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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
wash·2-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 46% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+3.3%
n=3 out-of-sample
Hit rate
46%
26 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+7.4% → +7.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.077
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.4% … +16.3%
Support26
OOS support3
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 56
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 1533 | 35 | +29.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 36 | +20.2% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 878 | 38 | +17.5% | — | view → |
| crew 6442 | 34 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 2042 | 16 | +13.1% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 68 | +12.2% | — | view → |
| crew 16510 | 22 | +11.9% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 33 | +10.4% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 3337 | +10.4% | — | view → |
| crew 2728 | 16 | +10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 72 | +9.1% | — | view → |
| all | 86168 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 5659 | 17 | +7.5% | — | view → |
| crew 1050 | 127 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 4966 | 44 | +3.8% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 115 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 15095 | 17 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 36 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2351 | 132 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4084 | 21 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4874 | 83 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5578 | 27 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6323 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6526 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8743 | 27 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11115 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12682 | 31 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13412 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15372 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 18354 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 22102 | 31 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24002 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3593 | 18 | -0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 10888 | 23 | -10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16437 | 18 | -13.0% | — | view → |
| crew 7956 | 27 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15831 | 15 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16628 | 28 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 56
200 resolved wallets
9f52c…e8311b9c18…6ca6a7a5fc…2bb3d4b045…1a1783c916…ededefdcf7…c201f178b5…90ba552e20…f7bb6bc556…4161cf27c4…c32173a876…56faaa5af4…59594f48ed…7f8c85c3fa…2e4bb1a06c…6c25ae26fa…a5b81f1499…2ccc04e014…8418115100…12f2a051ee…4ee076e281…36ab5bfb4a…f266ab50a1…1dda13394c…3a7d6f03d9…3175eae3d3…e31fa49a80…b4a5f5e9a0…13aced175b…d8effdde26…005e98a279…28b5bbde50…5e09b90799…5ba34dfdc1…ef5199643b…8fce272310…8232ac0a9e…e34eb8de9a…c6835cfd3c…df644a99c1…6ea6428fa9…d93f3254ab…6995f18598…3bd04b34de…83e143fd39…6a28feac15…6f9a90d5f8…2d254a373d…6edcb3e39a…a559c39136…027a0573e0…88d588b0ea…ea70b67cdd…775e373964…4776610522…779393b526…2f2ef647b6…bc00d5a072…a2b14842fa…7325866bd5…5cc3e4e087…2db56777ce…0868c8771b…1710050f21…81f6ac6bd3…fcfd884173…9cd4940524…0f172d675e…2412ade0ec…c62a82e689…0052748b06…ad6d7c6309…caa0019a8f…239306ecb1…9ea7caf1d7…caa63b5d9a…53387fec11…64a3f060ea…df44d0f163…0432d30d01…edd20+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 787b…5aaf | 417,192,690 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 7740…fc6f | 422,036,053 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| d22f…636f | 426,406,629 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 4473…dd1f | 427,047,572 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| e145…9b0f | 416,269,923 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 7f86…c43f | 421,459,885 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8022…306f | 426,414,003 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| a24e…4e4f | 420,846,664 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| a2d8…03ef | 425,552,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 305d…307f | 417,400,779 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| aae6…682f | 415,413,070 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8d13…e8cf | 424,688,220 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ade7…916f | 426,089,725 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8a3a…1d2f | 420,843,440 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 9530…f7ef | 412,201,046 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 49c4…6557 | 410,787,642 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b5df…c2bf | 426,412,857 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b87e…e4bf | 424,311,618 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| c4e6…f94f | 424,690,066 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 4643…7eff | 426,412,320 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| e0ab…2d9f | 415,595,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ef65…841f | 424,100,993 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 5e2d…3c6f | 417,273,012 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 7485…0e3f | 417,423,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| f0af…e2bf | 412,939,538 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 197a…55df | 414,327,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 39d1…210f | 411,908,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 63c3…fc0f | 417,272,787 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8539…8fdf | 419,947,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 89e2…9d0f | 425,261,008 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 13b8…ac2f | 420,149,918 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 38b7…0995 | 423,175,918 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 9540…ca8f | 421,468,185 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| d71a…911f | 414,664,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3508…cb3f | 413,010,683 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 58d7…06ef | 416,598,918 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ab1e…c29a | 416,744,274 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 7d39…744f | 424,310,858 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 5deb…cb7f | 417,606,231 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| abfc…b47f | 416,407,694 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0f12…b04f | 427,640,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 112b…417f | 424,449,517 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| afa7…ff0f | 415,475,081 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b095…bdcf | 426,011,185 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| d38f…533f | 425,788,144 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 17f2…038f | 417,511,793 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 302f…d58f | 418,890,422 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ef52…1a3f | 417,513,562 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 142a…470f | 422,525,017 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| a7e0…d7bf | 420,871,041 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| aa4c…3ebf | 417,267,556 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ba1c…c0ff | 423,845,872 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 18a7…887f | 417,967,930 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 1c06…8ca8 | 416,684,185 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 1b39…489f | 420,723,477 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 6b96…169f | 417,510,633 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| fcfd…ecbf | 426,409,056 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ebc3…deef | 421,719,309 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 1e81…09ef | 417,513,077 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| e33b…35df | 416,074,649 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |