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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 1.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 61% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
61%
18 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+11.7% → +11.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.034
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+0.5% … +22.8%
Support18
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 19963
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w1 | wallet | 93efc4946ad495671a0abcdf23b2f5330f5290708958aafbce908c3176dcaa12 | 100% | 18 |
| w0 | wallet | 5b08ef1e143656f79016da12d3ab88c19bab67e7edf8b86b37dcb8f00ccf210d | 89% | 16 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 19963
9 resolved wallets
78020…6a9e1153ed…93728bf30b…65fe85b08e…f210da654c…25370236f5…844777b7d2…b8dbf93efc…caa1284097…c3b82
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ceab…3f3f | 421,986,973 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 8912…44ff | 421,988,436 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| b32f…833f | 421,989,499 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 3eb8…3a3f | 420,220,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 4b8d…8acf | 420,141,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| b918…e62f | 421,993,355 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| b9f6…892f | 421,993,684 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 5049…25cf | 421,988,229 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 4ac1…0def | 421,987,000 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| c006…9b5f | 421,988,733 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 0abd…71af | 421,985,233 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 83b9…a47f | 421,841,976 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 37aa…9e8f | 421,996,567 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 8a6b…81bf | 420,202,749 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 8ff9…adbf | 421,991,794 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 47c3…664f | 420,180,301 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 180a…921f | 421,991,316 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 6dea…e3cf | 421,991,988 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| ead6…a80f | 421,991,106 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 3689…503f | 421,987,191 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| efc9…dabf | 421,986,359 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| cdec…db9f | 420,219,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| ce59…8e8f | 420,969,263 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| aa7e…918f | 421,998,437 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 4f15…f45f | 420,376,119 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 677d…0f9f | 420,589,690 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 30e9…f50f | 420,218,629 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 6993…7ddf | 421,997,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 3635…aa8f | 421,992,756 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 6afa…8e7f | 421,990,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 3359…48ff | 415,647,844 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 0cad…670f | 420,430,798 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 2887…063f | 419,253,080 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 70cf…286f | 419,498,083 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 5bc1…47ef | 415,644,428 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| ad3c…7b9f | 421,997,868 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 5dae…fa1f | 420,179,720 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| d442…e0af | 421,992,505 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 0f25…7faf | 421,008,163 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 1162…52ff | 421,992,709 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 36fe…a02f | 421,991,433 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 6f7f…5a0f | 421,997,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 319b…c77f | 420,222,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| ab51…f9cf | 421,988,923 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| b4ad…1aef | 420,451,059 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 744d…ecbf | 420,547,464 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 08a7…541f | 421,991,154 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 0c08…f9bf | 421,985,042 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 2105…2d5f | 420,583,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| a959…5f9f | 421,995,403 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| a293…decf | 421,993,595 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 9958…a64f | 427,145,253 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 4e74…d37f | 421,993,933 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 4e7d…588f | 421,991,283 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| cd5e…58af | 421,998,107 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 6d9e…81ef | 421,991,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 2c61…79ff | 421,992,457 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 2c8f…a3af | 420,451,212 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| 0722…8c5f | 421,998,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |
| b4ea…203f | 413,283,951 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19963 | replay |