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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 32% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+9.3%
n=25 out-of-sample
Hit rate
32%
38 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+2.1% → +3.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.346
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.9% … +9.0%
Support38
OOS support25
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 94
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 94
200 resolved wallets
50e87…1d0bdb8264…661ec5b485…5523763863…3e4d848aa8…effa7666d9…127f4f0ae0…b17463cff2…0b86982c60…9a338d63d3…cb8e6c9e37…4f89f0dbce…4cb204e774…7e28cc9334…21dcc42bd8…4da46d89a3…9529941d61…da368fcea0…a1f60d14e2…c32c3306f3…af42b7839d…d8b2fc1f09…de1d1de945…b2310bae61…e201dc890c…0bd1e96e6e…d77db3d220…2d4d847e21…00a26147f0…3fa1108a94…907d7d3610…6ae3f915d0…d8a2feb0c1…6f21db4bb8…30cda89576…c1964be36c…ce9643a780…1a61f5bdd9…0b0d6b2194…97c18abee2…67bd6e4371…e98ad935e6…a1b8a00bff…3fbc07f47f…0357a4ed3a…2e7ea0d1e3…d4ab392136…a5dfb9dc0d…43065f1989…caa663c9d3…978f159a1d…2cde070a02…0d104b5b21…8a38549662…5c03a61e5a…507da716fc…411b44f297…4cf65e071c…4fd3090630…8180ebec4e…0fd39cc9c8…98ad99d042…a9c01cac1c…fdc427034b…754d1f65d5…dcf3dcbdb5…736d896c9c…1f19da62a5…422f826914…96800389e7…5bb073025d…64746e7300…8f11d0ba96…80b95de903…6011a98245…4584b2e569…3d570d0710…f688740953…8061daaf77…ef33511f8c…1ecf3+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3b45…c15f | 426,060,358 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ef2…d5df | 425,762,423 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ef3…9d5f | 425,790,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ef3…d5ef | 425,790,860 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ef3…362f | 425,798,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 29ea…f52f | 416,507,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 8b25…b56f | 424,793,977 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| c747…28df | 419,555,673 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 8e6c…3fef | 417,655,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 8f12…bddf | 417,072,349 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 4508…b02f | 418,161,543 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 1346…382f | 413,214,838 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 8d2a…7eef | 425,085,664 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 4aac…81ef | 418,466,331 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 9773…878f | 425,151,478 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| f5c9…018f | 422,597,976 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 470c…e38f | 420,831,314 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 90e1…d5ff | 417,481,948 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 7b35…9f8f | 417,345,908 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 4466…675f | 425,152,330 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 96e2…b18f | 413,213,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| bf88…320f | 417,369,013 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 97ea…641f | 417,348,201 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 76bf…7b8f | 413,292,663 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 3509…35ef | 417,484,007 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| d806…443f | 418,085,914 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| c218…ff91 | 413,882,605 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 5553…b28f | 415,160,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| eb15…8fef | 416,384,101 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| c563…1c1f | 425,153,549 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| c2f6…963f | 414,541,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 9853…3c4f | 422,848,459 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 832d…51df | 413,195,990 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| a528…93ff | 413,085,164 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ef3…56af | 425,801,495 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ee7…295f | 424,657,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ef3…0e8f | 425,788,688 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 9f0f…5aff | 425,150,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 11f4…1a5f | 415,680,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| a372…ccbf | 409,763,378 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 1745…3f9f | 425,160,900 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 36e4…271f | 416,383,697 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 90e2…5acf | 415,146,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 8f67…dcff | 416,389,139 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| a56e…467f | 411,996,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 46d7…5e8f | 416,548,507 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 177f…07df | 417,487,170 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| b235…4e9f | 413,189,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 1b6e…d53f | 417,070,484 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| d535…5f9f | 417,030,993 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| a9cb…e6cf | 417,449,367 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 4f05…b7df | 413,695,019 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 9fe0…85cf | 417,678,487 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0536…b54f | 416,398,477 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| de17…867f | 416,818,706 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| a1b0…823f | 418,117,233 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 7f4e…fbaf | 418,073,481 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0dd0…aa9f | 417,587,537 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0726…08df | 413,191,013 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 52a9…758f | 413,187,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |