│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 38% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+7.1%
n=149458 out-of-sample
Hit rate
38%
301982 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+7.3% → +7.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+7.3% … +7.4%
Support301,982
OOS support149,458
MDL bits0
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| d406…7a3f | 423,180,257 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7229…66ef | 409,861,650 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 723f…f7bf | 412,715,264 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7254…83df | 419,461,111 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5566 | replay |
| 728e…4a1f | 413,437,824 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10521 | replay |
| 7290…d65f | 411,858,636 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5939 | replay |
| 7293…73af | 425,283,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 625 | replay |
| 729c…7f1f | 425,368,577 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1094 | replay |
| 729e…320f | 416,403,054 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13247 | replay |
| 72a3…003f | 422,229,841 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 72a9…016f | 417,604,652 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 72af…963f | 415,219,562 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 72af…4d3f | 417,134,679 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 72bc…a60f | 418,354,938 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12817 | replay |
| 72c6…2d4f | 417,370,655 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 0ef8…efef | 426,321,151 | +30.0% | ✓ | 7664 | replay |
| 7310…105f | 410,970,743 | +30.0% | ✓ | 18648 | replay |
| 7311…edcf | 422,670,181 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 7331…726f | 419,093,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 7338…581f | 420,690,387 | +30.0% | ✓ | 22377 | replay |
| 7340…866f | 424,618,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 22377 | replay |
| 7361…076f | 417,073,524 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b0b…9b6f | 418,603,548 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3b0c…019f | 419,133,893 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b13…f37f | 418,859,241 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23632 | replay |
| 3b2e…0b1f | 413,187,137 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3b3c…36df | 421,428,336 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b43…5f0f | 413,724,539 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b45…c15f | 426,060,358 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 3b50…57ff | 426,904,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3b52…ee0f | 417,127,047 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b5c…039f | 410,715,494 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 3b63…8a5f | 423,623,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3ba7…64ff | 411,483,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47422 | replay |
| 3bc5…854f | 415,159,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 3bce…b9cf | 425,010,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3be1…a0af | 414,899,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 24623 | replay |
| 3be9…8881 | 421,238,521 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9 | replay |
| 72d7…59cf | 416,601,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 3c0a…366f | 417,599,198 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 0ef8…031f | 426,320,524 | +30.0% | ✓ | 7664 | replay |
| 0ef7…5fff | 426,318,545 | +30.0% | ✓ | 7664 | replay |
| 0ef7…cc5f | 426,317,732 | +30.0% | ✓ | 7664 | replay |
| 0ef7…f98f | 426,314,751 | +30.0% | ✓ | 7664 | replay |
| 0ef7…610f | 426,309,532 | +30.0% | ✓ | 7664 | replay |
| 0ef6…ff8f | 426,110,171 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3 | replay |
| 0ef6…68df | 426,091,240 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ef3…362f | 425,798,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ef3…b40f | 425,791,578 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 0ef3…d5ef | 425,790,860 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ef3…9d5f | 425,790,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ef2…983f | 413,133,208 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0ef2…d5df | 425,762,423 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0eef…a01f | 425,630,123 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3c1b…c11f | 420,627,643 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10 | replay |
| 0eea…fa6f | 421,227,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 26779 | replay |
| 0ee9…6cbf | 425,199,591 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17032 | replay |
| 0eeb…7c2f | 425,375,865 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c62…bdff | 422,075,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3c52…8cc9 | 421,234,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13247 | replay |