Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

wash·2-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 27% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 134122 anchors
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
27%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-1.3% +1.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.669
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-12.1% … +9.5%
Support15
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 13412
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet55ec5169880b1a2a8a5f6bb01785d0db634974a6ea06bc6e96d54566b91a1d65100%15
w1wallet9680f0c612d869e15b9758162b9ef7485a1dc8cefd319e518b04fcdfe80b1306100%15
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153335+29.0%view →
crew 451936+20.2%view →
crew 87838+17.5%view →
crew 644234+13.3%view →
crew 204216+13.1%view →
crew 2539968+12.2%view →
crew 1651022+11.9%view →
crew 1633+10.4%view →
crew 178933337+10.4%view →
crew 272816+10.0%view →
crew 1372+9.1%view →
all86168+7.9%view →
crew 565917+7.5%view →
crew 1050127+7.2%view →
crew 496644+3.8%view →
crew 5626+3.3%view →
crew 336115+2.7%view →
crew 1509517+0.6%view →
crew 4320+0.0%view →
crew 34136+0.0%view →
crew 2351132+0.0%view →
crew 367752+0.0%view →
crew 408421+0.0%view →
crew 487483+0.0%view →
crew 557827+0.0%view →
crew 632316+0.0%view →
crew 652620+0.0%view →
crew 874327+0.0%view →
crew 1111522+0.0%view →
crew 1268231+0.0%view →
crew 1537223+0.0%view →
crew 1835418+0.0%view →
crew 2210231+0.0%view →
crew 2400224+0.0%view →
crew 359318-0.3%view →
crew 1088823-10.0%view →
crew 1643718-13.0%view →
crew 795627-20.0%view →
crew 1583115-20.0%view →
crew 1662828-20.0%view →
Crew 13412
3 resolved wallets
55ec5…a1d659680f…b1306342d9…817fc
Supporting episodes
19 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
d375…4cbf418,707,852+30.0%13412 replay
345a…5bbf411,981,585+30.0%13412 replay
5475…ebcf413,498,400+30.0%13412 replay
98ff…280f411,979,630+30.0%13412 replay
a2d0…7e0f418,707,233+30.0%13412 replay
f73d…089f411,978,899+30.0%13412 replay
2439…9fcf413,491,582+30.0%13412 replay
675a…162f418,507,376+15.4%13412 replay
b928…e83f418,515,400+0.1%13412 replay
2e0d…6d1f418,912,406+0.0%13412 replay
49fa…ae4f416,547,492+0.0%13412 replay
850f…4c7f409,662,958+0.0%13412 replay
a67f…c85f418,911,201+0.0%13412 replay
457a…2d2f416,564,925-8.6%13412 replay
50c6…489f418,507,489-20.0%13412 replay
1151…368f412,168,190-20.0%13412 replay
7f09…7d0f412,645,186-20.0%13412 replay
5e66…748f412,645,538-20.0%13412 replay
c221…e8af418,707,598-20.0%13412 replay