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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 1.1x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 36% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-9.7%
n=6 out-of-sample
Hit rate
36%
22 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+7.7% → +8.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.050
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-0.4% … +15.8%
Support22
OOS support6
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 47
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 47
200 resolved wallets
1bdde…e7931882ed…aed038c19f…6379176588…30e14f8b96…c936ec724a…4b7cc2ec2c…3175930bc1…512f833bb1…8ef4c0eb58…88ef8cdb0e…88a9c43e7e…1a6c253fba…d15b26aa48…2be87e5d0d…7f13842ad3…f9389ba4a0…e1e589726e…dbe125a475…fa7460000b…386c98bf9e…99f83f00b5…0318e9fcd9…89dcb900c4…babeb679de…f44bac3474…0abfdc9ab1…fac864f8da…0eceec90ee…d0aa34c7cb…5ce6d90e11…501d2fe000…947b016454…7422c90ae9…4f1888a32c…584784ca04…2e841292de…9dfdadb5b2…dff7d79fce…2709b10125…ac2e43f421…e6de1eb213…de84a1b3ac…bec7ace621…e4922298df…7edf0432f9…486b881597…508a241188…0141571151…64acb478fc…5414516fd6…d0c2c58a7a…a0b3881646…3152553ff8…ee3e4d71df…1fc2450595…372b2a8e33…cc142a1653…310f7bd197…209b66ddbf…fbd873f4c4…6af39dee74…9424df3c7c…98d24d658d…fb3ab91573…c4e23b8e14…a725b15363…3196fd8182…2bf569a7fa…c0c4f17ea0…5e69373d83…1816e01bd7…2b7dccfd66…2cfc84717f…5c8ec341d0…48146efde5…4bc69692c1…0523bee8e1…0065797468…6b67058ee4…fe42d+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8926…a36f | 412,760,324 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 6aa0…d7ff | 412,362,617 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d817…beef | 414,107,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| de53…350f | 425,204,034 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| b762…d55f | 424,131,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 2bfb…b60f | 420,213,680 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 23d3…05ff | 427,417,340 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 743c…5b9f | 420,087,407 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| b452…ac8f | 409,663,125 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 89be…724f | 413,423,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 4794…467f | 415,799,409 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 47ad…4faf | 424,600,005 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7492…21ff | 424,573,209 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8bf6…5d8f | 419,785,302 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 2f47…8fef | 424,599,902 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 9920…aedf | 418,287,371 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7bdb…d8ef | 413,261,622 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 4e45…ca3f | 416,861,812 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8681…254f | 419,282,574 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8ffd…f3cf | 427,421,569 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 60c3…2a7f | 410,165,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 445c…c3ff | 414,507,047 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d27d…301f | 411,991,203 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 948f…07bf | 409,569,101 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 310e…874f | 411,990,499 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 308e…17af | 418,220,966 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d73c…d56f | 415,169,179 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7355…f67f | 411,718,180 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| e4eb…772f | 423,480,597 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8837…9e9f | 411,989,452 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 0bb5…dd1f | 420,583,922 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7aa2…7faf | 420,924,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 68fa…2dff | 413,715,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 37a7…8c7f | 413,107,028 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| a307…5b9f | 423,053,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| a37e…18d1 | 419,531,922 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 88a8…58ef | 410,253,523 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| a542…4c4f | 411,637,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| c6ba…b34f | 418,228,854 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| ca1c…37ff | 412,761,208 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 9add…18cf | 413,728,091 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7cad…3ccf | 416,599,323 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| c78c…5eef | 418,225,794 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7f93…120f | 417,038,573 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 0ee8…f3df | 418,161,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8860…4d6f | 416,416,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| a1cf…4dff | 420,897,397 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 0ca0…458f | 418,237,818 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 851a…308f | 422,654,728 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 87c0…ec1f | 418,652,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| c3df…6f8f | 425,034,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 0ef1…269f | 425,679,192 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 9650…866f | 419,527,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 6c47…927f | 421,893,220 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 61bf…73f3 | 410,341,854 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 73c7…2cbb | 417,387,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| b785…97df | 424,573,770 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| f3d8…dc9f | 410,170,996 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| c34a…fd4f | 411,991,332 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 776f…1adf | 418,895,506 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |