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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 31% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+2.3%
n=5 out-of-sample
Hit rate
31%
35 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.7% → +5.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.110
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.7% … +11.0%
Support35
OOS support5
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 47
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 47
200 resolved wallets
1bdde…e7931882ed…aed038c19f…6379176588…30e14f8b96…c936ec724a…4b7cc2ec2c…3175930bc1…512f833bb1…8ef4c0eb58…88ef8cdb0e…88a9c43e7e…1a6c253fba…d15b26aa48…2be87e5d0d…7f13842ad3…f9389ba4a0…e1e589726e…dbe125a475…fa7460000b…386c98bf9e…99f83f00b5…0318e9fcd9…89dcb900c4…babeb679de…f44bac3474…0abfdc9ab1…fac864f8da…0eceec90ee…d0aa34c7cb…5ce6d90e11…501d2fe000…947b016454…7422c90ae9…4f1888a32c…584784ca04…2e841292de…9dfdadb5b2…dff7d79fce…2709b10125…ac2e43f421…e6de1eb213…de84a1b3ac…bec7ace621…e4922298df…7edf0432f9…486b881597…508a241188…0141571151…64acb478fc…5414516fd6…d0c2c58a7a…a0b3881646…3152553ff8…ee3e4d71df…1fc2450595…372b2a8e33…cc142a1653…310f7bd197…209b66ddbf…fbd873f4c4…6af39dee74…9424df3c7c…98d24d658d…fb3ab91573…c4e23b8e14…a725b15363…3196fd8182…2bf569a7fa…c0c4f17ea0…5e69373d83…1816e01bd7…2b7dccfd66…2cfc84717f…5c8ec341d0…48146efde5…4bc69692c1…0523bee8e1…0065797468…6b67058ee4…fe42d+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| d817…beef | 414,107,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 6aa0…d7ff | 412,362,617 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 935f…5def | 416,549,415 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 28d5…9c6f | 414,017,429 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8c85…46cf | 413,748,524 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d674…7fcf | 416,723,907 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8dcd…f87f | 411,888,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 9202…840f | 412,471,603 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7986…66bb | 409,838,415 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 9920…aedf | 418,287,371 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8681…254f | 419,282,574 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 4e45…ca3f | 416,861,812 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d27d…301f | 411,991,203 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d73c…d56f | 415,169,179 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8837…9e9f | 411,989,452 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7355…f67f | 411,718,180 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 310e…874f | 411,990,499 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 60c3…2a7f | 410,165,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 253d…080f | 417,817,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7dd6…c29f | 411,989,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| da40…362f | 411,991,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 950c…93bf | 411,990,401 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 3280…88ff | 412,179,562 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 9418…e79f | 410,604,138 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 31ed…e32f | 410,177,372 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| c273…1d0f | 411,107,942 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d6d6…c80f | 418,248,149 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7fc8…1a4f | 413,500,478 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 961a…5905 | 412,760,430 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7f61…b5af | 413,178,742 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 9fea…691f | 412,096,473 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| e6fe…38df | 414,110,753 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7aa2…7faf | 420,924,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| a307…5b9f | 423,053,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| a1cf…4dff | 420,897,397 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 87c0…ec1f | 418,652,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 11ff…d3ff | 421,944,835 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8a5b…322f | 420,225,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| ac51…e6bf | 417,632,294 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 14f9…a8c0 | 412,344,424 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| aafb…8b2f | 423,319,841 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 942f…9e1f | 423,704,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 0ef1…269f | 425,679,192 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| c34a…fd4f | 411,991,332 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 0214…aadf | 424,587,415 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| b7be…342f | 414,098,439 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| be60…e11f | 411,660,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 2720…8c5f | 424,586,420 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| b8e7…a2ff | 418,996,838 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 751e…f3ff | 421,520,871 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| a42f…c47f | 413,417,157 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 096d…43bf | 413,851,552 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| e54e…b1ff | 410,365,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| ba35…418f | 413,232,713 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7b15…7fbf | 411,929,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| ce0a…72ef | 411,988,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| bba5…849f | 416,420,905 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 30a6…1d3f | 423,917,818 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| ac05…8d5f | 410,352,353 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7b29…800f | 411,493,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |