Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

fan-in(2)→buy

rejected: only 0.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 7% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 50752 anchors
OOS effect
+5.0%
n=3 out-of-sample
Hit rate
7%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-8.4% -5.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferwwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-15.9% … -0.9%
Support15
OOS support3
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 5075
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0walletabedd9b0e397ab04b5a42768801ce5ea412601f15c4f6319fe8d147a34b697c794%17
w1wallet657c613f49149e7a98c702ccf4e1809e1c39c8a42f7ef3c4ce73547aed671bc994%17
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 1318315+30.0%view →
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crew 2129+8.9%view →
crew 9431+8.4%view →
crew 532+8.1%view →
all301982+7.1%view →
crew 13230+6.9%view →
crew 270247+5.8%view →
crew 140124+5.0%view →
crew 14522+4.6%view →
crew 6832+4.3%view →
crew 8825+3.4%view →
crew 33625+2.8%view →
crew 5522+2.7%view →
crew 3618+2.7%view →
crew 15316+0.0%view →
crew 83416+0.0%view →
crew 297823+0.0%view →
crew 1052115+0.0%view →
crew 3423-0.4%view →
crew 2071-1.0%view →
crew 3130-2.3%view →
crew 4722-9.7%view →
crew 2318322-15.4%view →
crew 2203115-18.6%view →
Crew 5075
4 resolved wallets
44e21…64cfe8d150…2935fc6c93…ec206abedd…697c7
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
75f2…626f416,763,942+30.0%5075 replay
2dbf…684f410,161,489+30.0%5075 replay
8db3…531f425,645,159+30.0%5075 replay
08b8…bd9f416,500,509+30.0%5075 replay
a171…19ff413,497,590+30.0%5075 replay
6767…394f425,635,111+30.0%5075 replay
a443…026f426,011,466+30.0%5075 replay
40f1…c61f416,751,426+30.0%5075 replay
bf3e…c80f422,950,812+30.0%5075 replay
c8b9…60bf416,536,254+30.0%5075 replay
6106…572f416,346,094+30.0%5075 replay
7b30…192f412,520,304+30.0%5075 replay
9fcd…8f2f424,488,445+30.0%5075 replay
62c2…84ff424,892,828+30.0%5075 replay
2f77…e5cf422,381,688+30.0%5075 replay
f665…474f412,516,428+30.0%5075 replay
359d…495f426,005,455+30.0%5075 replay
8318…0d9f416,345,636+30.0%5075 replay
7fbf…45af424,040,808+30.0%5075 replay
38d0…729f420,134,502+30.0%5075 replay
839f…c13f418,668,013+30.0%5075 replay
c997…50ff426,006,935+30.0%5075 replay
7079…47ef423,923,018+30.0%5075 replay
eaef…20cf426,013,329+30.0%5075 replay
5e66…418f420,131,649+30.0%5075 replay
a06d…415f424,039,631+30.0%5075 replay
f29c…f0df418,656,687+30.0%5075 replay
8be2…f07f416,764,748+30.0%5075 replay
b065…d200416,512,446+30.0%5075 replay
34c6…b89f419,273,403+30.0%5075 replay
b999…214f425,668,347+30.0%5075 replay
f9b5…358f425,665,149+30.0%5075 replay
1c7c…af4f412,321,184+30.0%5075 replay
1efb…a99f418,665,989+30.0%5075 replay
2ac3…f7ef416,756,237+30.0%5075 replay
52c4…3e6f424,491,180+30.0%5075 replay
6357…15bf413,746,350+30.0%5075 replay
a576…1bbf411,913,025+30.0%5075 replay
db91…60ef417,379,336+30.0%5075 replay
9b5c…393f426,009,984+30.0%5075 replay
f23c…32cf426,311,720+30.0%5075 replay
e237…cdcf418,672,460+30.0%5075 replay
e299…8fdf417,379,333+30.0%5075 replay
07fc…fabf423,655,602+30.0%5075 replay
2ef9…37af412,517,598+30.0%5075 replay
eaff…177f417,838,288+30.0%5075 replay
e346…cddf417,380,044+30.0%5075 replay
b670…2d6f426,018,164+30.0%5075 replay
e110…9a7f425,634,164+30.0%5075 replay
b8a0…ce8f426,018,230+30.0%5075 replay
bbda…e9ef411,910,394+30.0%5075 replay
06f4…9acf427,432,933+30.0%5075 replay
a8da…3eff420,655,396+30.0%5075 replay
a851…9a5f418,669,180+30.0%5075 replay
131f…d69f411,911,360+30.0%5075 replay
7a76…deaf423,923,278+30.0%5075 replay
2d13…e8ff416,502,859+30.0%5075 replay
5d84…129f424,040,319+30.0%5075 replay
1c97…a10f425,639,359+30.0%5075 replay
d755…4f9f416,530,923+30.0%5075 replay