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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 0.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 14% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+7.1%
n=3 out-of-sample
Hit rate
14%
28 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+1.4% → +2.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.368
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.9% … +6.7%
Support28
OOS support3
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 12
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 12
200 resolved wallets
d1c24…1515f17a7a…21b7c278bc…a404b2d3f3…10cda0beba…bb3a674af2…395a64ddbf…616946ab68…12804490e2…2b67ebfabc…91a9803a7d…f718893f97…dc15b4394c…69c5b85339…8d5124597f…1c5af55498…0629584705…24d5f03a24…d433dba114…65aec92681…39d96c8158…6d080ac6b2…b2b822e13b…0d7cbfba33…1456208e73…936c89fdeb…0e1cd45d6c…92a54e80a8…d21ba69aa2…63e5b5e51b…58232a6354…6ceae9ea6b…55ef801381…3d585a0b2d…94b24b79ed…8f0ccc476a…151e141d61…5b64177209…069f871344…fd845655d2…d466e3abc3…fe8b8a8a97…cec28a69fc…4b14dd4b7a…bdc43feebf…0b65eb9025…6ef052f228…aa7c693d89…1233960d08…833fa2ef86…ea2f6d750f…3d83790491…a37231f610…2f7eff55a7…10b84bc461…6eab9f0a63…d6a1f445cb…9669f72797…505722ed1b…19b8d999d6…89c3819a5a…4049e00e26…9d67f2c791…41f9a9ae86…7e162f720c…5f7aee1ccc…04d918468b…207bdef141…06cfd5dd4a…7c0e9d0e1d…68a1b78179…660ebb845d…5cee4aaf54…536e94737d…7d171b2615…93bc9d504a…0c36a6f239…dc96d348fc…d15cd28716…da9385e47e…d4ce3+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3f58…14ff | 418,074,548 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 72cf…e72f | 411,727,811 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| fd22…585f | 414,010,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| dc45…09bf | 413,967,133 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c43c…becf | 417,191,800 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 5e02…52cf | 411,736,519 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 8858…4ddf | 418,694,051 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| e1a7…d650 | 416,486,455 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 96da…c58f | 416,351,075 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 437a…b52f | 416,486,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7552…347f | 415,718,166 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 5d86…fcbf | 411,780,055 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 5de2…ee5f | 416,338,833 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 213f…9dbf | 418,925,121 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| d17a…ad7f | 415,915,586 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 91c5…373f | 417,396,199 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| bca5…ea6f | 415,887,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 4921…c3af | 415,970,538 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 23d2…65df | 418,073,085 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 61db…c79f | 414,789,394 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c125…f00f | 418,765,485 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 94e8…5a8f | 419,141,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 04ad…df1f | 419,065,649 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 96e8…a6cf | 420,269,505 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 05e9…c73f | 411,775,661 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c058…709f | 410,324,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| eaa3…187f | 420,278,292 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7951…41ef | 418,920,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 0ab0…11cf | 412,334,786 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 0aeb…023f | 425,017,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 8594…1a0f | 420,274,052 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 2f2d…2eef | 415,706,394 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| a6a8…25df | 422,362,005 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| ca36…7e8f | 417,295,534 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 9e0d…c5bf | 423,788,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 3424…564f | 414,785,531 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7045…a69f | 423,886,584 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 9f8f…dfcf | 420,233,744 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 11db…d0ef | 417,378,515 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| acda…b64f | 411,784,007 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| ce5b…b057 | 417,438,315 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| d150…053f | 414,592,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 4115…e25f | 416,538,190 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 1571…17ef | 419,171,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 9505…7adf | 412,832,569 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| ae25…fbef | 421,686,090 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 1c21…196f | 418,932,492 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 199d…a67f | 410,279,391 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 260b…455f | 418,255,474 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| b2fe…44ff | 414,118,393 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c74b…c42f | 419,092,007 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 79f3…f88f | 420,614,089 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c5bd…f3bf | 411,738,027 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| eba3…286f | 418,882,631 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 75a9…d4df | 421,683,273 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 46a1…1a4f | 426,916,970 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 9e60…4d6f | 415,713,789 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 111c…1dca | 417,436,553 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 32e5…df0d | 419,256,627 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 08d4…6c5f | 418,991,025 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |