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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0
rule detail

wash·2-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.1x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 5% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 40842 anchors
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
5%
21 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+0.5% → +0.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.466
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.0% … +3.9%
Support21
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 4084
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0walleta222298f2bc0df67f8ff0308087e230d36db444d99afabdd8a864367ec797e0490%19
w1wallet815217d17c23a2d75cf59d5413ff68788fbcbcffea0ea3874ba22a10d3bdb25a95%20
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153335+29.0%✓view →
crew 451936+20.2%✓view →
crew 87838+17.5%—view →
crew 644234+13.3%—view →
crew 204216+13.1%—view →
crew 2539968+12.2%—view →
crew 1651022+11.9%—view →
crew 1633+10.4%—view →
crew 178933337+10.4%—view →
crew 272816+10.0%—view →
crew 1372+9.1%—view →
all86168+7.9%—view →
crew 565917+7.5%—view →
crew 1050127+7.2%—view →
crew 496644+3.8%—view →
crew 5626+3.3%—view →
crew 336115+2.7%—view →
crew 1509517+0.6%—view →
crew 4320+0.0%—view →
crew 34136+0.0%—view →
crew 2351132+0.0%—view →
crew 367752+0.0%—view →
crew 487483+0.0%—view →
crew 557827+0.0%—view →
crew 632316+0.0%—view →
crew 652620+0.0%—view →
crew 874327+0.0%—view →
crew 1111522+0.0%—view →
crew 1268231+0.0%—view →
crew 1341215+0.0%—view →
crew 1537223+0.0%—view →
crew 1835418+0.0%—view →
crew 2210231+0.0%—view →
crew 2400224+0.0%—view →
crew 359318-0.3%—view →
crew 1088823-10.0%—view →
crew 1643718-13.0%—view →
crew 795627-20.0%—view →
crew 1583115-20.0%—view →
crew 1662828-20.0%—view →
Crew 4084
7 resolved wallets
81521…db25a513d4…a83e769cbc…3bb8ac0eb4…f6c7ac966f…f35c13cb0c…f203db70da…f88fb
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
37f8…430f418,541,396+30.0%✓4084 replay
4350…405f416,529,718+30.0%✓4084 replay
dc80…3fef418,053,539+30.0%✓4084 replay
7079…12ef418,475,721+30.0%✓4084 replay
f571…876f416,534,935+30.0%✓4084 replay
cf80…a28f410,822,778+30.0%✓4084 replay
dba0…36af410,618,879+30.0%✓4084 replay
6211…94bf416,534,025+30.0%✓4084 replay
7b0c…138f417,828,215+6.1%4084 replay
ad7b…67df417,578,578+0.3%4084 replay
b55b…26cf419,807,117+0.2%4084 replay
67bc…3f6f417,578,507+0.1%4084 replay
81c9…e24f419,793,587+0.1%4084 replay
3a0c…623f416,303,990+0.0%4084 replay
5eb5…e35f419,977,404+0.0%4084 replay
2ab6…724f416,814,270+0.0%4084 replay
2ab9…330f417,578,464+0.0%4084 replay
cfdb…163f410,368,284+0.0%4084 replay
90e9…602f416,575,622+0.0%4084 replay
b7cf…daaf410,368,132+0.0%4084 replay
8d09…307f416,279,548+0.0%4084 replay
0268…89bf416,560,849+0.0%4084 replay
31ed…b5af417,578,579+0.0%4084 replay
45a9…c31f416,556,650+0.0%4084 replay
d9db…1b8f410,368,132+0.0%4084 replay
7eeb…c40f416,814,270+0.0%4084 replay
7f27…78ef419,808,149+0.0%4084 replay
c2c4…3fbf416,575,561+0.0%4084 replay
562d…d55f416,814,323+0.0%4084 replay
e647…5adf419,978,640+0.0%4084 replay
98a1…3aef416,575,651+0.0%4084 replay
7963…362f416,575,631+0.0%4084 replay
850c…3c3f416,279,421+0.0%4084 replay
a1cb…570f416,556,223+0.0%4084 replay
2428…792f410,368,132+0.0%4084 replay
e2bc…d3df416,279,421+0.0%4084 replay
2db2…a61f416,279,421+0.0%4084 replay
1969…ddcf416,556,650+0.0%4084 replay
01dd…a7af416,172,050+0.0%4084 replay
8c8d…bb1f410,368,284+0.0%4084 replay
a1b9…dd5f416,279,547+0.0%4084 replay
3a52…afef416,560,848+0.0%4084 replay
37aa…4b8f410,368,284+0.0%4084 replay
04df…d2df410,368,330+0.0%4084 replay
8030…bfff416,556,199+0.0%4084 replay
6bea…c75f416,593,170+0.0%4084 replay
af64…79bf410,368,330+0.0%4084 replay
8628…800f410,368,132+0.0%4084 replay
a678…ce0f416,593,170+0.0%4084 replay
2bdf…cf1f419,978,489+0.0%4084 replay
62f9…9b2f416,814,332+0.0%4084 replay
0a97…ca3f416,556,283+0.0%4084 replay
f70d…f50f416,593,284+0.0%4084 replay
6427…24ef417,578,634+0.0%4084 replay
5c0f…6e6f417,578,465+0.0%4084 replay
1731…30af416,279,547+0.0%4084 replay
f9fa…761f419,980,425+0.0%4084 replay
a3ab…7aaf418,299,876+0.0%4084 replay
0d57…e50f416,556,650+0.0%4084 replay
b01e…cc8f416,575,631+0.0%4084 replay