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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 33% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
33%
24 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-1.6% → +0.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.697
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-11.0% … +7.8%
Support24
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 23773
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | d12285f3fba65d66c709dc729fbcd24fcebd3824df0e2f90b7bc2bb18d0d6ac6 | 100% | 24 |
| w1 | wallet | 62cdf5e82af9482a6ad4270555251ceefa5aa41a0e9d8022c8c664a966c80713 | 100% | 24 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 23773
3 resolved wallets
d1228…d6ac662cdf…807133b2aa…7723a
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8bea…b46a | 420,571,050 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 4ba2…adbf | 413,481,152 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 84ba…1624 | 420,584,491 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 9130…7db3 | 420,468,792 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| c104…05a9 | 420,005,224 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 28f0…b5e5 | 420,584,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 7665…71bd | 420,024,851 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| c617…1a13 | 420,467,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| a7f3…31fb | 420,164,872 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 43b4…c043 | 420,166,470 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 8f2c…5c3f | 413,883,832 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| a574…df5e | 420,374,804 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| a64e…9b2c | 420,166,437 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 1a29…8718 | 420,631,291 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 4976…2c60 | 420,354,146 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| b321…48e0 | 420,460,009 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 8140…faae | 420,650,811 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 2614…e8b4 | 420,589,248 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 711f…a2a2 | 420,168,875 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 7489…b3e3 | 420,589,605 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 160c…7396 | 420,029,884 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 7899…12b9 | 420,605,992 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| a6dd…3024 | 420,630,064 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 87a9…6b13 | 420,134,674 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 7cf0…17e5 | 420,601,233 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 75b3…385d | 420,036,694 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| b0b7…9c58 | 420,605,494 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 7f76…acfa | 420,355,661 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 3810…4962 | 420,573,013 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 68ea…9000 | 420,608,342 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 6e6a…fb61 | 420,588,916 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| f157…69ef | 420,591,731 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 2ce7…b1d1 | 420,600,817 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 828f…e850 | 420,039,062 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| b2e2…8d71 | 420,476,753 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| dad4…2ad4 | 420,651,429 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 370b…5a49 | 420,178,613 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 6ea7…c124 | 420,592,748 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 1683…56fd | 420,038,037 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| bb21…3b5d | 420,175,398 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 20e5…9efe | 420,602,207 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 0534…92e8 | 420,586,215 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| f19f…abf1 | 420,167,258 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| aa36…f769 | 420,629,259 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| e2a9…6acb | 420,458,680 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 1db7…5409 | 420,581,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| e90e…6c3d | 420,572,572 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| fbe2…4e9f | 413,878,774 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 6954…940b | 420,144,752 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 05ea…d2f7 | 420,166,411 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 6d19…bb67 | 420,581,942 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| e5b7…b799 | 420,582,189 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| f5bf…97e3 | 420,002,600 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 75e8…4b41 | 420,582,526 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 0a1e…ab40 | 420,630,013 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 5af7…67ea | 420,595,389 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 46ee…274a | 420,458,141 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 75df…9e06 | 420,629,226 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 3412…11f6 | 420,615,642 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |
| 7bab…0670 | 420,815,788 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23773 | replay |