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rule detail

fan-in(3)→buy

rejected: only 1.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 42% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 681 anchor
OOS effect
+2.5%
n=4 out-of-sample
Hit rate
42%
19 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.6% → +6.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.196
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransfertransferwwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.7% … +15.9%
Support19
OOS support4
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 68
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet0ab973e44b3ba676ba475be6d05ab62c41d437a1710930e2c6a9602a333cb56487%20
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 487431+30.0%—view →
crew 2757735+28.5%✓view →
crew 2462382+27.7%—view →
crew 451917+18.7%—view →
crew 30630+17.2%—view →
crew 5915+15.0%—view →
crew 3424+11.2%—view →
crew 2143+11.0%—view →
crew 13126+10.7%—view →
crew 9438+9.3%—view →
crew 626+7.9%—view →
crew 1228+7.1%—view →
crew 17142+5.5%—view →
crew 20222+4.7%—view →
all81769+4.3%—view →
crew 538+2.6%—view →
crew 4735+2.3%—view →
crew 1920+0.3%—view →
crew 916+0.0%—view →
crew 1750+0.0%—view →
crew 15352+0.0%—view →
crew 252816+0.0%—view →
crew 1512520+0.0%—view →
crew 1579635+0.0%—view →
crew 1996318+0.0%—view →
crew 2377324+0.0%—view →
crew 3124-0.1%—view →
crew 3631-0.8%—view →
crew 2781718-6.5%—view →
crew 14547-7.3%—view →
crew 2318330-12.8%—view →
Crew 68
200 resolved wallets
087de…58d1e16237…1b2930ab97…cb564b3dae…48191e9e8c…c062cad500…44be39becf…5b44af18c1…0e0406b757…2439fdcac7…929aa7758b…8e3108af89…5568ba01e7…6dddce194b…91128f6f54…77b3584bac…5cd6bcffd9…c8b8c4e49b…a02662ee8d…8fb8b2122a…1780903337…4eaf05338d…27e56fadf7…7656958160…8c0a9cbf0a…850f462789…10eec7e22c…2cece46ec4…2013d08de3…4fdddebb3a…49f5fb20c5…81d869304a…e40a497c23…4ffdf66432…2d4d0e632a…9aa9050dd4…cab1110d65…4e23410748…4f6a5f472d…3745a53092…3fd2bddce1…037e6002cc…198fe15bb2…03252d38d1…1ecf3f15d2…ecf5b391fa…2d93a45003…a7e7146732…4df27c80f0…5bdf23d44c…691a5675f7…093a2180b8…dff942678f…b23cffffab…cd90c2b9d0…4692e38e94…766596c03b…9e064399dc…a854da0564…086b6ee47a…e14ab5cee9…d12a9f9a1a…b0c3767e70…e70151c138…8a4b3355bd…ab5b65d7ca…a668196a06…32be4c6e35…8683961e17…b587758e3d…73c2bab785…f3a64683fe…0ae66e6a03…10e928b9cc…cfac2fec09…c7ed9583f5…a69bee2632…73ba195bf5…f5b0ff0397…3f4b232e17…51bc0+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
c92a…a04f411,609,851+30.0%✓68 replay
ce61…8a0f422,236,490+30.0%✓68 replay
466a…894f417,380,543+30.0%✓68 replay
d2d1…601f419,888,526+30.0%✓68 replay
d3ca…8d3f426,681,834+30.0%✓68 replay
3c51…426f417,150,599+30.0%✓68 replay
8785…596f426,861,914+30.0%✓68 replay
91c8…c7ef417,158,854+30.0%✓68 replay
4788…ee7f420,369,246+30.0%✓68 replay
235a…5d5f424,935,576+30.0%✓68 replay
245d…ff9f414,970,276+30.0%✓68 replay
4949…78cf413,211,262+30.0%✓68 replay
5ae2…eb1f421,701,043+30.0%✓68 replay
4366…6daf418,216,697+30.0%✓68 replay
6fbc…aa6f414,941,369+30.0%✓68 replay
8d7c…184f416,939,363+30.0%✓68 replay
452a…cc9f417,157,989+30.0%✓68 replay
45b2…a647421,261,781+30.0%✓68 replay
7a4c…ba9f423,010,430+30.0%✓68 replay
8160…604f417,453,083+30.0%✓68 replay
8dff…caef418,939,444+30.0%✓68 replay
d63c…658f411,549,634+30.0%✓68 replay
4e3d…d3cf423,017,270+30.0%✓68 replay
478f…35ef412,408,594+30.0%✓68 replay
5f5b…430f421,265,432+30.0%✓68 replay
8212…00af424,414,994+30.0%✓68 replay
881d…fbcf414,438,983+30.0%✓68 replay
9388…725f416,938,938+30.0%✓68 replay
2d70…c14f411,232,862+30.0%✓68 replay
e52a…3def420,039,343+30.0%✓68 replay
3235…088f420,570,897+30.0%✓68 replay
4a0c…343f426,307,636+30.0%✓68 replay
e914…a1cf424,773,166+30.0%✓68 replay
8492…c4ff427,519,429+30.0%✓68 replay
07e4…643f409,917,141+30.0%✓68 replay
7fa0…223f416,739,969+30.0%✓68 replay
8851…9a6f416,936,145+30.0%✓68 replay
9454…3cdf422,112,711+30.0%✓68 replay
fd4b…08df417,975,339+30.0%✓68 replay
07f6…677f423,017,062+30.0%✓68 replay
080e…1a3f421,308,714+30.0%✓68 replay
35eb…c5df426,698,824+30.0%✓68 replay
9b06…6f0f417,158,163+30.0%✓68 replay
9a0c…1d4f424,937,560+30.0%✓68 replay
9aa4…022f426,863,860+30.0%✓68 replay
2c00…33bf413,947,717+30.0%✓68 replay
68d1…640f421,479,191+30.0%✓68 replay
2d01…617f414,750,708+30.0%✓68 replay
2ddd…e57f411,857,116+30.0%✓68 replay
ca0d…93cf409,904,810+30.0%✓68 replay
c5af…bfcf416,714,939+30.0%✓68 replay
c5c4…cbaf417,317,538+30.0%✓68 replay
3d47…ce0f421,426,555+30.0%✓68 replay
a386…9e6f419,890,120+30.0%✓68 replay
a80a…9ebf423,468,144+30.0%✓68 replay
c98e…ac6f416,933,680+30.0%✓68 replay
9dd0…ff3f417,375,956+30.0%✓68 replay
c973…223f425,500,424+30.0%✓68 replay
9e7f…9d1f417,390,324+30.0%✓68 replay
cb58…6c4f416,743,068+30.0%✓68 replay