│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0
rule detail

wash·2-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 1.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 46% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedall
OOS effect
+7.9%
n=25071 out-of-sample
Hit rate
46%
86168 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+10.0% → +10.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+9.9% … +10.1%
Support86,168
OOS support25,071
MDL bits0
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153335+29.0%✓view →
crew 451936+20.2%✓view →
crew 87838+17.5%—view →
crew 644234+13.3%—view →
crew 204216+13.1%—view →
crew 2539968+12.2%—view →
crew 1651022+11.9%—view →
crew 1633+10.4%—view →
crew 178933337+10.4%—view →
crew 272816+10.0%—view →
crew 1372+9.1%—view →
crew 565917+7.5%—view →
crew 1050127+7.2%—view →
crew 496644+3.8%—view →
crew 5626+3.3%—view →
crew 336115+2.7%—view →
crew 1509517+0.6%—view →
crew 4320+0.0%—view →
crew 34136+0.0%—view →
crew 2351132+0.0%—view →
crew 367752+0.0%—view →
crew 408421+0.0%—view →
crew 487483+0.0%—view →
crew 557827+0.0%—view →
crew 632316+0.0%—view →
crew 652620+0.0%—view →
crew 874327+0.0%—view →
crew 1111522+0.0%—view →
crew 1268231+0.0%—view →
crew 1341215+0.0%—view →
crew 1537223+0.0%—view →
crew 1835418+0.0%—view →
crew 2210231+0.0%—view →
crew 2400224+0.0%—view →
crew 359318-0.3%—view →
crew 1088823-10.0%—view →
crew 1643718-13.0%—view →
crew 795627-20.0%—view →
crew 1583115-20.0%—view →
crew 1662828-20.0%—view →
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
c39c…451f414,936,163+30.0%✓17893 replay
c39d…53bf427,111,681+30.0%✓88 replay
c3ad…4d9f419,334,613+30.0%✓113 replay
d2a2…aa3f419,661,753+30.0%✓13 replay
d2a8…9aaf420,215,752+30.0%✓13 replay
d30a…1e22418,193,885+30.0%✓17893 replay
d32a…41bf417,230,992+30.0%✓13398 replay
d32a…54bf415,663,980+30.0%✓17893 replay
d338…720f422,288,938+30.0%✓14441 replay
d353…c9cf413,043,407+30.0%✓13 replay
d353…badf412,124,152+30.0%✓21 replay
d35b…397f411,727,927+30.0%✓1968 replay
d369…72df415,818,093+30.0%✓6798 replay
d383…1e1f422,166,647+30.0%✓13 replay
d3f0…af4f417,924,852+30.0%✓13 replay
7293…73af425,283,825+30.0%✓625 replay
72af…963f415,219,562+30.0%✓20 replay
7a38…3a5c420,815,999+30.0%✓17893 replay
7352…afff415,379,370+30.0%✓4519 replay
3b42…260f421,813,253+30.0%✓13 replay
3b45…270f417,762,159+30.0%✓1958 replay
3b66…45bf412,396,512+30.0%✓1968 replay
3bef…89cf427,452,289+30.0%✓336 replay
3bf8…1b01415,359,445+30.0%✓2978 replay
3c4d…26bf412,930,549+30.0%✓13 replay
0e96…033f417,813,351+30.0%✓13 replay
0eb5…c71f422,430,267+30.0%✓17893 replay
0edc…caef421,495,299+30.0%✓6 replay
0eed…bc3f425,441,136+30.0%✓190 replay
0ef4…522f425,850,743+30.0%✓190 replay
0ef5…646f425,863,402+30.0%✓36 replay
0f09…ec3f427,222,418+30.0%✓17941 replay
697d…ac7f418,531,276+30.0%✓6 replay
69b9…2b2f420,616,518+30.0%✓13 replay
69dd…4a5f427,592,334+30.0%✓336 replay
6a92…cb3f415,029,859+30.0%✓17893 replay
270f…b37f420,392,028+30.0%✓6274 replay
273e…8fbf413,087,020+30.0%✓6 replay
2761…c86f417,358,967+30.0%✓17893 replay
72c4…49df426,752,278+30.0%✓13 replay
27a2…cdff427,675,506+30.0%✓336 replay
2b4f…137f418,848,755+30.0%✓22102 replay
2b40…143f417,155,764+30.0%✓6 replay
2aeb…3d6f418,511,876+30.0%✓22054 replay
2abb…eff7413,851,520+30.0%✓13 replay
2aba…6987420,315,820+30.0%✓17893 replay
2aad…db4f416,493,912+30.0%✓3677 replay
2aa9…e67f413,593,705+30.0%✓17893 replay
b779…30ff418,639,283+30.0%✓17893 replay
b765…f34f421,719,982+30.0%✓13 replay
b763…ccff416,801,113+30.0%✓6 replay
b731…690f421,200,252+30.0%✓13 replay
b728…70df411,097,039+30.0%✓1968 replay
b6e3…ed9f419,305,544+30.0%✓17893 replay
b6a0…459f412,143,758+30.0%✓1968 replay
b695…016f425,971,737+30.0%✓2728 replay
b692…aa4f416,246,119+30.0%✓15 replay
27a9…16ff414,923,813+30.0%✓13 replay
b66d…f25f422,621,583+30.0%✓17893 replay
b686…b4bf418,711,557+30.0%✓10888 replay