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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
wash·2-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 52% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+10.4%
n=12 out-of-sample
Hit rate
52%
33 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+6.6% → +7.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.096
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.9% … +15.0%
Support33
OOS support12
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 16
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 1533 | 35 | +29.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 36 | +20.2% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 878 | 38 | +17.5% | — | view → |
| crew 6442 | 34 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 2042 | 16 | +13.1% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 68 | +12.2% | — | view → |
| crew 16510 | 22 | +11.9% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 3337 | +10.4% | — | view → |
| crew 2728 | 16 | +10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 72 | +9.1% | — | view → |
| all | 86168 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 5659 | 17 | +7.5% | — | view → |
| crew 1050 | 127 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 4966 | 44 | +3.8% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | +3.3% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 115 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 15095 | 17 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 36 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2351 | 132 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4084 | 21 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4874 | 83 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5578 | 27 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6323 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6526 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8743 | 27 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11115 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12682 | 31 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13412 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15372 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 18354 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 22102 | 31 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24002 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3593 | 18 | -0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 10888 | 23 | -10.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16437 | 18 | -13.0% | — | view → |
| crew 7956 | 27 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15831 | 15 | -20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16628 | 28 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 16
200 resolved wallets
93ff6…9ba4d6895f…a2956a068f…8c3dc8f6e4…c365a94ee6…890fbae7d7…265ee646d6…cfdcd507f5…c772acbfd3…efc4261e81…047efaf65a…d62bebd61f…d7997428c6…09ab94c954…7797588412…8b3a003c05…85092b1600…53dad63f0c…96432732a0…becf3d57d1…5288dc0c73…3c60e0d1b8…530a8fc8e7…993cfdc935…fa5a6db4d9…8a6bb24478…c8c14c60bf…df82ccde8a…0a34751657…1de9b6406d…271ebdb067…ddc7bb2274…2ab6af5c05…48266f9117…f79640b8cd…45fbd2255b…4e5e912f27…16d71c0e37…040534f0da…e71860cb6a…217a2e5aa9…f13f944a9f…a482a76624…70ef9d5aac…f1412e35f4…80403e0dce…1135bc6dbd…80371eb079…bc16dda5ee…8c9310ab5d…7cd306b044…5399e5cabb…f76b58d212…1c5136b85e…6868055087…f7e572eb62…1e41b7cd46…33ea67485b…d6f70f38bd…7f2fee28fd…61561c5671…393c869542…7599f1a533…c7bf17517e…29d5d1e25d…f77d9ba977…f186a9dea0…fa98ffa7a3…1feb6e997e…f13ae5386d…f56671dda4…d0d4bf06e9…392c6e0ef3…3622436b04…5d7b30b704…963b9848e8…51faef99e7…6ccf6147c1…d203c5f695…5a215b5175…339b8+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c8a1…de8f | 412,973,263 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 271d…ea8f | 420,288,879 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 3f48…752f | 413,898,922 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 731f…036f | 417,450,583 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| c9f5…f26f | 420,375,218 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| ca11…f9ef | 420,710,254 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| fff3…6b7f | 412,146,550 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| d96a…346f | 417,682,786 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 0f3e…172f | 420,815,986 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 2903…289f | 420,263,220 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| b899…d61f | 416,550,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| c567…94af | 412,348,468 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 7cdc…921f | 420,717,771 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| e025…4ddf | 412,354,295 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 961f…613f | 420,913,402 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 60b6…62df | 416,553,310 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| b726…48ef | 414,506,864 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| b73d…946f | 416,440,591 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 74ac…a8cf | 409,678,131 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 44c0…15df | 414,519,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| b974…5e2f | 412,745,389 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| b7e7…461f | 420,898,277 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 90f9…644f | 411,597,470 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 2acf…5a4f | 421,015,559 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 925e…65bf | 424,185,484 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 4741…dcbf | 420,240,293 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 8202…a3ef | 422,316,750 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| d712…801f | 416,909,217 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 2f54…204f | 423,177,948 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 9297…0dff | 420,919,067 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 4fa0…9c0f | 411,362,257 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| e734…155f | 411,598,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| e57d…cedf | 418,130,872 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 9598…badf | 414,824,588 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 7cbf…b17f | 412,095,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 7e07…44cf | 416,497,236 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 7509…9eff | 419,314,301 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| d5db…de8f | 411,912,010 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 96bd…03cf | 417,543,392 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 7dd6…c67f | 420,636,414 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| e9f5…49df | 422,462,618 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 7dd9…af7f | 419,068,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 063e…80ff | 420,810,733 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 93fc…40ff | 412,314,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 3753…b89f | 418,020,231 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| fc55…eb8f | 417,682,937 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 08de…1b3f | 420,611,088 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 95a4…7d3f | 415,392,905 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 3504…51cf | 417,680,560 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| bf65…89df | 417,584,885 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 06a4…daaf | 413,904,888 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| fd7a…4d0f | 417,166,634 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| e76d…50ff | 419,781,384 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 80c2…b5ff | 416,064,100 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 7833…8c9f | 421,017,648 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| ff0c…7bdf | 411,871,311 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 5687…43ff | 410,832,178 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 577a…4edf | 412,719,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 3504…f80f | 412,724,441 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 68be…b0ef | 419,313,616 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |