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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 47% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+18.7%
n=9 out-of-sample
Hit rate
47%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+7.1% → +7.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.166
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.6% … +18.8%
Support15
OOS support9
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 15
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 15
200 resolved wallets
0d584…a2fb092fa6…0df53ad007…c84a7cb3a9…fff3d64b27…d5671c00b2…0b750912ab…031362c1a7…698efdbd4a…dede75129b…15484147ad…f9a05692b8…04d5a021c5…a3698e828e…63cccef344…0e66103d9c…97ca238cab…e3252a3586…ad1cc40788…0d98add49c…4ecd757d5c…9129138e45…4bf71303ef…cee9d7f39b…6002cab50b…54358f60ef…824679b3c3…584684149c…b4adc71380…3b5b2051fb…640c873678…8ce1b6ec63…460e9d4a52…a77626f16f…fc67519344…2b6d6486a2…c161258383…34c99cb4ac…cf051f7690…20576bd1f5…52c3c21cb1…e542c8753f…4a10f71514…177e6d1ab7…639959a860…950101768a…2b5ec64381…0c184713cb…6edc1bcb49…47e3a5f840…93fb5d1c5d…bceefb7a0f…94bff677f0…b8bf9b7f47…19652ffa9a…1e0a1ee5c5…e93b93cebc…83da6c0834…b34d9b3ec7…deedbca259…cac3e7107c…4a81135e64…bbacfe1b21…d6ffefdf23…72fb93ed83…d052862b63…cceb8d7e37…e6356516a3…f148f6c08a…222ac1b237…e26e702f8e…6517500e20…04e9ec1b3b…7ac361a5d1…21b407a920…c30851b0bc…420a5eb534…6648308765…1477241614…5266420aa1…94368+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69f9…476f | 419,111,200 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| fde6…610f | 426,012,434 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 7311…edcf | 422,670,181 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4049…06df | 423,910,341 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| ceba…823f | 421,714,164 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| dc6f…c75f | 416,487,273 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 7ed6…4c1f | 422,570,848 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| db79…f8df | 420,560,233 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4748…f18f | 412,509,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| b77f…98ff | 416,625,664 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 3efe…274f | 420,319,755 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 72f8…232f | 415,160,038 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 1049…386f | 416,385,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| c9fd…ccff | 416,290,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 92ad…133f | 424,448,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| ff2f…e62f | 422,985,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 3fa3…fd6f | 426,857,160 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 283a…903f | 413,658,202 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 482e…070f | 414,711,250 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 89f7…e3af | 418,684,477 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 74fd…87ff | 415,853,190 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 5921…bf4f | 427,094,407 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 7a13…e0af | 413,901,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 58e6…7d3f | 424,345,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 2974…b862 | 416,725,181 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4113…af61 | 425,597,212 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| d4cb…d49f | 415,444,758 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 29e5…de9f | 412,564,018 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| f1d5…f6df | 425,150,251 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 00f7…e8ef | 417,473,144 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| de53…075f | 413,394,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 2728…d0cf | 418,078,166 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4a20…824f | 423,582,056 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 494b…3a1f | 411,800,839 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 87d3…c6b7 | 419,931,577 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4ba0…f8af | 413,379,508 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 47a1…050f | 412,936,179 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 6011…217f | 421,716,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 993a…7ccf | 414,629,804 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| be74…a87f | 422,815,629 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| f6db…ccff | 418,885,413 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 71fd…131f | 420,593,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 71f4…7e5f | 418,051,904 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4bc9…656f | 410,872,377 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| d5a2…0d8f | 419,757,927 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| d634…e7ea | 422,087,119 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 488c…d78f | 422,061,283 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 47c2…570f | 410,090,228 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 7c06…09bf | 424,757,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4e86…7a6f | 410,832,714 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4f2f…bbef | 417,803,191 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 46de…e97f | 422,571,375 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 8fc1…6ccf | 425,584,560 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 0679…967f | 422,754,835 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4478…f1af | 427,281,126 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 9a73…3a4f | 421,095,401 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 9522…9c8f | 412,772,414 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| d778…709f | 417,677,212 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| f90e…48bf | 421,249,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| d30f…5cff | 416,414,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |