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rule detail

wash·2-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 50% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 166282 anchors
OOS effect
-20.0%
n=2 out-of-sample
Hit rate
50%
28 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.0% → +6.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.203
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.4% … +14.4%
Support28
OOS support2
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 16628
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet8f6bbf491a29087fb87d30b3ca9980bc682be87b87e8d6039567d237d5cfc3d9100%30
w1walletfe616dc654e85d4add67e10a5fe1c68a0a77b8da5a9fb39f14540b00fac010ba100%30
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153335+29.0%✓view →
crew 451936+20.2%✓view →
crew 87838+17.5%—view →
crew 644234+13.3%—view →
crew 204216+13.1%—view →
crew 2539968+12.2%—view →
crew 1651022+11.9%—view →
crew 1633+10.4%—view →
crew 178933337+10.4%—view →
crew 272816+10.0%—view →
crew 1372+9.1%—view →
all86168+7.9%—view →
crew 565917+7.5%—view →
crew 1050127+7.2%—view →
crew 496644+3.8%—view →
crew 5626+3.3%—view →
crew 336115+2.7%—view →
crew 1509517+0.6%—view →
crew 4320+0.0%—view →
crew 34136+0.0%—view →
crew 2351132+0.0%—view →
crew 367752+0.0%—view →
crew 408421+0.0%—view →
crew 487483+0.0%—view →
crew 557827+0.0%—view →
crew 632316+0.0%—view →
crew 652620+0.0%—view →
crew 874327+0.0%—view →
crew 1111522+0.0%—view →
crew 1268231+0.0%—view →
crew 1341215+0.0%—view →
crew 1537223+0.0%—view →
crew 1835418+0.0%—view →
crew 2210231+0.0%—view →
crew 2400224+0.0%—view →
crew 359318-0.3%—view →
crew 1088823-10.0%—view →
crew 1643718-13.0%—view →
crew 795627-20.0%—view →
crew 1583115-20.0%—view →
Crew 16628
3 resolved wallets
fe616…010ba8f6bb…fc3d95a48f…93c81
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
1c56…1b6f421,482,013+30.0%✓16628 replay
bbe9…7d9f421,466,801+30.0%✓16628 replay
2cdb…edff421,364,564+30.0%✓16628 replay
7c19…bc8f421,449,144+30.0%✓16628 replay
783c…7e3f421,956,184+30.0%✓16628 replay
6927…59bf421,347,262+30.0%✓16628 replay
8e27…50af421,453,612+30.0%✓16628 replay
1a17…c96f421,466,430+30.0%✓16628 replay
0ffa…bb8f421,357,958+30.0%✓16628 replay
ea36…f42f421,905,672+30.0%✓16628 replay
2b96…a25f421,883,231+30.0%✓16628 replay
c8f5…5ebf421,337,469+30.0%✓16628 replay
0afd…776f421,474,442+30.0%✓16628 replay
c5e9…23df421,348,513+30.0%✓16628 replay
2d63…286f421,477,838+30.0%✓16628 replay
1924…dd2f421,359,575+30.0%✓16628 replay
3646…f13f421,475,278+30.0%✓16628 replay
d437…babf421,481,504+30.0%✓16628 replay
9f3e…872f421,472,784+30.0%✓16628 replay
ce1b…7cbf421,538,531+30.0%✓16628 replay
65bf…e59f421,474,976+30.0%✓16628 replay
83a9…e32f421,674,502+30.0%✓16628 replay
6e15…445f421,525,423+30.0%✓16628 replay
d8d7…748f421,341,931+30.0%✓16628 replay
f065…5bef421,350,790+30.0%✓16628 replay
ac6b…e44f421,349,244+30.0%✓16628 replay
9221…ec2f421,350,616+30.0%✓16628 replay
0815…431f421,348,389+30.0%✓16628 replay
f764…c9bf421,348,948+30.0%✓16628 replay
5956…704f421,359,836+30.0%✓16628 replay
640e…69ff421,323,313+30.0%✓16628 replay
c4a6…2bcf421,364,295+30.0%✓16628 replay
ec62…4cbf421,458,772+30.0%✓16628 replay
9044…9d1f421,477,547+30.0%✓16628 replay
0fae…a8df421,959,645+30.0%✓16628 replay
62cc…c79f421,346,883+30.0%✓16628 replay
a912…b14f421,346,411+30.0%✓16628 replay
880c…e82f421,350,120+30.0%✓16628 replay
aeab…c56f421,346,693+30.0%✓16628 replay
2063…18ef421,354,023+30.0%✓16628 replay
042d…800f421,470,523+30.0%✓16628 replay
af71…26ef421,958,688+30.0%✓16628 replay
0893…7c8f421,350,019+30.0%✓16628 replay
aafc…f0ff421,527,950+30.0%✓16628 replay
edc2…7e9f421,944,493+30.0%✓16628 replay
f43e…582f421,358,586+30.0%✓16628 replay
d744…653f421,958,408+30.0%✓16628 replay
ab28…e55f421,534,488+30.0%✓16628 replay
da70…9e6f421,944,955+30.0%✓16628 replay
c0ee…293f421,353,497+30.0%✓16628 replay
dc41…d45f421,944,095+30.0%✓16628 replay
db2e…28bf421,467,052+30.0%✓16628 replay
6373…172f421,906,499+30.0%✓16628 replay
b7ec…cd8f421,477,384+30.0%✓16628 replay
598e…8fbf421,347,379+30.0%✓16628 replay
4812…89cf421,958,613+30.0%✓16628 replay
ffeb…630f421,461,703+30.0%✓16628 replay
b3ab…acef421,342,576+30.0%✓16628 replay
50ba…0a3f421,463,065+30.0%✓16628 replay
79c4…752f421,324,636+30.0%✓16628 replay