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rule detail

wash·2-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 55% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 49662 anchors
OOS effect
+3.8%
n=3 out-of-sample
Hit rate
55%
44 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+14.5% → +14.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+8.9% … +20.2%
Support44
OOS support3
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 4966
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet94c8a6add7e00584bb5d6c956190e49b6176fb882e764213d10a830205cb2c3c94%44
w1walleta45bfd91b10408cab412ccfad5692ac829aa00894b90087b9495e4e2fd91066c91%43
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153335+29.0%✓view →
crew 451936+20.2%✓view →
crew 87838+17.5%—view →
crew 644234+13.3%—view →
crew 204216+13.1%—view →
crew 2539968+12.2%—view →
crew 1651022+11.9%—view →
crew 1633+10.4%—view →
crew 178933337+10.4%—view →
crew 272816+10.0%—view →
crew 1372+9.1%—view →
all86168+7.9%—view →
crew 565917+7.5%—view →
crew 1050127+7.2%—view →
crew 5626+3.3%—view →
crew 336115+2.7%—view →
crew 1509517+0.6%—view →
crew 4320+0.0%—view →
crew 34136+0.0%—view →
crew 2351132+0.0%—view →
crew 367752+0.0%—view →
crew 408421+0.0%—view →
crew 487483+0.0%—view →
crew 557827+0.0%—view →
crew 632316+0.0%—view →
crew 652620+0.0%—view →
crew 874327+0.0%—view →
crew 1111522+0.0%—view →
crew 1268231+0.0%—view →
crew 1341215+0.0%—view →
crew 1537223+0.0%—view →
crew 1835418+0.0%—view →
crew 2210231+0.0%—view →
crew 2400224+0.0%—view →
crew 359318-0.3%—view →
crew 1088823-10.0%—view →
crew 1643718-13.0%—view →
crew 795627-20.0%—view →
crew 1583115-20.0%—view →
crew 1662828-20.0%—view →
Crew 4966
16 resolved wallets
a45bf…1066c731ba…b123845e3c…2c6dda6d7e…581523a007…d5366a5d85…79bed12f6a…571865dc9f…c732494c8a…b2c3cd0250…405677219c…a6043ce70c…d9b4126d8d…66a204d817…b75ac702b5…55a12f6aea…b62cf
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
fc6d…9fef418,654,547+30.0%✓4966 replay
1c61…026f418,055,274+30.0%✓4966 replay
2cb2…4caf417,615,115+30.0%✓4966 replay
cc26…2aff417,693,965+30.0%✓4966 replay
0143…59ef418,653,719+30.0%✓4966 replay
414a…100f417,518,166+30.0%✓4966 replay
2810…06cf417,855,139+30.0%✓4966 replay
9066…f84f418,549,293+30.0%✓4966 replay
446a…57df417,393,489+30.0%✓4966 replay
e388…030f413,900,867+30.0%✓4966 replay
e1d3…96cf417,787,396+30.0%✓4966 replay
0079…a53f410,595,928+30.0%✓4966 replay
6f19…70ef417,993,330+30.0%✓4966 replay
bc07…3be0418,038,042+30.0%✓4966 replay
4a0d…488f417,312,517+30.0%✓4966 replay
418d…6fbf417,631,403+30.0%✓4966 replay
b97c…144f410,834,106+30.0%✓4966 replay
45e3…378f417,319,295+30.0%✓4966 replay
1f22…9aef417,960,380+30.0%✓4966 replay
4ecb…2faf412,389,948+30.0%✓4966 replay
df3e…536f417,673,339+30.0%✓4966 replay
3f11…577f418,008,481+30.0%✓4966 replay
51f5…a15f422,348,519+30.0%✓4966 replay
f403…a22f417,612,779+30.0%✓4966 replay
e148…a4ff418,710,278+30.0%✓4966 replay
c712…759f417,498,606+30.0%✓4966 replay
53bc…763f418,615,601+30.0%✓4966 replay
0860…171f418,020,316+30.0%✓4966 replay
5c1b…164f417,787,830+30.0%✓4966 replay
22e9…4e5f417,529,098+30.0%✓4966 replay
068e…aadf418,664,083+30.0%✓4966 replay
a598…6e37410,847,842+30.0%✓4966 replay
bc28…9a07418,659,098+30.0%✓4966 replay
f731…10fd417,589,320+30.0%✓4966 replay
04c7…a55f417,659,982+30.0%✓4966 replay
d5ae…edef413,917,907+30.0%✓4966 replay
7b93…697f417,302,394+30.0%✓4966 replay
43bb…4baf418,047,015+30.0%✓4966 replay
be47…ccff417,801,517+30.0%✓4966 replay
978a…c510418,666,204+30.0%✓4966 replay
8139…742f410,819,555+30.0%✓4966 replay
323a…867b418,628,557+30.0%✓4966 replay
65f1…0c2f417,782,231+30.0%✓4966 replay
7f25…8d5f418,629,040+30.0%✓4966 replay
7834…de4f410,625,905+30.0%✓4966 replay
4a6b…af4f411,033,319+30.0%✓4966 replay
9997…bb7f420,993,129+30.0%✓4966 replay
0ec1…326f417,506,991+30.0%✓4966 replay
8752…59ff417,611,268+30.0%✓4966 replay
3c43…f7af417,903,695+30.0%✓4966 replay
6d2c…fc6f410,454,547+30.0%✓4966 replay
a37e…a10f417,299,759+30.0%✓4966 replay
c9e2…caff417,818,752+30.0%✓4966 replay
3a0a…69ff417,798,140+30.0%✓4966 replay
9dd3…1d1f418,008,559+30.0%✓4966 replay
cc3f…7f4f417,691,923+30.0%✓4966 replay
a006…b49f411,015,093+30.0%✓4966 replay
a064…3b60417,789,371+30.0%✓4966 replay
ab17…286f417,566,687+30.0%✓4966 replay
9367…5c7f417,604,240+30.0%✓4966 replay