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rule detail

wash·2-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 14% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 111152 anchors
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
14%
22 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-0.9% → +0.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.670
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-7.9% … +6.1%
Support22
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 11115
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet2ca5f15d38030ed4676bada07888a9cc50cacdfcd580a3602d52942ee2f204dd100%22
w1walleted0c622e2e854e36e35051770ce83c4de09f787de0f85a78f742e60bfe43ecb4100%22
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153335+29.0%✓view →
crew 451936+20.2%✓view →
crew 87838+17.5%—view →
crew 644234+13.3%—view →
crew 204216+13.1%—view →
crew 2539968+12.2%—view →
crew 1651022+11.9%—view →
crew 1633+10.4%—view →
crew 178933337+10.4%—view →
crew 272816+10.0%—view →
crew 1372+9.1%—view →
all86168+7.9%—view →
crew 565917+7.5%—view →
crew 1050127+7.2%—view →
crew 496644+3.8%—view →
crew 5626+3.3%—view →
crew 336115+2.7%—view →
crew 1509517+0.6%—view →
crew 4320+0.0%—view →
crew 34136+0.0%—view →
crew 2351132+0.0%—view →
crew 367752+0.0%—view →
crew 408421+0.0%—view →
crew 487483+0.0%—view →
crew 557827+0.0%—view →
crew 632316+0.0%—view →
crew 652620+0.0%—view →
crew 874327+0.0%—view →
crew 1268231+0.0%—view →
crew 1341215+0.0%—view →
crew 1537223+0.0%—view →
crew 1835418+0.0%—view →
crew 2210231+0.0%—view →
crew 2400224+0.0%—view →
crew 359318-0.3%—view →
crew 1088823-10.0%—view →
crew 1643718-13.0%—view →
crew 795627-20.0%—view →
crew 1583115-20.0%—view →
crew 1662828-20.0%—view →
Crew 11115
6 resolved wallets
38930…020552ca5f…204dd28ff0…aaf4377439…7256ced0c6…3ecb4c785d…64ddd
Supporting episodes
44 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
ef01…4c3f409,857,375+30.0%✓11115 replay
7825…114f413,942,186+30.0%✓11115 replay
ff55…12ef411,916,600+30.0%✓11115 replay
03e8…823f409,721,873+30.0%✓11115 replay
08ff…f07f413,941,982+30.0%✓11115 replay
820e…3ddf409,880,366+30.0%✓11115 replay
5346…845f413,733,862+19.4%11115 replay
4892…af0f411,916,806+13.3%11115 replay
1d26…64df414,153,420+11.3%11115 replay
78af…04ef409,722,047+1.4%11115 replay
ffb9…b42f410,059,412+0.6%11115 replay
ee10…4eef409,857,535+0.0%11115 replay
b748…b04f409,726,875+0.0%11115 replay
3afe…3fbf410,334,418+0.0%11115 replay
786d…a92f410,606,789+0.0%11115 replay
75aa…b53f416,633,503+0.0%11115 replay
f234…e4ef416,681,950+0.0%11115 replay
abed…f2ef416,871,393+0.0%11115 replay
5ba9…8ddf416,268,438+0.0%11115 replay
0cc8…afef410,744,322+0.0%11115 replay
e00a…473f411,896,796+0.0%11115 replay
87d7…64df416,861,418+0.0%11115 replay
ce6f…237f416,443,324+0.0%11115 replay
da38…7e5f415,128,421+0.0%11115 replay
3a92…0aef409,886,027+0.0%11115 replay
d3b8…7f9f410,370,884+0.0%11115 replay
23a6…4d4f416,443,115+0.0%11115 replay
a17d…49df416,488,836+0.0%11115 replay
bbe8…328f416,525,649-3.1%11115 replay
f2f8…7acf416,453,743-3.1%11115 replay
a99f…3b1f411,871,918-4.4%11115 replay
3ae4…541f414,720,251-4.8%11115 replay
1562…31bf416,267,488-6.3%11115 replay
c3da…901f410,091,814-7.9%11115 replay
0783…75ff410,308,684-10.8%11115 replay
2855…5fcf414,736,259-10.8%11115 replay
a66e…338f413,833,403-11.3%11115 replay
0d22…c9af416,494,597-12.0%11115 replay
0d24…237f416,891,403-12.4%11115 replay
763b…dbdf410,580,715-15.0%11115 replay
3566…8c70409,856,264-20.0%11115 replay
b668…b07f410,377,990-20.0%11115 replay
2f86…e59f411,916,977-20.0%11115 replay
4d13…afdf414,396,539-20.0%11115 replay