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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 49% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
49%
35 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.3% → +5.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.211
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.1% … +12.7%
Support35
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 15796
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | fae16b485b4826dca02c1e95688af6249d2ead9903d9cdcede2d4aa440e3610b | 100% | 35 |
| w1 | wallet | 850e9c89e976f61c67cccfd29be4e78e9df84c538fb9db86a4bdec4044449279 | 100% | 35 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 15796
16 resolved wallets
0d174…7fa3100a12…8c97f850e9…4927979b69…01f2a8126c…b92ecfae16…3610bb6400…5c94f5d98f…bd0e932b44…63dd9cd899…8cbeeff86d…284583c9da…e2abdb5b06…6be358f15d…c26df4a6aa…2f8226c19c…5047a
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 452c…d73f | 418,335,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 7c19…645f | 418,787,579 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| f175…7cff | 417,596,590 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 4917…247f | 417,612,102 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 3fd1…920f | 418,720,295 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 619b…ac7f | 417,587,299 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 8f1b…ceff | 418,723,238 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 7c33…21df | 418,391,711 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 7b72…289f | 418,388,468 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| d5c0…16ff | 418,792,611 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 97d7…d31f | 418,349,035 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 3639…a844 | 417,592,024 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| c36e…1eff | 417,166,383 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 97d5…6d4f | 418,032,736 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| a481…91af | 418,042,945 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| f76a…826f | 418,383,338 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 9fe0…5b2f | 418,310,372 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 252c…90cf | 418,199,867 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 284b…05cf | 418,320,785 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 28b2…ff8f | 418,722,585 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| e4a7…dfef | 417,630,777 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| ba90…5e7f | 417,990,546 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 13c5…a24f | 417,163,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 360c…3fcf | 418,319,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 453f…6e2f | 418,389,185 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 32de…57ef | 418,333,308 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| ccba…f91f | 418,379,863 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 4d1f…b17f | 418,297,017 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| a00a…ae8f | 417,563,603 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 7a12…2eff | 418,321,890 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 1a2e…c22f | 417,594,049 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 4959…131f | 418,311,782 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 792b…099f | 416,975,363 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 8330…191f | 418,400,813 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| ab73…bc8f | 417,135,445 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 3331…4e8f | 418,296,576 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 31a7…437f | 418,800,369 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| bf49…633f | 418,723,153 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| c03a…0a6f | 418,376,791 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 30c3…e55f | 416,982,206 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 695e…209f | 418,402,035 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| c0b0…e8af | 418,345,262 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 887a…170f | 418,399,076 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 36f3…331f | 418,390,410 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 899c…d7af | 417,584,011 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| c8db…e39f | 418,315,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 75e1…d22f | 417,166,616 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 2c02…2fef | 418,805,218 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 0aeb…a5ff | 418,361,169 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 6c7a…101f | 418,455,356 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 8988…dd6f | 418,475,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| a844…addf | 418,396,681 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| a869…e12f | 418,358,668 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 2f49…b3df | 418,348,363 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 9d84…5aef | 418,795,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| ceb3…dc8f | 417,587,904 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 7633…119f | 418,252,436 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| f83d…dcdf | 418,352,250 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| 8a73…0e6f | 418,476,618 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |
| fd14…301f | 418,044,190 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15796 | replay |