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rule detail

wash·2-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 54% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 178932 anchors
OOS effect
+10.4%
n=469 out-of-sample
Hit rate
54%
3337 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+12.9% → +12.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+12.2% … +13.6%
Support3,337
OOS support469
MDL bits20
Case / control49851 / 61403
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 17893
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0walleta02eb937802b82eeccfab533c789998b528d4856d17806bb83fd07d9c22a11e7100%3806
w1wallet08552299e5fca7e077aa7d99291807b487148cf28dd82240094f4f1ea6498817100%3806
Other crews running this exact shape
40 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 153335+29.0%✓view →
crew 451936+20.2%✓view →
crew 87838+17.5%—view →
crew 644234+13.3%—view →
crew 204216+13.1%—view →
crew 2539968+12.2%—view →
crew 1651022+11.9%—view →
crew 1633+10.4%—view →
crew 272816+10.0%—view →
crew 1372+9.1%—view →
all86168+7.9%—view →
crew 565917+7.5%—view →
crew 1050127+7.2%—view →
crew 496644+3.8%—view →
crew 5626+3.3%—view →
crew 336115+2.7%—view →
crew 1509517+0.6%—view →
crew 4320+0.0%—view →
crew 34136+0.0%—view →
crew 2351132+0.0%—view →
crew 367752+0.0%—view →
crew 408421+0.0%—view →
crew 487483+0.0%—view →
crew 557827+0.0%—view →
crew 632316+0.0%—view →
crew 652620+0.0%—view →
crew 874327+0.0%—view →
crew 1111522+0.0%—view →
crew 1268231+0.0%—view →
crew 1341215+0.0%—view →
crew 1537223+0.0%—view →
crew 1835418+0.0%—view →
crew 2210231+0.0%—view →
crew 2400224+0.0%—view →
crew 359318-0.3%—view →
crew 1088823-10.0%—view →
crew 1643718-13.0%—view →
crew 795627-20.0%—view →
crew 1583115-20.0%—view →
crew 1662828-20.0%—view →
Crew 17893
6 resolved wallets
08552…98817db630…3bd35d36db…61ad1a02eb…a11e77c025…a8913d3d6a…ff073
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
b670…591f418,893,582+30.0%✓17893 replay
2aba…6987420,315,820+30.0%✓17893 replay
2aa9…e67f413,593,705+30.0%✓17893 replay
b779…30ff418,639,283+30.0%✓17893 replay
b6e3…ed9f419,305,544+30.0%✓17893 replay
b66d…f25f422,621,583+30.0%✓17893 replay
5dc4…e51e421,804,695+30.0%✓17893 replay
5cc7…2d6f418,767,787+30.0%✓17893 replay
2761…c86f417,358,967+30.0%✓17893 replay
6a92…cb3f415,029,859+30.0%✓17893 replay
0eb5…c71f422,430,267+30.0%✓17893 replay
d32a…54bf415,663,980+30.0%✓17893 replay
d30a…1e22418,193,885+30.0%✓17893 replay
c39c…451f414,936,163+30.0%✓17893 replay
c380…ab1f416,291,140+30.0%✓17893 replay
c36e…e3bf413,325,340+30.0%✓17893 replay
4064…120f420,346,614+30.0%✓17893 replay
3f8f…e8ff418,265,285+30.0%✓17893 replay
dc0f…8d4f417,665,379+30.0%✓17893 replay
dbdb…361f415,696,546+30.0%✓17893 replay
de73…981f423,345,290+30.0%✓17893 replay
1c97…a17f420,765,392+30.0%✓17893 replay
1ba0…8faf425,546,229+30.0%✓17893 replay
fcf3…cddb418,395,200+30.0%✓17893 replay
fc7a…98cf411,357,855+30.0%✓17893 replay
fc3d…e0ff421,531,386+30.0%✓17893 replay
4333…badf411,539,103+30.0%✓17893 replay
8ae2…bc0f418,198,800+30.0%✓17893 replay
8a54…9eef422,225,167+30.0%✓17893 replay
8a37…43df411,639,821+30.0%✓17893 replay
2335…5eef419,796,624+30.0%✓17893 replay
229a…5e9f411,857,857+30.0%✓17893 replay
2296…c8cf416,692,031+30.0%✓17893 replay
3fce…99cf416,324,840+30.0%✓17893 replay
3fae…914f410,363,953+30.0%✓17893 replay
3f14…f50f412,471,358+30.0%✓17893 replay
b70e…733f417,363,770+30.0%✓17893 replay
b6ac…ad3f419,845,180+30.0%✓17893 replay
fc1e…4d8f410,784,098+30.0%✓17893 replay
2633…0e2f412,166,027+30.0%✓17893 replay
26bc…a5bf415,179,048+30.0%✓17893 replay
cec6…4a7f416,075,905+30.0%✓17893 replay
7f5a…e6cf418,602,291+30.0%✓17893 replay
2657…3b2f417,544,963+30.0%✓17893 replay
cebe…ffaf412,858,734+30.0%✓17893 replay
ce87…bff7421,629,080+30.0%✓17893 replay
ce01…30af416,881,367+30.0%✓17893 replay
8971…e3af414,344,858+30.0%✓17893 replay
7389…7fbf413,963,748+30.0%✓17893 replay
3e9c…854f413,427,995+30.0%✓17893 replay
474b…58ff413,514,803+30.0%✓17893 replay
d8b0…9b2f422,326,581+30.0%✓17893 replay
9123…433f418,083,291+30.0%✓17893 replay
4411…7aaf422,076,290+30.0%✓17893 replay
d88b…6d1f417,631,313+30.0%✓17893 replay
c8ba…c4bf416,528,915+30.0%✓17893 replay
4764…64cf416,243,897+30.0%✓17893 replay
c9ec…60bf412,071,693+30.0%✓17893 replay
3a2b…0baf416,769,507+30.0%✓17893 replay
8b18…3888420,852,109+30.0%✓17893 replay