Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

fan-in(3)→buy

rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 31% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 25282 anchors
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
31%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-1.9% +1.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.694
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransfertransferwwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-13.8% … +9.9%
Support16
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 2528
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet1144a35a744f7b4b341de7123fe9ef5849f4e6d58f2a907548068a2d8d3db47e100%16
w1walleta4f55aca90992482e41050e12fb1b50b69061381e735836a6ebe65af1f97614f100%16
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 487431+30.0%view →
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crew 1228+7.1%view →
crew 17142+5.5%view →
crew 20222+4.7%view →
all81769+4.3%view →
crew 538+2.6%view →
crew 6819+2.5%view →
crew 4735+2.3%view →
crew 1920+0.3%view →
crew 916+0.0%view →
crew 1750+0.0%view →
crew 15352+0.0%view →
crew 1512520+0.0%view →
crew 1579635+0.0%view →
crew 1996318+0.0%view →
crew 2377324+0.0%view →
crew 3124-0.1%view →
crew 3631-0.8%view →
crew 2781718-6.5%view →
crew 14547-7.3%view →
crew 2318330-12.8%view →
Crew 2528
3 resolved wallets
e257c…355356b631…1533aa4f55…7614f
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
6036…1e5f415,440,212+30.0%2528 replay
d7b7…a09f415,437,169+30.0%2528 replay
d00f…f05f415,469,647+30.0%2528 replay
5e9c…65cf415,439,669+30.0%2528 replay
48cf…57cf416,358,752+30.0%2528 replay
985e…5d7f415,438,589+30.0%2528 replay
9c1c…353f415,431,229+30.0%2528 replay
f465…90bf415,440,442+30.0%2528 replay
b74a…f80f415,435,741+30.0%2528 replay
f4ac…0bef415,394,147+30.0%2528 replay
0f01…bc1f415,439,183+30.0%2528 replay
c80e…415f415,389,038+30.0%2528 replay
5f00…c26f415,468,259+30.0%2528 replay
c93c…cb4f415,432,150+30.0%2528 replay
2f4d…ce0f415,390,222+30.0%2528 replay
1ab6…833f415,436,454+30.0%2528 replay
2f5c…d09f415,393,980+30.0%2528 replay
cafb…994f415,469,124+30.0%2528 replay
f23e…be5f415,433,831+30.0%2528 replay
d534…3d7f415,434,593+30.0%2528 replay
bca5…c9cf415,439,939+30.0%2528 replay
6cdd…e9cf415,390,306+30.0%2528 replay
a34d…8cff415,442,152+30.0%2528 replay
6f47…201f415,435,235+30.0%2528 replay
7f2e…561f415,435,643+30.0%2528 replay
2f6d…d4ef415,467,781+30.0%2528 replay
b079…db8f416,353,057+30.0%2528 replay
b4bb…029f415,441,190+30.0%2528 replay
481d…c98f415,466,656+30.0%2528 replay
a4de…8b0f415,434,260+30.0%2528 replay
6e2d…a2ef415,394,809+30.0%2528 replay
0d1d…bf3f416,361,194+30.0%2528 replay
6e02…59bf415,389,614+30.0%2528 replay
298f…f16f415,389,913+30.0%2528 replay
3b07…00ef416,355,710+30.0%2528 replay
4ee5…009f415,465,621+30.0%2528 replay
1a75…cfaf415,430,832+30.0%2528 replay
725e…aaaf415,468,872+30.0%2528 replay
7401…09ff415,468,040+30.0%2528 replay
4788…263f415,435,289+30.0%2528 replay
4f19…bdbf415,437,725+30.0%2528 replay
4f91…1bcf415,469,020+30.0%2528 replay
71a8…148f416,359,269+30.0%2528 replay
baf5…471f415,432,950+30.0%2528 replay
d4c2…4a7f415,389,455+30.0%2528 replay
78c3…7a7f415,437,302+30.0%2528 replay
96a7…b12f415,467,035+30.0%2528 replay
198a…a08f415,438,532+30.0%2528 replay
e8bd…583f415,438,006+30.0%2528 replay
54c9…b76f415,439,123+30.0%2528 replay
17fd…2aaf415,435,568+30.0%2528 replay
156e…e48f415,437,551+30.0%2528 replay
c45a…8c2f415,389,815+30.0%2528 replay
770b…195f415,467,214+30.0%2528 replay
f2fd…6fcf416,355,942+30.0%2528 replay
e574…27af416,358,220+30.0%2528 replay
709b…dcaf415,439,384+30.0%2528 replay
2617…0e2f415,394,645+30.0%2528 replay
5ab3…c6ef415,467,386+30.0%2528 replay
06a0…8edf416,362,197+30.0%2528 replay