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rule detail

wash·2-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 39% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 108882 anchors
OOS effect
-10.0%
n=2 out-of-sample
Hit rate
39%
23 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+1.9% → +3.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.419
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-7.7% … +11.5%
Support23
OOS support2
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 10888
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet50b2e04d441dd20c6325b030aebda852043d7f4e9cd47b1448da0909e1e68d0388%22
w1wallet292f724088b3a72d002bc2033e4c3cb5bc7b9a065a41f99bf3548fd26bf4409092%23
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153335+29.0%✓view →
crew 451936+20.2%✓view →
crew 87838+17.5%—view →
crew 644234+13.3%—view →
crew 204216+13.1%—view →
crew 2539968+12.2%—view →
crew 1651022+11.9%—view →
crew 1633+10.4%—view →
crew 178933337+10.4%—view →
crew 272816+10.0%—view →
crew 1372+9.1%—view →
all86168+7.9%—view →
crew 565917+7.5%—view →
crew 1050127+7.2%—view →
crew 496644+3.8%—view →
crew 5626+3.3%—view →
crew 336115+2.7%—view →
crew 1509517+0.6%—view →
crew 4320+0.0%—view →
crew 34136+0.0%—view →
crew 2351132+0.0%—view →
crew 367752+0.0%—view →
crew 408421+0.0%—view →
crew 487483+0.0%—view →
crew 557827+0.0%—view →
crew 632316+0.0%—view →
crew 652620+0.0%—view →
crew 874327+0.0%—view →
crew 1111522+0.0%—view →
crew 1268231+0.0%—view →
crew 1341215+0.0%—view →
crew 1537223+0.0%—view →
crew 1835418+0.0%—view →
crew 2210231+0.0%—view →
crew 2400224+0.0%—view →
crew 359318-0.3%—view →
crew 1643718-13.0%—view →
crew 795627-20.0%—view →
crew 1583115-20.0%—view →
crew 1662828-20.0%—view →
Crew 10888
3 resolved wallets
50b2e…68d03292f7…4409048b6f…f8fce
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
4706…335f412,459,795+30.0%✓10888 replay
b686…b4bf418,711,557+30.0%✓10888 replay
7a34…542f412,459,205+30.0%✓10888 replay
2efe…d9cf414,626,842+30.0%✓10888 replay
91d1…12ff414,626,627+30.0%✓10888 replay
30f2…f47f417,045,851+30.0%✓10888 replay
7f34…f07f414,626,140+30.0%✓10888 replay
9a92…899f414,626,018+30.0%✓10888 replay
3df0…c0df418,722,325+30.0%✓10888 replay
74ee…924f412,462,977+30.0%✓10888 replay
fce3…df1f412,461,726+30.0%✓10888 replay
4ace…0d7f414,626,213+30.0%✓10888 replay
6474…578f418,957,095+30.0%✓10888 replay
7217…876f412,459,686+30.0%✓10888 replay
63a9…fb2f412,473,366+30.0%✓10888 replay
e83e…ea4f421,777,609+30.0%✓10888 replay
b1dd…227f412,460,728+30.0%✓10888 replay
f0e5…e59f411,918,824+30.0%✓10888 replay
ae45…202f412,464,840+30.0%✓10888 replay
f462…d7bf419,188,606+30.0%✓10888 replay
b8ca…60af414,625,252+30.0%✓10888 replay
af08…c7df414,625,667+30.0%✓10888 replay
1871…f6cf419,863,830+30.0%✓10888 replay
6f8b…c78f410,271,815+30.0%✓10888 replay
1e84…65df419,189,508+30.0%✓10888 replay
237b…784f421,477,543+30.0%✓10888 replay
6ffc…37bf419,622,296+30.0%✓10888 replay
a468…932f412,473,506+30.0%✓10888 replay
64e9…558f412,463,118+30.0%✓10888 replay
aa5e…577f411,134,625+30.0%✓10888 replay
3bba…460f414,626,248+30.0%✓10888 replay
a74f…df3f412,465,067+30.0%✓10888 replay
dd55…2aaf420,702,912+30.0%✓10888 replay
5974…eb8f414,638,003+30.0%✓10888 replay
feae…f3ef414,626,376+30.0%✓10888 replay
064d…ccbf419,189,354+30.0%✓10888 replay
ec79…11ef412,462,124+30.0%✓10888 replay
0ac2…803f412,465,294+30.0%✓10888 replay
d71e…c9df420,702,865+30.0%✓10888 replay
b911…9f8f414,625,079+30.0%✓10888 replay
8e9c…b7cf414,638,181+30.0%✓10888 replay
7108…ac8f414,626,468+30.0%✓10888 replay
ccaa…937f412,466,552+30.0%✓10888 replay
9ba8…de8f414,625,785+30.0%✓10888 replay
d3d9…efdf412,465,684+30.0%✓10888 replay
2fb4…e54f421,533,760+30.0%✓10888 replay
ce98…e4ef414,625,203+30.0%✓10888 replay
f9f0…07af414,626,318+30.0%✓10888 replay
9bda…993f414,638,341+30.0%✓10888 replay
40e6…03df418,234,776+30.0%✓10888 replay
45bf…db8f418,957,211+30.0%✓10888 replay
1b11…271f414,624,052+30.0%✓10888 replay
5aff…54df422,590,682+30.0%✓10888 replay
6d08…674f420,613,591+30.0%✓10888 replay
a41c…66ff414,624,604+30.0%✓10888 replay
0771…d5bf412,463,583+30.0%✓10888 replay
c739…f05f418,722,267+30.0%✓10888 replay
072e…53bf418,946,867+25.2%10888 replay
366c…b33f412,466,255+8.8%10888 replay
da1b…ea3f411,923,631+7.2%10888 replay