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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 0.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 11% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+4.7%
n=13 out-of-sample
Hit rate
11%
222 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-0.3% → -0.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.681
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.0% … +1.5%
Support222
OOS support13
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 20
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w2 | wallet | e3564a560c10f41096e09ddfaed8e4f13c64c6a5ffc6d928604133cbeec94047 | 88% | 206 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 20
200 resolved wallets
e3564…940474edff…48a0d3b11d…75d73cbeff…411f4cff8c…48a59ed783…776ba64e1d…a2a42108cd…9aa89451cd…05a116663b…f9c5b5dc3c…6519fe4294…e5711b6f08…bd80c717dc…c12775e39a…27b98da908…5fdfffb8ff…fbdd293c2f…752e276c9e…2ecc22676a…b579b7333d…9691e711b9…24aa9f5683…52940c15fb…a09c323961…72eace900b…598ce32d55…48f84e90d9…340a88176f…5011cdf7a0…2f2cc45cbc…f15986d1ce…957aea7b43…4ac73829ce…8957bdb185…1b3da0f35c…9e2ed1774f…9f97a04007…e83aa672cb…3df356c109…e641be59a1…164456ef35…4983ee8be6…a34af0c208…ae304723bc…427019f299…acf69954ec…e958e3f320…dd1aaec5dc…d40816dbf0…4422afc968…56a56fcc3f…6afcde7c52…cc0d97fc5b…3ec332466d…9ca18c68b7…8d364e47d2…77371323ac…792ac272ea…ccfd4f54f4…1e62821b58…5d714ddc0e…f4965abe06…863480909d…b8c1e9e671…3d80e15ba9…e78ed45e61…aa77094ebc…0fef2acf51…897acb4a6a…b1042c7a8f…1993092827…89058866c9…d2501ffe20…4b652f7d89…35d9e005e9…572e5c787f…8c746d3e68…d38ba704b6…9b9ba29182…1f212+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b68c…edbf | 414,370,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 5803…eabf | 417,037,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 5dba…e3bf | 417,201,056 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 90a6…764f | 417,152,008 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| cdca…5f4f | 421,159,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| ce2e…886f | 417,089,166 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| d849…6e2f | 417,104,301 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| cae8…880f | 417,072,075 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 25c2…807f | 423,790,245 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 297e…769f | 417,090,489 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 8c0c…7dcf | 417,431,768 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 6d29…c80f | 421,746,441 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| bacf…904f | 417,932,439 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| ccfd…e28f | 411,865,939 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 5c16…6adf | 417,128,764 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| cdb0…17cf | 417,069,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| f301…b6af | 417,111,588 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| e010…b44f | 422,442,936 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7350…f2af | 411,972,558 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| d1bd…89af | 416,817,282 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7bda…851f | 417,196,880 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 46da…860f | 422,444,621 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7949…a7ef | 415,653,352 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| d7c7…033f | 422,444,181 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 2fbf…284f | 422,295,998 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 5077…500f | 415,672,392 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| bb87…fb2f | 417,069,360 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 0389…093f | 421,417,186 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| e6c2…8f2f | 417,156,364 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| e6f2…61df | 420,694,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3a35…b25f | 419,819,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| a4a1…f90f | 417,088,617 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| cb4c…fb8f | 427,401,215 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| a7a4…874f | 412,391,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 0e6b…c60f | 420,125,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3a88…610f | 410,475,168 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 31d1…170f | 421,768,338 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 10d0…a8bf | 417,186,651 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 0fdb…e89f | 417,151,122 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| edf2…e03f | 417,074,273 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 8b01…334f | 417,094,063 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 8b3d…ef9f | 419,058,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 814c…73ef | 417,061,275 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 9eb4…db7f | 421,518,215 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| c57c…400f | 415,003,625 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 2376…4f0f | 417,061,682 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| c32c…a8af | 417,108,943 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 73c5…287f | 417,730,462 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 76f8…beef | 417,725,258 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 726d…ee6f | 421,551,618 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7542…a8bf | 417,128,061 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7d6d…774f | 417,082,160 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 6f25…42ef | 413,193,115 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 8014…9bdf | 416,229,009 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| f5c2…2f3f | 422,225,250 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3056…20df | 417,453,245 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3197…551f | 417,448,174 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 636e…7d5f | 417,436,194 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 2ca0…205f | 417,088,238 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| a33e…2fdf | 421,787,920 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |