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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 0.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 19% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=1 out-of-sample
Hit rate
19%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-0.2% → +1.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.590
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-8.7% … +8.4%
Support16
OOS support1
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 834
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 1a9ef653f4e54aa136043606e5b3a7b71096fbde06ad352dfc1921b5faaa4edd | 94% | 16 |
| w1 | wallet | 29b77e1ec4f82df0fa45b5ce29069f6ab686daa69e76cc6ffd0fcf23f2b2bcb8 | 94% | 16 |
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 834
200 resolved wallets
e822c…604ffcccdc…05f1aa7082…be69f1a9ef…a4edd3795d…b465d648cc…530ac8f4d7…0fde013660…3a7b4e557b…137f3c96f4…d92718246d…a2f4224c45…17d0a4d927…883b23533c…0b7adaaddc…755dbd219c…099b9fb7e8…1ac9b02b69…a45638e4c5…fbd7e50733…f4ce5afde0…cbe3b03397…5b51650d2d…b63b3f3dd4…19f11db589…48e5488664…decdfff983…67f257ee91…cb0743cc95…9b4ef07229…00d57c466e…b37e664e93…2765505b7d…20ea00557b…cabed40e98…9217f07990…d17bab96c9…94f435d291…cbdbb80028…e02940abc4…85433b9cb4…2ec62a4924…f1624a0226…8a2dd998c9…7dc7834187…fde1f4f264…ee31d5e90b…60d7b804db…824ddcf9d6…ff6f12a83c…86ea8b5f1a…78062f86c1…a0c0b6a902…7d10a78d5d…7c99aee12a…a10ad8ddb7…594d200858…d70b8d3ff0…7c5435d879…e859f3671e…0c86fb729d…ea691b91e2…16006bb6c6…04239177a6…e0dc886435…0a0c2a653e…a9da19c62f…54d886ebf5…ec0b9bd93d…c89a707d06…6a07d3bbc6…1f6988c1c2…f263d01702…cb85eab188…afb253200f…9b659ba2da…fbda615fa7…70f3f0d803…3e4b1d8e1a…4002cb3a10…95272+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c966…d56f | 411,869,172 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 9029…228f | 418,077,223 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 2cfe…21ff | 418,069,059 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 9178…1c5f | 416,594,284 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 8f17…7adf | 411,687,473 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| e911…5caf | 418,446,985 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 9c40…ed7f | 414,924,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| a355…2fcf | 418,420,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| aa1c…476f | 418,087,374 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| f588…6bef | 418,079,944 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 1855…774f | 418,418,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 5a1b…baff | 411,688,056 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 5d75…faaf | 416,723,787 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 5c64…fa9f | 417,068,083 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 14b3…903f | 418,095,933 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 7b93…ddba | 418,059,617 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 730a…f56f | 418,081,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 2ed0…a97f | 418,089,657 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 90b4…e90f | 418,071,565 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 7db8…724f | 418,407,593 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 711e…9e9f | 416,722,973 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| b170…fc1f | 420,596,760 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 2062…75cf | 420,610,638 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| c8ad…3adf | 418,420,433 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 0974…f58f | 424,579,409 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| a760…d1bf | 418,081,134 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| f973…61cf | 418,081,368 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 0f7d…ddff | 418,087,924 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| ab7b…b50f | 425,209,102 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 1169…287f | 418,673,708 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 0fd2…808f | 417,841,121 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| a9e0…c2df | 418,089,497 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| b670…9b8f | 418,070,160 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| a8f7…805f | 418,070,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| c13d…973f | 422,186,396 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| ecf6…88ff | 418,060,351 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 6988…10df | 418,063,337 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| a7ae…cfdf | 418,070,670 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 510a…44bf | 416,793,125 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 9a43…b82f | 418,089,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 6066…324f | 418,071,567 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 9d27…c42f | 418,075,601 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| ac9a…f5ff | 418,405,988 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 7049…1fbf | 418,080,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 7ea7…35df | 427,003,343 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| e4ce…1009 | 418,082,397 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 258e…d4af | 416,793,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 656f…056f | 424,577,081 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 6632…c5ef | 417,840,132 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 1244…7fff | 418,082,057 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| d3d8…3a9f | 418,070,195 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 1a3b…dcef | 416,788,288 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 4306…3bff | 418,081,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 2132…2b2f | 417,819,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 163d…3b5f | 424,576,528 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| fe4d…b54d | 418,096,109 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 548e…36ff | 418,075,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| b094…995f | 413,702,192 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| b2d8…46ff | 418,405,314 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |
| 195c…1f0f | 418,074,974 | +30.0% | ✓ | 834 | replay |