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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 31% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+14.2%
n=5 out-of-sample
Hit rate
31%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.8% → +5.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.238
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-5.5% … +15.0%
Support16
OOS support5
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 373
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 373
200 resolved wallets
fe3b5…933eae193b…a5db85629b…43290c669d…f214b77419…3b47844b96…076026abd2…23e31ab7b7…674e6b4612…c992ab7bc8…4b2699d886…4d8cdff028…3eaceff356…3949e25f49…d291ce9783…dac8da565f…29d982e98d…34e5a83fb4…d15a07ca23…68dc706e3e…c5e8c1986e…fcfd917b58…5e3a5aeced…3f9f98a6b4…e178e0da18…719cb3c374…2a4b93805b…5e26197c8b…3d913f2c60…42271bfa41…cd2e4eab02…61ed18059c…b895e30599…e14b859a5e…6327a3bcef…c083385322…c0310073de…8be1b4f994…1b17f7fdde…dae305bd13…381677e6d4…fc5b48d681…1aa7dee4ea…fe98fade2c…8b2a87f403…195b850848…9640c00261…4220a1d211…81c7a16605…90a98fcb6f…135c0e4415…f60322a614…4320dfb749…3d05084983…bad4892bb7…abac7ea548…2057ba8927…be3794a878…183275c96d…07a2a93b1c…ef9810ea50…cb36014492…fdf049cf8b…6eb262be08…12de93e97e…7f0a7be717…62a941bf44…7ce38ec22d…dd1cd6f698…21a128880d…cacb9912fa…1ca7b01aab…7730132ea6…e074717363…1c5ce7c72e…a9ce2f7733…26620dce45…2b296b7020…f3915df5e4…71ae365d79…c43dc+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7e67…606f | 414,336,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 1c36…22ef | 419,154,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 6f96…1c1f | 414,140,778 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| de15…2d0f | 420,855,107 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| dbc6…69bf | 411,900,415 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 0ee4…3b5f | 423,513,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| caa4…11bf | 417,053,701 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 40b4…c08f | 420,007,892 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| d9f6…e71f | 423,863,264 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| dd30…31af | 417,405,634 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7c20…001f | 417,894,632 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 761b…fc0f | 417,917,724 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| df0c…542f | 420,057,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| d581…30ef | 424,265,171 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7cfa…bccf | 413,000,636 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7db8…b66f | 420,832,779 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 3e61…ce8f | 412,400,155 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 829c…0a1f | 426,009,298 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 4b4e…4bdf | 412,252,640 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2857…822f | 426,525,415 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 1fb4…888f | 417,420,002 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7871…e0cf | 420,854,716 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7890…49df | 423,514,217 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 5da2…8bbf | 417,432,804 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7f52…5fef | 412,314,185 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| cffd…3c8f | 412,242,526 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2ac6…0e8f | 422,848,532 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 4287…388f | 419,288,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 80db…01ef | 419,818,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 91b1…f36f | 425,149,887 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 47c4…873f | 420,646,228 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2be8…9daf | 417,867,023 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2c76…e4cf | 409,904,165 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7961…c1cf | 424,946,912 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2f20…cbbf | 415,484,286 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 829f…8f3f | 420,024,456 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 8e2a…923f | 423,615,402 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| e159…102f | 410,511,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 041e…335f | 419,758,407 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 44e9…1c4f | 426,376,983 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 9d2c…7e4f | 421,816,859 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7f41…2abf | 412,119,673 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| d72b…4bdf | 424,737,474 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 3101…10ff | 419,991,009 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| e986…9c8f | 423,487,426 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7790…470f | 417,455,463 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 8816…a50f | 410,376,212 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 9a41…e59f | 412,015,598 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| e729…bc1f | 421,056,379 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| ea89…eb9f | 417,451,516 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 6673…a1bf | 416,982,124 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 66aa…ea8f | 412,016,858 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 95f9…21ef | 424,556,780 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 4a25…0bff | 412,247,936 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 4a39…085d | 427,163,909 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| c2de…b6cf | 424,109,769 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 9adc…3eff | 421,816,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 8245…823f | 414,165,612 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 3835…29bf | 411,994,909 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 9ea9…5abf | 423,495,069 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |