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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(2)→buy
rejected: only 1.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 41% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+4.6%
n=13 out-of-sample
Hit rate
41%
22 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.7% → +6.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.167
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.8% … +15.2%
Support22
OOS support13
MDL bits20
Case / control169959 / 281596
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 145
Other crews running this exact shape
35 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 15 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 17 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 42 | +15.1% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 16 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 54 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 26 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 42 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 29 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 31 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 32 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 301982 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 230 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 47 | +5.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 124 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 32 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 25 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 25 | +2.8% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 22 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 18 | +2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 23 | -0.4% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 71 | -1.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 30 | -2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 22 | -9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
Crew 145
200 resolved wallets
45744…e39f4684a6…1e30f6e9ef…601d1bd6e5…a69026bcf7…4c477a105e…a2c6783c44…cbacfd8770…1d9c6106b5…fd59e4b47c…4598bc5c42…868b4cc27c…9735af8178…9603e9db65…0c0267ea16…92394098cb…35ac4e2918…2f88c7254b…af3da333e5…b97aac6360…aeef290a00…a0069d92c6…cfab0508a8…d0cba0c4c3…0c6c82d8df…2435c8293c…ed31e91113…443aad5035…201bc6a2d0…d1e1dc1198…d3bed203aa…9a1ca4e4f2…dd454e5a19…f5cd57cb8e…ac9bd7efa4…db4778c8de…02151bc705…ce6cb7c0dd…a0f38c030a…b4eaf67cbd…bd925b3fee…11fc19d698…f2d04c1d40…d88a7e27ef…e063ee4735…8dae6787f4…5ee7735579…5064c3d004…c3e08c2d94…018f1e0601…ee9dbd11d0…e8d006ec40…90fc051f85…4afc156fb0…f0fb5c9a84…b1ddb7508e…17b9cd2d56…644306c944…27b3303d54…12dd9b0c7a…2677196008…8cf80d1fbe…34534becb7…5152bb7f0c…5f5ab1e1c0…40e30fd511…c67c94ebbf…dc3915cc36…fdba9d0819…50c911ea6f…bc281e7d2f…8955acafbe…4401a11a42…4814fcecbb…90bc3a1d66…be82a2c10b…153055975d…55c6e6ef97…af757cf231…53ceb7197a…f7b68+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c8e3…23df | 422,176,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| feca…72ef | 421,717,434 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| b3e2…091f | 414,394,091 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 261d…805f | 423,537,858 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 73ee…76df | 421,697,159 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d344…8f9f | 422,918,459 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d3fa…83af | 425,102,738 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 2b20…37ff | 424,976,838 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| ff08…46af | 416,235,925 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 4084…d32f | 421,065,153 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 48aa…ac9f | 420,681,814 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7436…09cf | 420,105,011 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d923…9b0f | 412,602,714 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 416f…5f2f | 423,487,987 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d41a…85bf | 416,229,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 0f91…670f | 418,472,032 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 5e72…80df | 424,959,251 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 45f3…756f | 426,709,045 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| cb38…ff1f | 420,014,506 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 9314…b0bf | 422,178,212 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| f152…d70f | 419,977,456 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8d42…c88f | 425,176,888 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 012c…eeef | 421,661,727 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d1c8…10bf | 424,518,725 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 49e0…702f | 417,261,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 49b0…aa2f | 419,953,954 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 5a8a…05cf | 420,144,246 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8d1f…a18f | 420,728,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 47ce…e38f | 415,306,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 2c39…a60f | 421,219,323 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 16cc…342f | 422,599,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 71d1…b89f | 419,926,313 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d1bd…ab1f | 420,131,339 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 9ab3…316f | 421,114,236 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 92d1…6b6f | 420,050,454 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 2e4f…e3ff | 427,529,014 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 3102…5d4f | 418,500,352 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 9b2c…1f3f | 422,403,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| f915…5edf | 422,573,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| bd9a…5f2f | 420,013,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7cb1…37df | 421,425,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| e81d…48cf | 426,724,754 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 46a8…097f | 422,777,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 3546…975f | 421,724,790 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 4700…0bdf | 425,136,236 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 9582…a10f | 423,251,368 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| be29…a3df | 422,769,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8021…119f | 422,868,011 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 4729…215f | 420,106,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 9350…463f | 424,981,709 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| be95…a54f | 420,023,754 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7d0f…bf1f | 419,635,893 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 076e…d20f | 425,145,618 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 3552…7bef | 420,283,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 938b…2e8f | 424,831,044 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| c253…a71f | 422,349,804 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 97fa…5fcf | 419,976,023 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 560e…88ff | 411,423,412 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| eabc…2d1f | 423,304,773 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 80ce…25cf | 419,301,919 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |