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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 0.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 0% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+2.8%
n=45 out-of-sample
Hit rate
0%
25 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+0.0% → +0.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.575
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.3% … +3.4%
Support25
OOS support45
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 336
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | d5c8aa6e77ba0451381775ef092758ca9e1a7ec9fe9a77654be2fdeacc334631 | 99% | 69 |
| w1 | wallet | b9a6cb8cd5227cb15ea48ac7e0869713cf9ca6df2335655356ad60af30e64c26 | 99% | 69 |
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 336
183 resolved wallets
b9a6c…64c260756d…64856b83bf…7924a012e6…6c846e765f…76fbac86be…9f9ddcfd5f…9bb00c8970…3a5e26740a…c7923e733a…42b8ffab12…6cd1e91e20…154b89d8f0…254a4be70e…c06bf1d156…2afeba94d6…eb62e4ef96…6c72d3a715…7f4ef1c70d…a795e07f22…9bcef8b42c…02a3147d49…90ee3f2530…7426ebfd4b…caa693f8f3…aaa7a21987…92f8beb172…e2295bac4c…c928f7cbc6…db838edd2e…3f4eae8b18…e1b37a1235…4117897427…fc4fa48f40…3baae31bcc…5d2d795f64…57f524e319…e62ce20d84…006e9863f1…c973716c63…276276f437…ecd15ff752…0f6a599a69…7493ea8601…a5cc350138…5e49f6ea3a…ed5ff128c2…1f727b7d43…4dd13eb95e…fd74f0e1a7…c0cfaede7e…c5f728185b…ad78e81d4c…83ba01dd15…e68b3e3747…be2ea68347…c1977261c9…e1067e0ff4…ce53ed98bd…4ed892bcea…bef395f0bb…3296311a95…6d69e9578f…69f2a9e765…f6735d4198…85901387e9…7e4a77461b…4d0137446f…adbcebd875…c877253246…2707a937e2…c76317a753…30d878795a…c7cec62c24…951db1818e…d987607f7c…652ea5a41d…68cb06c3d3…ca11b6fdb9…dbf78238d4…4fea2+103 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fd04…3d4f | 427,479,924 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 283e…248f | 427,562,867 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 27a2…cdff | 427,675,506 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 69dd…4a5f | 427,592,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| fe73…fc9f | 427,461,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| ceff…6bcf | 427,589,705 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 2735…096f | 427,586,743 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 8954…56cf | 412,010,449 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 731c…75cf | 427,591,686 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| db76…787f | 427,545,917 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 4486…42ff | 427,450,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| cf40…524f | 427,477,799 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 89dc…3d2f | 427,449,222 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 24a6…1c3f | 427,606,937 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 6bca…bcbf | 427,547,732 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 3dec…d7af | 427,671,777 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| d14e…cf5f | 427,592,177 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| d1bd…055f | 427,498,094 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 48f0…5dff | 427,496,790 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 4a02…b52f | 427,554,634 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 4252…34af | 427,542,578 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 8ae6…e68f | 427,506,094 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 42df…196f | 427,486,026 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 436f…140f | 427,470,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 4e95…d55f | 427,496,350 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 24e2…b9cf | 427,671,075 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 7b85…fe9f | 427,468,421 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 4540…c4ef | 427,477,966 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 950c…afdf | 427,456,847 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 90b1…9e7f | 427,674,880 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 9488…7fdf | 427,567,569 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| e31f…f66f | 427,579,341 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 8b36…0aaf | 427,474,071 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 971c…545f | 427,483,146 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 067c…531f | 427,548,565 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| fa84…585f | 427,505,869 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 32c4…3b3f | 413,891,794 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 62a0…ee6f | 427,587,474 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 3472…2e4f | 427,594,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 52f1…b26f | 427,482,316 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 9673…c2bf | 427,469,040 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 9302…b73f | 427,468,477 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| beb4…73af | 427,495,240 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 8390…c1ff | 427,599,248 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 986b…e99f | 427,505,409 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 59bb…ccaf | 427,673,105 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 863b…0b3f | 427,466,547 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 6acc…757f | 427,561,456 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 89f3…fc9f | 427,482,031 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 3121…ec7f | 427,544,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 80b0…062f | 427,599,527 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| c9a3…f52f | 427,573,524 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| efc8…cbef | 427,610,150 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| f1f1…57ff | 427,466,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 8b7e…e15f | 427,578,821 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 89af…84df | 427,666,864 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| cb96…ff2f | 427,594,441 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| 6080…30af | 427,475,579 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| cd1f…84af | 427,669,993 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |
| f3c7…391f | 427,558,557 | +30.0% | ✓ | 336 | replay |