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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 1.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 44% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+5.0%
n=31 out-of-sample
Hit rate
44%
124 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.6% → +4.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.029
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+0.4% … +8.8%
Support124
OOS support31
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 140
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w2 | wallet | c04b472876310bde02333a80761c20544669a6e823c1a15b816e5dff91d2f9af | 92% | 143 |
| w0 | wallet | c669d0a25e57496955fabe1710e6c4377f22e6e418ce667bafc771fa609f214b | 88% | 136 |
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 22 | +4.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 140
200 resolved wallets
ecb2f…44fd6c04b4…2f9af6ae4d…4c12ae14c7…6685a2d6c2…085c2ce82b…959f5f078f…5214c388a9…40b3a11fd5…24526ea763…e82ddc85d6…66942967f3…b8dde594d6…a85e75bd69…99c535a473…aad23b65f4…a22ac870ea…a9db1dd366…94b5fea845…1e91689146…548b172fbc…64dcba48e3…45eb6378e3…233b2a2889…58822be0ee…781a5924b0…456dfa2515…56b31f11a1…0754f2e990…9e44465444…68194c439e…08f89f7345…a1d7e707fb…3187f8f0f0…ba5f00cfcb…1423ba8b15…eb9e9ca47e…88f2bf2689…6f7edde9d5…18cb900b0b…dc9e0df30f…9cf4a89fc4…15aa974a6a…7ebae55db0…50e80c510c…f0cbd827c1…8f5858404a…48522db195…40b76e4e83…2e71b0b7f5…45936d07b3…44ef33ea07…e308227cd1…12c7b986f0…a67e25d042…ac39cf76d5…bd3c36dfbc…ccc2549e80…ec659e6b6e…0b6d58e737…11c95471bb…79ecd383ac…b373d89214…a9d1c3ed88…c67fcf85ba…f7269d4f04…8733b2d2d9…c8d8f0180a…064bc6ccdd…d3a0312752…e4d2a764de…36597bc350…57b1c2198f…f5d28ab6bd…d6f7ed00a7…30c854409f…07a03d9001…08ae4453d1…6e52b5e7f8…d0b74f2c19…6f34a+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8554…ae1f | 421,931,076 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 4756…bbdf | 422,099,496 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 3a08…6a0f | 421,056,690 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 5cc0…694f | 418,956,783 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 8a72…9ddf | 417,788,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| fead…ed3f | 415,939,724 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b334…314f | 418,980,396 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 3f5d…5e7f | 417,400,684 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 2844…d35f | 423,406,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 69bd…c12f | 420,029,379 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 7331…726f | 419,093,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| d390…dbef | 417,949,596 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 4069…3c3f | 425,927,418 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| de6b…d2ff | 422,526,414 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 4332…394f | 419,585,487 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 1c2f…33af | 419,191,993 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 8951…6f6f | 421,102,019 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 3ef3…ff6f | 420,010,147 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 7323…c4df | 419,677,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b765…bc0f | 417,457,621 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 46c1…5e9f | 424,599,943 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b75a…af3f | 421,202,690 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| d29c…e64f | 422,351,375 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 47b3…852f | 421,378,922 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 8696…e89f | 421,882,382 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 4435…0b7f | 421,379,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b7f2…584f | 421,082,109 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 293d…e55f | 422,130,449 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 7467…508f | 417,230,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| ca83…4c6f | 419,279,572 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| ded7…9baf | 417,834,248 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 25cd…7faf | 418,691,646 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 3bc0…a66f | 421,476,644 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 3c62…cbcf | 424,733,484 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 2439…a14f | 421,654,000 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b312…15ef | 420,023,389 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 8ca9…278d | 421,385,720 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b2ad…9c4f | 421,281,397 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 2c91…76ff | 423,267,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 47a5…bcef | 425,212,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b46b…adef | 418,963,545 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 3fc0…a07f | 417,641,526 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| d1bd…c54f | 420,458,595 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| b9fd…78ff | 421,310,048 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 4263…d8bf | 425,333,977 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 8f40…77cf | 421,188,483 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| bf31…689f | 425,923,018 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 9301…519f | 422,575,404 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| befb…a34f | 417,104,091 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 8fd6…101f | 421,068,574 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 8f72…c5df | 421,899,477 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 1635…f41f | 417,379,009 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| bc0c…3daf | 418,659,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| d5f0…85ff | 417,443,136 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 2dfc…0e5f | 417,475,238 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 431a…57cf | 420,193,311 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| e3e0…fecf | 420,935,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| e573…2e9f | 421,188,827 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 9137…ef8f | 418,310,111 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 7bf3…af6f | 422,492,616 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |