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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 1.1x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 34% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+8.1%
n=12 out-of-sample
Hit rate
34%
32 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.3% → +4.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.249
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.1% … +10.8%
Support32
OOS support12
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 5
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 5
200 resolved wallets
b4212…c7cb494571…4efb6ea5cb…1d919c231b…544a0be81a…c2ed013c6c…0b488c21a0…7b999a5ac0…645c8a021b…eba7f8764d…1baed04cf9…b08311f90f…63c21b6e8a…3897ef8095…d3555fc7bf…27306eb248…e89aabdb8b…8f79509a29…452b8f04a5…958594b270…cb3423176f…ca50828a9b…74dea7b13f…c863d5487a…f4ce7dd5d2…fa84b874c8…2739a62edf…8171af6feb…3ae10ac48f…250d9985ce…e0d45aee64…c6794a7e9f…cc911b5fbb…517064fca6…c0582efbd4…ce779105f6…0cbc505d12…983e71cb46…edcdddb24b…f6d669466d…e3e1a337ea…9a7035f365…92884336cd…34409f2c85…5458d8c3e1…923b449a50…1b8a3e6b05…6a0e1a2d36…e227f63ada…a5d802a781…15df79a711…94f968fba3…5d08dfcc51…f2f4e20bbd…616374c494…346bd4e463…d1314fc847…6695fdfea2…5b94da5886…f68a9a931f…1a2515cfe3…418d331ab1…3dc8649b91…60e9e1f0f7…45b105f51b…09c57911b3…5e2a7dd8a4…47c0e9326e…72d256dc5f…a8ff386d0f…423b843de5…7d8f403fe8…fc7fe97be0…47c01211ea…ce012438a9…956f6b87d2…ea4e5bb2ed…f5fa87d65a…834bf1e42e…858d7ad57f…e8414+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b6a9…462f | 417,998,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| dc00…e74f | 420,556,460 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 1bd7…c34f | 424,120,835 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| b3eb…1dbf | 425,411,880 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 229c…252f | 419,642,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 464a…c0df | 420,277,462 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 4775…cd8f | 419,632,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 7af0…088f | 419,478,433 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| d96b…5e3f | 418,202,525 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 4485…5b7f | 422,228,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 5927…ad3f | 426,272,609 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 5ebd…b0cf | 423,113,284 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 6bd3…eccf | 414,354,809 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 913a…405f | 415,681,697 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 1009…a0bf | 416,284,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 927e…a3ff | 412,292,842 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 8ba7…1a0f | 419,574,115 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 7468…737f | 419,595,509 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| c4cd…7e1f | 415,468,128 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| ffb9…5cdf | 413,003,339 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 86a3…22df | 416,817,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 41e3…cd9f | 420,327,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 407b…5fbf | 415,267,007 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 8a71…07ff | 424,965,283 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| b2e4…f7bf | 415,058,271 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| d9dc…e1ff | 419,870,474 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| d8d9…c50f | 417,171,432 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 1670…4b2f | 422,152,851 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 8275…a33f | 419,090,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 42f3…5aff | 419,512,421 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 4312…391f | 423,090,757 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| f60d…5bcf | 416,953,284 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| f6df…9ecf | 418,022,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 1649…d6ff | 416,815,127 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 4740…aeef | 419,995,588 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 43b8…3b2f | 417,142,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 4370…73cf | 424,596,203 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 2ef6…f40f | 420,846,573 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 86f8…6a5f | 415,408,139 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 2bb2…81bf | 410,281,666 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 4328…70cf | 423,656,124 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 79ce…318f | 416,276,316 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| b947…4b5f | 419,901,788 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 779b…a63f | 418,451,929 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| e3f9…168f | 423,408,803 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| e3f4…131f | 424,832,757 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| e567…793f | 412,896,659 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| b9f3…e57f | 414,342,473 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 72e5…9f2f | 419,708,725 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 9a2e…c9df | 416,283,557 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 7b99…23ff | 412,581,459 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 4476…e57f | 420,048,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| c010…865f | 412,292,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 249d…852f | 416,826,470 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| bcbe…761f | 417,869,755 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 48d5…80cf | 419,904,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 90e7…aa8f | 413,709,024 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 61ee…cc5f | 418,561,837 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| 883e…152f | 414,941,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| e5ee…dd8f | 418,567,877 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |