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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 39% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+11.2%
n=31 out-of-sample
Hit rate
39%
54 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+11.0% → +10.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+6.3% … +15.6%
Support54
OOS support31
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 6
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 6
200 resolved wallets
0a927…e743818571…9b62a5bcf0…c05a96a554…0d4c9915e1…3809bdea56…6e025343ac…216bf85241…b496d002d2…d3c2acd7d6…7efc150561…d0762a4355…b035b54eef…4752cc6160…0ac40b9b43…1274affc65…cfc512a12f…63a5fdd7bd…0d2fdb7ada…f38ed87f14…45441db689…c1385c8f11…e8524869c0…cdf5dc69bd…55c9b7abf7…4247eb2182…7177ca98c8…2b149a824e…4288ba5137…701a87d8b2…bd6e6c43b8…7fba08e023…caeea0dd2c…0a9cd46a68…35f318623f…82f8e2495b…fa32b995e0…f2c7e10a08…d2681268d1…82cf087b2b…dac18fc57a…228682628a…eeb4fa06fb…d77c40b9bb…d945c91d1f…edbe3a5582…c1643f7d6e…051cdaedc3…1babe4cb83…fd4644f3ce…efbb10f898…ee5da121d6…c4e1a4e774…c118d623cb…70abde2d85…5052799335…740900f05d…ce096076da…bc3f10a589…9a9268583d…58cb220e2f…cc6c6f2590…59c6bec5df…be6c2b001a…1d5335cbdd…d564429b25…406951b5d8…93f557cf4b…048dfdfddf…f223abf8c3…2a089392be…d70e95008e…7854c383f2…2e97fc3f51…9565f5537c…8f26bc7753…42cb066b1b…21f72a7812…30b00079cd…0c47d0bfd4…da223+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2bb4…2f7f | 421,768,995 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2ba1…7d9f | 424,769,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2b81…cbaf | 425,005,037 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2ac7…209f | 417,863,545 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8780…87ef | 418,472,876 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 58b7…f9af | 424,700,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 57e7…b1ff | 425,604,959 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 5d5c…bf5f | 420,449,552 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 6a77…645f | 424,775,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 0f00…708f | 421,034,485 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3bce…b9cf | 425,010,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b3c…36df | 421,428,336 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b0c…019f | 419,133,893 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d3eb…f6af | 427,555,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| c3ea…31df | 417,598,832 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| c3bf…42ff | 420,025,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 406d…941f | 425,790,980 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| ddb1…072f | 426,114,542 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 1b90…7c2f | 424,888,880 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| fd18…448f | 426,613,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 72db…c008 | 418,836,363 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8afd…662f | 421,861,222 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2287…136f | 418,622,570 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3fb3…5938 | 422,056,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| b75b…17af | 420,062,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| b6d9…9b2f | 422,677,195 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 430a…231f | 419,298,238 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d825…308f | 414,815,699 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d80d…f27f | 425,021,891 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d809…644f | 424,923,637 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d7e1…fadf | 421,006,336 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d7ce…13df | 418,130,037 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 4751…775f | 420,076,141 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 469f…e5ef | 421,853,856 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7318…484f | 425,029,336 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 72c6…0fef | 419,046,667 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8973…48df | 426,059,848 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| b6b4…de9f | 417,136,073 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 4672…0b1f | 420,406,423 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 4327…03ef | 417,130,352 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 43a6…302f | 418,541,767 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| c933…9b0f | 418,997,195 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| c9da…df0d | 413,835,261 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3a8a…e7ff | 424,775,013 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b02…c42f | 423,250,688 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8ae4…4f1f | 415,217,976 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| b329…26bf | 418,872,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 269f…51cf | 425,027,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| cea5…414f | 421,901,861 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 88b9…dbef | 425,548,495 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 46f4…1a0e | 421,692,463 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7ee9…4aff | 425,076,899 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7f1d…efdf | 421,114,584 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 4eac…8b8f | 423,135,823 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d1fc…812f | 426,306,951 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8ec5…cecf | 421,377,850 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8e0d…2f0f | 426,930,442 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 82ac…255f | 415,201,795 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 33bb…34bf | 426,147,328 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3321…71ef | 424,179,192 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |