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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 0.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 11% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+2.7%
n=13 out-of-sample
Hit rate
11%
18 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-2.1% → -0.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.783
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-9.2% … +5.0%
Support18
OOS support13
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 36
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 36
200 resolved wallets
3affe…d81c682cd1…8668fbaf7f…e4b49c7b9b…7dbe0eac34…7e54f045fa…85160e72af…d6e115fb54…adf36bfcdc…181b0ad05b…06dbd7d9bd…018905501a…fd82989fee…4f4aabee33…29eb7e82e9…efd1f773e8…45675b8b08…58a9eabc71…329b627bd6…d80843587a…0e9eb35381…9efe30a9ab…b4e2d7af63…1b11330046…ddb327cb8f…d5dfa080c3…4cc28bed75…6fd37b0a20…7ecd3689e4…57b837ace6…52b9e05b43…3ca69be506…bf42ca17f4…e469eed77d…8a572dbdcd…db0a513288…577a8d8d29…4c596e7c14…7bba61819b…1342d938db…3eb05b8fee…55ce54deb7…2aa5962621…9da7c5e0c8…fea7d61198…210722c615…f4b622db40…508f5f0147…e3b78dc8dd…54130ebb50…0f0ca176a2…3ea5f5550f…f3f76ec83d…b6983e6510…7c72a9fb91…a404a09a6d…2859a7f525…3ffeec71cd…a5141cd200…67ef15ca29…faf44e7e3a…9b891049d3…d07d24dd24…d77189a5ad…a2d27e009d…e231af10a6…cf3a52ec9c…0867a2e112…58af45dc7d…2e9a76255b…b40e000800…1b121b6d58…b053c9ef8b…d0af39831a…a587653fd7…a5164a3cf5…e649a4a2c5…66674ac402…13e381e05d…4054bed9ec…7fa67+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b694…b01f | 424,510,356 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 85a9…a67f | 426,502,051 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| c99f…24af | 424,562,375 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 9103…905f | 424,094,884 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 87f5…44df | 423,039,322 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 85a4…a4cf | 419,335,032 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 3e5e…b30f | 424,480,666 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| c39b…eadf | 414,390,959 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 8580…380f | 414,345,554 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 285f…759f | 427,272,743 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 8088…559f | 423,698,532 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 74f5…096f | 427,121,062 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 7497…903f | 409,892,009 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 89a1…12ff | 416,857,816 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| cbb3…bbaf | 423,689,590 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 93b6…b40f | 427,110,757 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 941c…81ef | 427,357,842 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| b594…a9cf | 424,093,215 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 4202…4caf | 415,951,523 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 71bc…924f | 426,967,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| e143…f4ef | 419,471,178 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 3ddf…e30f | 422,758,187 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 82a4…340f | 427,116,948 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 7baa…d42f | 419,122,562 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 16c4…2d6f | 417,166,229 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| bc12…978f | 427,182,495 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 658e…296f | 427,554,951 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| d642…826f | 412,444,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 64fb…b79f | 419,085,756 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 2ecb…f1ef | 419,379,110 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 15ba…f3df | 415,962,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 027a…b02f | 416,068,908 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| b9a9…f2af | 414,349,910 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| df72…5d9f | 410,328,190 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 875f…5a2f | 419,133,709 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 7b68…cddf | 416,998,638 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 93ef…baef | 422,391,331 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 2fb7…b76f | 426,279,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 9b1e…05df | 423,096,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| e0f8…bfbf | 414,370,503 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 83ee…007f | 426,547,383 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 83db…023f | 421,965,440 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 7cdc…469f | 427,119,776 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 89e8…7f4f | 423,699,926 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 74c9…8c3f | 421,293,902 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 7400…467f | 413,682,415 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 49f4…f62f | 424,073,586 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| e65c…11cf | 427,109,627 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 6a37…c86f | 424,673,847 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 88c3…becf | 426,285,581 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| caab…151f | 412,180,912 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| c9ff…438f | 426,558,937 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| a67f…159f | 410,354,645 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| a7ae…a75f | 419,140,490 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 0f08…f5ff | 427,172,480 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| c910…c2ff | 413,665,736 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| a74e…a4cf | 426,701,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 8909…3edf | 419,141,025 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 0df9…26cf | 419,135,516 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 39fa…e8ff | 418,405,164 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |