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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 1.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 45% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+2.7%
n=13 out-of-sample
Hit rate
45%
22 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+13.5% → +12.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+6.7% … +20.3%
Support22
OOS support13
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 55
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w2 | wallet | df450459b3732272ae23b1de9db60c3954f6dbb06e3b5cdc68f1f5bbea63f4f7 | 86% | 30 |
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 55
200 resolved wallets
df450…3f4f7dd1f6…dc5000ca81…b93b3deb86…6865cda4e9…38b2d6d124…25193e207e…0568654e75…349bcd439c…bf2c426906…b28f33aa11…08c80e0c3d…e866ef4d8b…1775bf352f…1d2176118e…041636fd79…99ef63d0bd…e6bba45d20…4b62f8ee24…02a5d9a0bd…8ee5c3b8b8…f381aeef53…97217718a5…cb17844a24…8aa0ae352e…ceaaf98d0b…1cb85e8f06…1c80397fb6…829f85d44f…03605faae3…2feab695ba…70aeaa89af…aafff6cc96…74830b9d54…02a77328e7…957afab39d…12b2bf3521…a3f42bc9bb…b58a60ca35…a3a9285722…04fddbc16a…1766f714cc…835a31ec2a…1e6bef4a70…fd7d1a5de0…d0236fce96…5a7ff9d68a…ed4f9bb72f…d60137ffd1…9dfa76a2a1…f3ad58b06c…15ac03316f…4cc84234ee…9c8ab3f20e…8cc23836b2…c33a523659…9ed8b8e22a…59ff94493d…67d91335b4…0381683b32…72638f7138…3ccdd8c95a…97755d7320…7e8c7c5c6b…1f37372192…d4877d333a…621b6de4d9…932f78ca8b…98f06796fd…2405df72f1…e6c3343dfa…0ca38e4b75…3595dbde69…aacc98ac94…57dfecc5f4…1f0052ccea…a41a5a49e1…f5e103092d…8221fcade3…2464b21bd8…cc9e4+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3aea…846c | 421,917,952 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| fe09…d72f | 418,071,265 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 3f62…b5df | 411,841,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 72a9…decf | 423,276,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| dd7e…003f | 416,504,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 5da9…2cff | 414,024,054 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 9171…ab4f | 417,018,628 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| b442…221f | 417,160,844 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| b4c1…f57f | 412,858,155 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 481c…8c3f | 412,332,404 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| dda8…93ef | 412,118,323 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 7473…cf9f | 421,368,973 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 8aea…715f | 413,213,567 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 7641…353f | 413,306,272 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 8ace…3f0f | 411,946,139 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 41a8…674b | 412,166,732 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 8a6d…0d1f | 414,524,104 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 5ff3…b74f | 411,975,848 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 8103…adbf | 413,014,682 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 2a74…a5ae | 413,043,744 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 49c7…718f | 423,280,843 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 26e0…459f | 413,486,780 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 4256…76cf | 413,145,490 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 2a98…00af | 412,496,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 7cfb…577f | 422,222,916 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 94d6…cb6f | 415,573,713 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 434d…cdaf | 418,114,567 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| d2c6…f6a1 | 416,615,296 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| d2f3…e70f | 411,980,570 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| af46…3b7f | 411,962,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 6d81…da7f | 414,015,069 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 7e06…ac7f | 417,612,411 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 7ee7…70bf | 416,508,504 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 8f7f…432c | 425,016,094 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 9972…dadf | 410,128,139 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 6042…0bdf | 423,297,791 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 1639…dadf | 411,972,545 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 4336…f33f | 414,504,752 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| d14b…63bf | 413,445,993 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 2e33…ee1f | 423,311,759 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 910c…4b15 | 419,031,299 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 7c2e…3a0f | 412,947,941 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 4781…202f | 413,952,960 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 47dc…468f | 411,388,706 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 315f…8e2f | 414,310,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| d87f…d94f | 412,932,199 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 32e6…5e7f | 410,062,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 7b34…c1bf | 425,976,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| bf11…da83 | 425,463,803 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| d54b…088a | 416,396,503 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 3370…76ff | 416,647,287 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| e459…dd0f | 413,990,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 2785…634f | 412,160,586 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| c32d…aaaf | 412,189,355 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| c039…1b9f | 413,583,027 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| bf21…3685 | 417,537,121 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 3939…178f | 410,299,360 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| a306…4b1f | 410,197,750 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 8499…e6af | 409,859,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| c406…a6af | 414,700,014 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |