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rule detail

fan-in(2)→buy

rejected: only 0.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 14% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 23183
OOS effect
-15.4%
n=13 out-of-sample
Hit rate
14%
22 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-11.4% → -8.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-18.8% … -3.9%
Support22
OOS support13
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 23183
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 1318315+30.0%—view →
crew 2462326+30.0%—view →
crew 2757716+28.3%✓view →
crew 1515+18.7%—view →
crew 2539917+16.0%—view →
crew 1642+15.1%—view →
crew 451918+14.9%—view →
crew 37316+14.2%—view →
crew 17135+11.3%—view →
crew 654+11.2%—view →
crew 1926+9.8%—view →
crew 5942+9.7%—view →
crew 2129+8.9%—view →
crew 9431+8.4%—view →
crew 532+8.1%—view →
all301982+7.1%—view →
crew 13230+6.9%—view →
crew 270247+5.8%—view →
crew 140124+5.0%—view →
crew 507515+5.0%—view →
crew 14522+4.6%—view →
crew 6832+4.3%—view →
crew 8825+3.4%—view →
crew 33625+2.8%—view →
crew 5522+2.7%—view →
crew 3618+2.7%—view →
crew 15316+0.0%—view →
crew 83416+0.0%—view →
crew 297823+0.0%—view →
crew 1052115+0.0%—view →
crew 3423-0.4%—view →
crew 2071-1.0%—view →
crew 3130-2.3%—view →
crew 4722-9.7%—view →
crew 2203115-18.6%—view →
Crew 23183
3 resolved wallets
088ba…aa6095ade1…1929c5d2ba…62e88
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
26c7…c3b5419,636,052+30.0%✓23183 replay
df37…a75a416,380,650+30.0%✓23183 replay
3db1…7362417,055,309+30.0%✓23183 replay
288a…04c0415,413,831+30.0%✓23183 replay
28b5…10bc421,950,369+30.0%✓23183 replay
28e5…17fc419,436,087+30.0%✓23183 replay
7855…e209420,296,437+30.0%✓23183 replay
2edd…6a04420,639,691+30.0%✓23183 replay
92db…26f6416,380,372+30.0%✓23183 replay
8710…8298420,214,429+30.0%✓23183 replay
e63b…aab9414,209,609+30.0%✓23183 replay
315a…df0d419,399,698+30.0%✓23183 replay
5ae6…e609416,285,171+30.0%✓23183 replay
37ea…3198424,255,208+30.0%✓23183 replay
9b76…825f416,284,221+30.0%✓23183 replay
92d9…1664416,382,753+30.0%✓23183 replay
768c…5742416,303,493+30.0%✓23183 replay
1942…7fef423,524,840+30.0%✓23183 replay
621b…ba07426,499,764+30.0%✓23183 replay
6f8f…d80b409,892,879+30.0%✓23183 replay
ea5e…552f420,467,722+30.0%✓23183 replay
b808…e5a0415,913,852+30.0%✓23183 replay
8063…2a1e416,170,368+30.0%✓23183 replay
9f13…8fbe416,287,583+30.0%✓23183 replay
b9df…2ebd414,331,308+30.0%✓23183 replay
49e9…db77421,045,643+30.0%✓23183 replay
17d4…46bd421,490,840+30.0%✓23183 replay
cb2f…f025416,167,370+30.0%✓23183 replay
c052…9a07415,026,303+30.0%✓23183 replay
9d2d…a5c2420,923,785+30.0%✓23183 replay
2b63…fea5420,214,426+30.0%✓23183 replay
799b…0021416,369,160+30.0%✓23183 replay
a7d2…5842419,519,552+30.0%✓23183 replay
d27f…9010416,396,593+30.0%✓23183 replay
3083…b2ef427,389,030+30.0%✓23183 replay
9320…da3d418,332,456+30.0%✓23183 replay
f783…fb00420,953,137+30.0%✓23183 replay
0996…a024416,381,017+30.0%✓23183 replay
451e…51af425,597,715+30.0%✓23183 replay
6df1…4542416,280,963+30.0%✓23183 replay
2fc0…63db427,171,911+30.0%✓23183 replay
5c0c…f203420,476,751+30.0%✓23183 replay
ffa8…6737413,874,342+30.0%✓23183 replay
0048…f344416,285,166+30.0%✓23183 replay
4a76…b5ad426,793,618+30.0%✓23183 replay
d058…7441415,916,079+30.0%✓23183 replay
6015…a3ab427,598,903+30.0%✓23183 replay
c715…fdc9420,514,239+30.0%✓23183 replay
5fd0…d3df413,947,827+30.0%✓23183 replay
6cbe…b525416,297,346+30.0%✓23183 replay
856d…16f9419,256,182+30.0%✓23183 replay
8895…ff3b416,283,611+30.0%✓23183 replay
6ea3…95f3414,818,308+30.0%✓23183 replay
9481…2504420,295,165+30.0%✓23183 replay
a7fe…3e97420,076,601+30.0%✓23183 replay
6524…1b80415,690,956+30.0%✓23183 replay
af9a…d5d6417,840,560+30.0%✓23183 replay
bbac…ad89415,686,289+30.0%✓23183 replay
4361…fb09416,157,166+30.0%✓23183 replay
6e96…8235413,874,808+30.0%✓23183 replay