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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 0.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 17% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+11.3%
n=13 out-of-sample
Hit rate
17%
35 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-7.5% → -5.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-14.0% … -1.1%
Support35
OOS support13
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 171
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 171
200 resolved wallets
3233e…ce7ae1e4ad…2507b29f26…8c6ba34732…bfe51e98ba…e7d8a546c6…20e7942227…d404ea1763…d628b79791…9c3407dc1a…eb7fa18d54…c7843aca21…403caa18f9…6734d00ad8…e7f6965d5c…0fd9296d5f…eaa344824d…ace175105e…12f3baee01…ebc708d56d…76d4ae2eff…85e0adc8e1…d4f9e587cb…46439ada35…48297ada70…a4bd34f50a…097bb7e64a…3523c651f4…8d627525b6…17f82565a5…4b909ef828…7be963ec68…d97613e0d5…c910c13233…9ab7b18814…94ff6bfbb0…e18c51d84e…83453893bf…36077e50f1…c82d40bb8d…20e1a11e3d…214599a01e…e311fd1c9b…1a97674bad…c6c190f68f…6d29dd99aa…7556fc739a…67514e32d4…a2fe1482cf…81ceca6028…90b7440142…1b8da6c239…4dbdff7f88…e70ed14dda…50794ac42c…12bded4f82…1cd0f1b6ec…8a4a4cb44c…24f5ca4279…f2a36f0607…9fd28ac61c…efbc853e31…28a91a1d4b…7d7e68b1a7…a24927a29e…d4d6eae2df…bf245df026…c7f4cce1d6…1a935a3138…bc53555f02…eda79cd254…e1a7469b87…4aca2a59cd…4c73338284…4ab15e0846…a0d96aa745…1d989e77f5…892684ccf6…5292a78212…9429c13d29…5ad1d+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c911…457f | 418,216,065 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 465d…650f | 427,024,631 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 470f…387f | 424,155,327 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 7f44…685f | 418,682,006 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 72fe…bf6f | 419,555,827 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| c3b2…ff4f | 419,537,872 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 7ae2…fd6f | 413,276,539 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 48bc…044f | 418,003,001 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| b379…f3cf | 424,669,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 405a…99cf | 420,521,967 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 4115…608f | 419,623,589 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 0f15…983f | 422,591,019 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 4605…2fef | 416,579,790 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| f180…31ff | 425,239,846 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 41e7…36ff | 416,906,022 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8ca3…d66f | 418,289,380 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 26d7…3e3f | 419,645,429 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| b9ac…904f | 416,903,183 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 4bf8…7b8f | 424,138,405 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 90ed…f47f | 426,594,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| df80…441f | 419,743,736 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 15eb…21af | 418,595,242 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8f30…6c6f | 411,916,885 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| f801…d09f | 423,732,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 88a1…3c8f | 415,723,485 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| bb62…78ef | 418,725,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 7cff…5eff | 425,400,789 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8f7b…df6f | 420,067,849 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 4560…c54c | 410,827,051 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 7a43…a74f | 417,884,464 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 45b1…c24f | 415,817,048 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 4680…f9cf | 422,866,419 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 321d…4e5f | 420,154,040 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 327b…348f | 420,621,059 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 929c…7cdf | 412,057,996 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 361d…5e6f | 417,870,337 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 972a…39ff | 419,778,834 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| c4f5…8c8f | 417,053,606 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8721…185f | 425,335,630 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 3680…b89f | 419,390,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 6a40…75bf | 418,270,985 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| c9c7…128f | 425,250,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| a43f…c54f | 418,686,601 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 0eee…23ef | 425,448,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| c7a2…611f | 421,904,561 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 7d31…203f | 424,980,259 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| a677…ed2f | 425,459,736 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 6cbe…39ef | 425,244,578 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 9ca5…c2bf | 420,494,349 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 80e6…335f | 422,624,965 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 89a8…92df | 419,743,586 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| ccc3…9050 | 410,179,100 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| cbc7…e5ff | 425,245,202 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 3431…c1ff | 419,539,718 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| a31b…88ef | 423,392,598 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 73ba…209f | 425,234,098 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8cf8…a19f | 425,391,368 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8d5e…041f | 418,972,751 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| f286…51df | 420,066,546 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 3663…c81f | 421,271,851 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |