ab7f421,461,496+16.4%5659 replay
e646…342a420,862,978+15.8%5659 replay
6c10…99df416,891,863+15.4%5659 replay
13ac…cf9f416,442,766+15.3%5659 replay
d32b…f9c7421,220,406+15.2%5659 replay
5955…5b46417,170,632+15.1%5659 replay
47eb…151f414,999,116+14.9%5659 replay
86b4…c98f416,473,325+14.7%5659 replay
a3e4…aadf417,754,166+14.6%5659 replay
6e70…117f426,001,270+14.5%5659 replay
173c…cd7f420,570,138+14.5%5659 replay
a2e1…61c6418,641,697+14.4%5659 replay
77fa…e365417,409,900+14.4%5659 replay
dcd7…ebff424,523,929+14.1%5659 replay
0114…cddf427,296,579+14.0%5659 replay
f05d…61df416,998,734+13.6%5659 replay
e85e…780f416,902,873+13.6%5659 replay
fddc…a91f416,699,154+13.2%5659 replay
48ff…e25f421,280,045+12.9%5659 replay
0bd0…42ff419,118,407+12.6%5659 replay
9a6d…5a5f423,402,065+12.5%5659 replay
ad19…9bfa424,026,560+12.5%5659 replay
c705…13e2413,473,648+11.9%5659 replay