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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 28% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+8.9%
n=22 out-of-sample
Hit rate
28%
29 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.4% → +6.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.099
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.6% … +12.4%
Support29
OOS support22
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 21
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 21
200 resolved wallets
bfe25…94ee48c3f3…c3086f4c88…e78577a27f…b1523ece4a…544181636d…e9260d8301…bc9b8a43a5…44c25fa6c7…046a743e3d…59ea5dbd25…ce9438c099…ea52e8e3f9…1ba4758e68…dfcf4fb1bc…40a67ec8ef…0bc869c92d…503b740570…35e2195656…a0858cfd93…25e1ce03a4…86ac82d159…ca226e601c…8e9ec041a7…c1af04ccf9…76e95facb2…7732be27e3…2ea18f0ea7…ef348ac4cb…084938f248…a7d1b5586f…1641e3bbee…7c20a03c9e…fb0a245dd2…ffa67f46f9…5193bab69a…2fd50a213c…0a63a7dd04…bd6e1f7e01…dd89e1fe6e…17dfbbf16a…1ed27c7d0b…9c676f93b6…7a93505575…392d905d02…d15effe06e…e3202214f8…52299258da…d1b9a48470…0fa0e763ca…db4811ce8e…bc3014d8d5…30edf75222…190fff8dd7…5ff5fbbe3a…887c96cb91…13c2a09a9e…46242b6dda…0e4991b025…489fd0bd73…4d22609ff6…cd03567ccb…8ea34ee3ba…b66917dd53…719370c610…d11be76a51…f408211e04…09cbe1afa6…7f1a9d1b4b…d209598188…c1906a3902…0ea66514ff…8083e47040…93ffb6e07c…90ebc72c66…e0a0247877…f9e474beb8…b802c9a619…024627ec14…e575ea3fcc…b85a5+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222c…844f | 412,147,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| c90b…6e8f | 424,082,711 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 5808…ebdf | 419,611,826 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 69b4…b1cf | 413,928,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| ee3e…861f | 421,889,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 7229…66ef | 409,861,650 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d2d3…a5ff | 426,906,338 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| dc38…e21f | 420,604,065 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 1c1d…e8eb | 421,414,986 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b350…09cf | 410,981,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b3b3…c13f | 419,133,098 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| ce1c…ac2f | 420,882,803 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2627…14df | 425,511,153 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 7364…1307 | 410,054,429 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8abd…17ef | 411,321,081 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2291…eb1f | 418,511,303 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d7b2…73df | 424,496,422 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b67f…0fff | 427,133,900 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2232…2b4f | 420,200,374 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| dcd3…17bf | 427,336,601 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 40e7…7675 | 426,646,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4109…ce0f | 411,431,502 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| dea8…2d0f | 411,368,103 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3c9c…754f | 417,131,556 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4106…461f | 424,072,092 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d453…518f | 423,477,582 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8c45…088b | 410,322,100 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8885…b07f | 419,476,532 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b534…01df | 422,608,440 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8b9d…49bf | 424,108,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4119…2bff | 415,609,330 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 28eb…23bf | 426,701,650 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 28aa…84ff | 414,069,779 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 478c…041f | 424,327,107 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| dd8a…96df | 415,303,393 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 0fbb…fd7f | 424,135,936 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d989…290f | 421,462,843 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b2a9…92ff | 415,500,125 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 0f38…df3f | 416,773,029 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3cad…97df | 420,880,501 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| b324…ab4f | 424,084,888 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 5f21…ce3f | 416,698,012 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 46b4…facf | 415,303,349 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d1d8…594f | 416,648,006 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| bfab…8e4f | 419,252,335 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| beff…105f | 422,956,372 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4344…b4cf | 424,112,492 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 6057…539f | 410,545,780 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 604d…653f | 425,510,763 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 161f…8b2f | 418,152,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| e3ba…5594 | 413,656,752 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 92a1…423f | 418,953,855 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3181…476f | 414,735,209 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| f805…3e6f | 417,556,970 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 9382…e74f | 424,139,256 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d467…a82f | 418,290,600 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 9476…1499 | 410,172,437 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3523…b54f | 412,045,514 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d6c9…9e3f | 422,966,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2d62…afdf | 420,630,255 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |