Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

fan-in(3)→buy

rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 50% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 246232 anchors
OOS effect
+27.7%
n=13 out-of-sample
Hit rate
50%
82 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+9.9% +9.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpftransfertransferwwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+5.2% … +14.6%
Support82
OOS support13
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 24623
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0walletdaf07f166c9d4b3c284fe35005809eb13f95654e38b2c026abf74aa685859fb0100%95
w1wallet93751bb5713cdf827c519bc1d4cb10cf1c4cb205d70a1f2edece8472c9854814100%95
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
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all81769+4.3%view →
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crew 1920+0.3%view →
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crew 15352+0.0%view →
crew 252816+0.0%view →
crew 1512520+0.0%view →
crew 1579635+0.0%view →
crew 1996318+0.0%view →
crew 2377324+0.0%view →
crew 3124-0.1%view →
crew 3631-0.8%view →
crew 2781718-6.5%view →
crew 14547-7.3%view →
crew 2318330-12.8%view →
Crew 24623
4 resolved wallets
93751…54814daf07…59fb08aed0…b5e778bc39…5c274
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
439d…fd8f416,550,263+30.0%24623 replay
3a03…a8ff419,199,859+30.0%24623 replay
8930…b05f412,556,122+30.0%24623 replay
3be1…a0af414,899,176+30.0%24623 replay
5cee…693f414,280,578+30.0%24623 replay
8bf0…40df427,123,192+30.0%24623 replay
8cc3…138f419,090,795+30.0%24623 replay
2752…357f412,546,593+30.0%24623 replay
dff4…e7ef419,333,888+30.0%24623 replay
dd37…94af411,877,546+30.0%24623 replay
c418…dccf421,423,831+30.0%24623 replay
743e…3a9f416,270,959+30.0%24623 replay
872a…349f419,122,158+30.0%24623 replay
8bfe…da9f417,805,859+30.0%24623 replay
4228…716f413,084,646+30.0%24623 replay
7677…e65f418,678,006+30.0%24623 replay
c618…12cf414,712,330+30.0%24623 replay
d694…4d8f414,678,368+30.0%24623 replay
10e7…f7cf422,082,549+30.0%24623 replay
7d75…e12f416,044,868+30.0%24623 replay
8f17…872f415,145,636+30.0%24623 replay
d318…743f419,867,436+30.0%24623 replay
6166…e3ef411,888,976+30.0%24623 replay
61c4…b80f419,464,501+30.0%24623 replay
e178…991f419,666,278+30.0%24623 replay
4ace…e46f423,698,070+30.0%24623 replay
9825…365f415,149,359+30.0%24623 replay
2cf6…c31f425,140,314+30.0%24623 replay
461b…203f420,574,997+30.0%24623 replay
2b0f…2abf419,682,995+30.0%24623 replay
75e5…180f418,718,191+30.0%24623 replay
0220…f65f423,507,354+30.0%24623 replay
055a…320f417,328,362+30.0%24623 replay
d6c5…b47f422,068,067+30.0%24623 replay
7743…7cef425,401,347+30.0%24623 replay
47fc…d76f414,985,917+30.0%24623 replay
f83e…8daf422,111,514+30.0%24623 replay
065d…ee9f421,060,089+30.0%24623 replay
87c2…8a1f417,171,821+30.0%24623 replay
034d…fd7f426,666,994+30.0%24623 replay
30de…c13f426,902,403+30.0%24623 replay
d47b…1d0f420,620,036+30.0%24623 replay
f999…0b9f418,464,779+30.0%24623 replay
7a54…1f7f419,655,029+30.0%24623 replay
929d…d61f412,857,652+30.0%24623 replay
8523…970f413,125,428+30.0%24623 replay
963c…c88f414,914,040+30.0%24623 replay
bef9…584f418,302,105+30.0%24623 replay
7e84…098f419,480,222+30.0%24623 replay
7d56…abaf417,611,085+30.0%24623 replay
941d…3baf417,801,556+30.0%24623 replay
9223…32bf427,343,470+30.0%24623 replay
7da9…c45f412,334,623+30.0%24623 replay
769f…f51f421,467,814+30.0%24623 replay
fda3…61ff413,549,759+30.0%24623 replay
e641…b9af426,007,092+30.0%24623 replay
07a2…467f419,478,915+30.0%24623 replay
971d…79df419,913,695+30.0%24623 replay
95d6…d93f419,940,105+30.0%24623 replay
c76c…2cbf417,800,495+30.0%24623 replay