Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

wash·2-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 6% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 164372 anchors
OOS effect
-13.0%
n=20 out-of-sample
Hit rate
6%
18 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-8.3% -6.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-14.8% … -1.9%
Support18
OOS support20
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 16437
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet3acd38c7423dee8b4a737a5e531c32a52d7248436258022e81f2bf532b142d79100%38
w1wallet5334ab8fa1c368eff3f1c9482ee0542539cc846d70c95700544ee96b44042102100%38
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153335+29.0%view →
crew 451936+20.2%view →
crew 87838+17.5%view →
crew 644234+13.3%view →
crew 204216+13.1%view →
crew 2539968+12.2%view →
crew 1651022+11.9%view →
crew 1633+10.4%view →
crew 178933337+10.4%view →
crew 272816+10.0%view →
crew 1372+9.1%view →
all86168+7.9%view →
crew 565917+7.5%view →
crew 1050127+7.2%view →
crew 496644+3.8%view →
crew 5626+3.3%view →
crew 336115+2.7%view →
crew 1509517+0.6%view →
crew 4320+0.0%view →
crew 34136+0.0%view →
crew 2351132+0.0%view →
crew 367752+0.0%view →
crew 408421+0.0%view →
crew 487483+0.0%view →
crew 557827+0.0%view →
crew 632316+0.0%view →
crew 652620+0.0%view →
crew 874327+0.0%view →
crew 1111522+0.0%view →
crew 1268231+0.0%view →
crew 1341215+0.0%view →
crew 1537223+0.0%view →
crew 1835418+0.0%view →
crew 2210231+0.0%view →
crew 2400224+0.0%view →
crew 359318-0.3%view →
crew 1088823-10.0%view →
crew 795627-20.0%view →
crew 1583115-20.0%view →
crew 1662828-20.0%view →
Crew 16437
5 resolved wallets
5334a…42102855fb…9df6233c98…a4ce3f1309…21ad403983…f783a
Supporting episodes
8 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
55c3…1abf418,033,016+30.0%16437 replay
d80b…f4af418,044,323+30.0%16437 replay
3630…4b4f417,588,280-20.0%16437 replay
44f7…91bf417,590,371-20.0%16437 replay
c00a…f7ef417,591,233-20.0%16437 replay
be6a…470f417,617,663-20.0%16437 replay
db94…631f417,589,042-20.0%16437 replay
e868…bdff417,804,935-20.0%16437 replay