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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 30% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-2.3%
n=17 out-of-sample
Hit rate
30%
30 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+2.9% → +3.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.273
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.2% … +10.0%
Support30
OOS support17
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 31
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 31
200 resolved wallets
dc4b6…bf04fc8c29…5a07d555ab…d12006f990…9baade677b…59afba5885…fbdf98fc34…d692eeace0…ac40cc3773…57d632425b…a273c1e2cb…c5f0c11bc9…35c259729b…0522dfa64f…732ed9cf2c…f6ccdddb49…63440feaaf…79c11fdc86…8c25cde6c8…e6e96734a1…098b330ce0…634e94fe21…d503478d9a…aa9ad63738…d8505bc583…046e8c0287…6b2c33ebb2…701adb2164…ec22c2b6bb…9ff065fea1…c1d6a0516b…7c1962f47d…ab1409dec4…dd59030c56…b7756887b3…a924dd4a00…8dba236cfb…76381293f3…6afe36dc41…141b9eb1af…c00126c265…9bd908d9b9…42a2d9526c…4b6c73f235…d552cd0e15…3271fb8a62…7c8c510761…d6ab1f3fa0…dbad95e1d9…bd9dc4d7c5…e2d681abe0…fc7831cd98…53083b2300…d606083cf5…a6e263717f…14c0d47c6c…c4aeece6c1…37ca25af1e…f4db65a72f…8bd35bdb74…a9879a1d82…25938e008d…f245ce43c1…91aff727cd…551942b24e…a5eec0d09f…d06f9095d0…80c5694bd4…870dba70d6…603d2a56d7…9c6275272f…e53bc7f203…153bd539c2…5d8f641096…0df044460c…92308e137e…dab642b759…b60292db51…563c09cd3c…4cb42c88a4…aebad+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72ef…f47f | 423,037,558 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| dbe2…33ff | 418,191,219 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 8fe7…5b1f | 427,518,553 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 1ba8…fd6f | 426,130,078 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| fc09…b84f | 427,157,658 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 8892…9a5f | 426,102,698 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 7325…595f | 416,796,204 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 91ea…21ff | 427,002,345 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 2954…c5bf | 420,180,274 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 27d4…b98f | 416,454,960 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 89c0…db6f | 424,138,861 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 6bab…f44f | 422,456,952 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 73c5…62df | 426,778,384 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 4a2b…8bdf | 420,971,558 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| dab2…3b6f | 417,164,209 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 8d11…ce3f | 419,138,205 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 719d…e44f | 426,129,651 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 42b9…ef8f | 427,399,937 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| c57b…1f1f | 423,284,322 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| c5bc…7faf | 417,846,158 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 75bc…777f | 424,245,355 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 105f…7b5f | 426,883,639 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 7b42…a23f | 423,255,662 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| d663…4e1f | 415,730,046 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 82e5…65ef | 418,331,977 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 871e…1b0f | 422,610,448 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 71e9…98cf | 412,231,558 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 15ee…35cf | 426,107,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 4e7c…e0af | 417,215,592 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 7761…d15f | 410,795,909 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 8ded…705f | 416,092,928 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| bb70…c37f | 420,032,003 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 7b12…41ef | 417,191,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| e5f4…0b4f | 423,276,000 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 79c9…945f | 417,849,150 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 47de…12cf | 417,674,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 9366…e53f | 417,675,486 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 4fa0…a69f | 413,545,720 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 2478…0e0f | 426,112,655 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 32b9…5def | 422,460,801 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 35aa…fa3f | 417,844,636 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| d598…fbdf | 423,185,767 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 9cbb…4dff | 418,201,432 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| c527…4a2f | 418,543,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 2da0…494f | 420,938,797 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 8245…cf8f | 426,101,207 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 375d…28df | 415,416,927 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| c808…26af | 417,848,997 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 88b0…6c4f | 417,158,715 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 0c86…d90f | 417,655,560 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| c72d…3f1f | 413,545,491 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 9ce6…e3ef | 420,382,439 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| cbce…b20f | 423,343,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| cc2f…6c6f | 423,261,192 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 8936…d59f | 418,854,141 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| c90b…7cdf | 412,554,291 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 7fb1…439f | 418,428,260 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| ccbb…2e4f | 417,168,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| b4c2…fb0f | 422,725,380 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 7167…9f95 | 427,363,029 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |