│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 0.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 10% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+30.0%
n=1 out-of-sample
Hit rate
10%
31 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-0.9% → -0.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.699
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-5.9% … +4.2%
Support31
OOS support1
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 4874
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w3 | wallet | 697b06b6a1ffcd098b188eef5865f2cdc29fa9ec3e3b534a4ce58f43384433b7 | 88% | 28 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 4874
6 resolved wallets
a636d…23b2cf1a32…1131c697b0…433b771012…0c4a31ccd6…06c64e4b00…9ff1f