│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 32% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+4.3%
n=44138 out-of-sample
Hit rate
32%
81769 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.4% → +5.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+5.3% … +5.6%
Support81,769
OOS support44,138
MDL bits0
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6fe9…4bef | 414,913,368 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 6ff1…618f | 418,324,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5134 | replay |
| dd44…5b0f | 414,558,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4226 | replay |
| dd79…f9ff | 413,193,352 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10330 | replay |
| dd83…65af | 422,218,657 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27577 | replay |
| db90…b09f | 412,097,679 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21706 | replay |
| dbbe…7f1f | 417,763,842 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20257 | replay |
| dbbe…bc3f | 416,975,095 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 57e7…b1ff | 425,604,959 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| dc00…e74f | 420,556,460 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5 | replay |
| dc38…e21f | 420,604,065 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| dc45…09bf | 413,967,133 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 402e…31ff | 422,877,757 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27577 | replay |
| 402e…d7bf | 426,613,087 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27577 | replay |
| 406e…b95f | 420,002,228 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 409e…2daf | 411,243,750 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13183 | replay |
| c381…4f7f | 420,757,809 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27577 | replay |
| c383…0e4f | 412,175,978 | +30.0% | ✓ | 41887 | replay |
| c3c2…df2f | 414,532,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 7 | replay |
| d2d1…601f | 419,888,526 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d2f0…c80f | 415,485,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d307…159f | 422,327,628 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| d3ca…8d3f | 426,681,834 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d3fa…83af | 425,102,738 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7310…105f | 410,970,743 | +30.0% | ✓ | 18648 | replay |
| 7311…edcf | 422,670,181 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 3b13…f37f | 418,859,241 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23632 | replay |
| 3b45…c15f | 426,060,358 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 3bce…b9cf | 425,010,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3be1…a0af | 414,899,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 24623 | replay |
| 3be9…8881 | 421,238,521 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9 | replay |
| 3c51…426f | 417,150,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3c52…8cc9 | 421,234,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13247 | replay |
| 0ee1…eeaf | 423,270,245 | +30.0% | ✓ | 7664 | replay |
| dbcd…7fdf | 420,515,259 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5974 | replay |
| 0ee9…6cbf | 425,199,591 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17032 | replay |
| 57a1…b1ff | 410,550,471 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13183 | replay |
| 5dc8…150f | 422,928,848 | +30.0% | ✓ | 27577 | replay |
| 5dba…e3bf | 417,201,056 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 5d73…9f8f | 420,194,565 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11489 | replay |
| 5d39…dcef | 412,054,219 | +30.0% | ✓ | 7956 | replay |
| 5d0b…5c0e | 412,035,325 | +30.0% | ✓ | 153 | replay |
| 5cf3…93af | 414,254,069 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9 | replay |
| 0ef2…d5df | 425,762,423 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 5ce0…e1bf | 423,397,219 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 5ca3…0cff | 425,317,995 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 284b…f40f | 411,926,819 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2756…6268 | 421,239,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9 | replay |
| 6aa0…d7ff | 412,362,617 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 6a7a…93ff | 417,176,658 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3556 | replay |
| 6a77…645f | 424,775,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 69f9…476f | 419,111,200 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 5cee…693f | 414,280,578 | +30.0% | ✓ | 24623 | replay |
| 0ef7…f98f | 426,314,751 | +30.0% | ✓ | 7664 | replay |
| 69e3…908f | 414,558,921 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 0ef3…362f | 425,798,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ef3…b40f | 425,791,578 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 0ef7…610f | 426,309,532 | +30.0% | ✓ | 7664 | replay |
| 0ef3…d5ef | 425,790,860 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ef3…9d5f | 425,790,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |