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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 0.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 0% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-6.5%
n=139 out-of-sample
Hit rate
0%
18 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-3.2% → -2.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.948
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-8.2% … +1.8%
Support18
OOS support139
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 27817
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | c3077c76bb473e925db8cde73336c1b34277766ca8266ea43f6d228977304420 | 100% | 157 |
| w1 | wallet | 795aaf6eb60f0f854fc6dbcccc48a72cfab0d09612b7b96b0081e7cfa57daef3 | 100% | 157 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 27817
3 resolved wallets
c3077…04420c6135…0406cfab77…96296
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2aa6…67ba | 425,862,907 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| b802…cc13 | 426,676,085 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| b5c6…161c | 423,682,884 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 3ebc…d383 | 426,914,457 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 8b7e…67bb | 425,786,787 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| cf84…f038 | 424,111,994 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| e316…c72e | 426,661,584 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 4f2a…d394 | 426,887,687 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| e6a7…e0a5 | 423,188,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 9238…57d4 | 422,773,027 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 07e9…be60 | 423,465,833 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| fb9b…b664 | 422,317,924 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 27a9…d7a9 | 427,298,049 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| e9b5…a14c | 427,551,794 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 9e16…f80c | 425,571,342 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 877f…d590 | 422,617,729 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 9db2…5f7f | 423,430,723 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 8cf7…bf5f | 424,964,944 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 13fb…a831 | 425,574,153 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| a6a5…328f | 422,752,770 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| f3a5…9d37 | 426,936,663 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 1182…794d | 427,105,195 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| fd27…2546 | 426,869,265 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 7c15…6a91 | 423,438,581 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| f9b2…e834 | 425,850,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| c538…cc63 | 422,960,937 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 28bf…a400 | 425,786,206 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 5d26…5e23 | 421,493,574 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 57a2…0028 | 423,864,006 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 68fd…bff2 | 422,602,414 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 2d70…898b | 421,028,054 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 30cb…0c0a | 423,658,873 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 5b7b…0849 | 423,251,293 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 8cd0…6ea0 | 423,606,288 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| ac73…482b | 426,956,866 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 6813…e5cf | 425,824,573 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| d136…0a79 | 423,620,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| bed3…3ae0 | 427,093,709 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 66ee…984c | 423,169,304 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 7d04…f543 | 423,890,145 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 3f44…90fa | 423,251,448 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 6c61…a290 | 423,626,750 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 3ff4…fe52 | 426,654,868 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 389b…fe4e | 423,239,488 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| a58e…23c4 | 425,564,043 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 6248…b38a | 427,522,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| e6c0…1075 | 426,656,040 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 1414…6090 | 426,273,842 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| aa31…c6e0 | 423,181,814 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| a19b…ff44 | 421,488,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| fe91…ba2c | 422,596,508 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| a7b4…91d1 | 424,309,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| a039…8d23 | 426,910,460 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 6d4d…af25 | 422,182,099 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 6930…4d59 | 422,771,605 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| ba2a…e7e1 | 423,668,250 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 8912…0b2f | 422,813,113 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 1989…b85a | 426,946,290 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 68bb…c84e | 421,090,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |
| 937d…5fb6 | 423,401,338 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27817 | replay |