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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 0.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 13% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-0.4%
n=24 out-of-sample
Hit rate
13%
23 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-3.8% → -1.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.909
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-11.0% … +3.4%
Support23
OOS support24
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 34
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 34
200 resolved wallets
ac6ad…23859009ac…9e1409cf18…6758195d16…72be217c3a…7360b7431c…222d3bf4ea…e1b15562aa…a07bd10e3a…21e4445057…c1f7ac3afe…62d02f4a27…19bd830466…936d2da002…f881a9ac23…fdc8114910…908885c177…045477541e…efc3c55a2e…e053894d9d…6daf3de8a6…520e72216d…46f7f43283…86a48a7cb2…9541c84333…89487ec30f…ad91c534e1…0d5a8f548e…9cdb1fd76b…16701ad747…50b0aecb91…1cadd854a0…cab967aa4c…97b9d0255b…85dd180b67…4c20051ea6…ca896932f7…b361cdc914…78b7727105…dc4e63521b…d846644a0a…168c55e8af…c3f6e0e0f4…a188e39c7d…721a181115…fb9f2c44a9…f7eba2a026…436ff6c378…42713ef678…f6efcebccf…4f7a9cf6fa…41ea23673a…ef539b98ca…98a60bda66…1f39eceb4c…2812f516a0…25688df4ed…93419fa1c3…7b3be15552…dc1ef9a684…f7003d3765…a23b0b21f4…2dff37e238…61f5c7ea13…f42b60629a…6c13f9d75f…29bd881bfe…5f698553c5…9ac45b0992…afa83cdd87…8ccfeda148…8f37b851d9…867fb81f84…7ba1f87ba2…866dc2002c…a93ba34df9…03c1e34190…2472277d61…5bae8ee492…46e98435f1…48829+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 470f…667f | 418,920,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 4042…a949 | 421,923,583 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 79fe…7faf | 421,052,163 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| de1c…1a8f | 422,043,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| ddc2…cfff | 427,538,928 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| dd9c…4f1f | 416,354,623 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| c2c5…f58f | 427,636,168 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 1c62…13af | 412,455,086 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 1c3b…7ccf | 423,075,067 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3b0b…9b6f | 418,603,548 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 73f2…87ef | 427,110,655 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3c0a…366f | 417,599,198 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 0ef3…b40f | 425,791,578 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 735d…8e5f | 422,217,256 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 8a98…7edf | 416,515,878 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 6987…0eef | 417,601,424 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 69a6…8f1f | 421,963,926 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 6a81…0a8f | 424,593,956 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 27d6…d42f | 422,858,814 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3f78…69ef | 419,842,610 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3f58…abff | 416,910,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3f50…d95f | 421,285,106 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| d851…bb4f | 420,892,101 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 2831…295f | 417,390,179 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 4345…92cf | 419,607,051 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 58e0…1daf | 421,624,447 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 2ba2…520f | 416,633,403 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| b68a…37ff | 416,932,471 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 39d2…194f | 426,933,517 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| ee20…ae2f | 418,902,157 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| ee43…d80f | 411,134,775 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| b67f…690f | 419,073,663 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| b347…a14f | 427,643,539 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 87df…937f | 416,650,966 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| b3f8…c94f | 419,500,289 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3f30…37bf | 416,510,558 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 2ac6…60ff | 426,475,577 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 5d80…9cff | 416,891,249 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 731a…ca3f | 421,344,638 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 8996…90ef | 427,228,430 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 470a…db3f | 416,313,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 590e…94ff | 423,074,286 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 5ea9…f31f | 422,644,179 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 5935…910f | 415,527,830 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 2948…d42f | 425,196,313 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 2c46…6b2f | 424,196,148 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 890d…6adf | 424,095,494 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 6b85…e41f | 427,100,011 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 6b06…602f | 425,274,291 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 6aeb…a03f | 411,592,309 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 101f…b63f | 416,629,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 0f5d…c13f | 423,270,579 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 747c…c7df | 409,697,653 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 744d…235f | 427,085,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 73d6…01af | 426,867,090 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 40e0…96af | 421,011,541 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| ddcc…0c9f | 419,355,899 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| dda5…68af | 417,936,052 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| dd54…e564 | 425,014,628 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| dca5…d4ff | 427,557,274 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |